3,780 karma · joined January 6, 2015
Peace. That's what poor people stop giving once they feel too poor compared to non-poor. No, this is not a value statement, but an objective observation about human nature. I do not expect anyone to like it (I do not like it), but not accepting it as a fact is... delusional might be a proper word?
After you accept that it is good for you to keep poor not too poor, you likely start wondering how to be efficient about keeping the poor not too poor, and afger that you end up somewhere very close to UBI.
Even in CHP?
So far I have come up with high-dimensional spatial awareness (not sure how well we could get what happens in 1000 dimensions).
To me it would seem that we are speedrunning towards a future where humans doing things have value, but only for themselves. It is going to be more and more difficult to produce any value to others. Only way to generate value in a transaction is rent-seeking by taking advantage of (artificial) monopolies, network effects or gatekeeping. This may sound dystopian, because humans seem to have a strong need to provide value to others, but the bright side is that you are free to do what you value.
I believe that files offer one useful level of compartmentalizing code that makes other people easier to understand what is going on by just looking at the file structure before opening a single file. The other guy can't grep anything before they have opened at least one file and found some interesting function/variable.
Management consulting and Investment/stock analysis are the first ones that pop into my mind. (With some sarcsam, but admittably way too little)
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2013/05/04/b...
(Paywall, check google cache)
It is important to note, that even if from looking from far outside, finance looks like one thing, in reality there is a big divide within finance regarding how "value" is defined. On the other hand, there is a simple notion that value of a thing is whatever someone is willing to pay for it. And on the other hand, there is a bit more complex idea that if you somehow know the value of a cash flow, then if you are able to create the same cashflow in some other way, then the other cash flow must have same value.
The first one is the home of powerpoints, VC capital and crypto. (It's also easy to recognize these professional financiers once you start to discuss whether sweat equity should be valued similarly to cash equity. They are completely appalled with the idea, because reasons.)
The second is home of financial regulation, really fancy maths and modern banking risk management.
The failure modes are different here. The first one, typical failure model is scam. The second, well, you can google LTCM for that.
And what comes to crypto, there is a clear and obvious difference. The first ones see no reason why not investing into crypto, after all, someone is paying 60k for a BTC, its value is thus 60k, what more do you want? The second ones scratch their heads. They see no positive net cash flows anywhere, thus the value must be negative. And this is the reason (in addition to regulation) why banks and professional bankers for the most part keep clear from crypto and struggle seeing value, while VC money is/was pouring in.
I'd be very keen to learn what kind of regulation, exactly, anyone is seriously proposing for these crypto products? Namely, the problem I see is that the products in the crypto lending space in my understanding simply can't exist in anything that has any resemblance of current financial regulations. To be honest, I am not sure how they can exist in any regulatory scheme that tries to penalize scamming people. Now, if the regulation said that it is okay to scam people in crypto industry, that might be interesting. But i am not sure if anyone has been proposing that.
1. How does the exchange ensure money is paid to the customers instead of Mafia or tax authorities?
2. If/when it can't, how these liabilities are included in the proof of liabilities?
(note: this is a real and difficult problem. That's why there are laws, regulations and deposit insurances around customer funds in finance, which, yes, fail occasionally. I just do not see how that can be solved by blockchain.)
Awfully lot of trust you seem to need in this fancy world of trustless money of the future.