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belval

8,187 karma · joined November 29, 2019

https://github.com/Belval/
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belval··on Stanford report highlights growing disconnect between AI insiders and everyone
This is poor reporting, almost needs a checklist:

[X] Tweets and instagram comments presented as "what society is thinking"

[X] Ties Luigi Mangione and the California warehouse fire to Gen Z discontent (about AI?).

[X] Statistics being used to support the title with little to no regards to continuity: "those respondents who said that AI makes them “nervous” grew from 50% to 52% during the same period" => percentage was 52% in 2023, 50% in 2024 and 52% in 2025, seems mostly flat to me, with the real jump being in 2022-2023 with 39%.

belval··on After outages, Amazon to make senior engineers sign off on AI-assisted changes
The unwritten thing is that if you need seniors to review every single change from junior and mid-level engineers, and those engineers are mostly using Kiro to write their CRs, then what stops the senior from just writing the CRs with Kiro themselves?
belval··on After outages, Amazon to make senior engineers sign off on AI-assisted changes
I am not in that specific meeting but it made me chuckle that a weekly ops meeting will somehow get media attention. It's been an Amazon thing forever. Wait until the public learns about CoEs!
belval··on Tell HN: Tired of Generic Long Form A.I Posts
My favorite is seeing thought leader-style posts in LinkedIn by coworkers whose writing style I am familiar with, clearly written by an LLM.
belval··on Layoffs at Block
> you could reduce headcount via attrition which is better in some ways

I don't think reducing via attrition is better for the company, for the employees 100%, but attrition would be your people moving to other companies and retirement. It means that you are effectively bleeding your people with options (usually above average) and those with the most experience in favor of "the rest".

belval··on Evaluating AGENTS.md: are they helpful for coding agents?
My pet peeve with AI is that it tends to work better in codebase where humans do well and for the same reason.

Large orchestration package without any tests that relies on a bunch of microservices to work? Claude Code will be as confused as our SDEs.

This in turns lead to broader effort to refactor our antiquated packages in the name of "making it compatible with AI" which actually means compatible with humans.

belval··on Open source is not about you (2018)
It's an interesting world for sure, I maintain a somewhat popular package and got a form to fill from a Deloitte consultant about security once.

They seemed genuinely confused when I told them I was not going to fill compliance form and make patching commitments for free. Really makes you wonder how many maintainers are letting themselves be taken advantage of.

belval··on France dumps Zoom and Teams as Europe seeks digital autonomy from the US
Look I am all for Euro-skepticism, but "boycotting the best products" on an article about Microsoft Teams which is well known to be clawing its way into companies despite very negative feedback due to advantageous pricing when you are integrated with Office 365 (which is itself monopolistic behavior). Is not one.

The reality is that chat apps nowadays have little moat, blocking the worst offenders for sovereignty's sake it perfectly logical.

belval··on Benchmarking OpenTelemetry: Can AI trace your failed login?
Yeah I don't know their stack but I have a service that is a collection of microservices and Opus can debug them fine by aggregating the logs tied to the same faulty request ID.

In general for those tasks though the question is more "How would a human do it". If it's impossible for a human because your tooling is so bad you can't even get the logs across services for a single ID, that seems like a pretty serious design issue.

In general looking at the prompt though, this is also not very representative. You don't have an SOP that you can share with your agent? How do you expect new hires to onboard?

belval··on Amazon closing its Fresh and Go stores
> all within walking distance of your apartment, you don’t need to deal with the hassles of finding stuff within a massive supermarket.

Is that really a thing though? I feel like arguing for quality is a strong argument, but between walking between small shops at the end of my work day and just doing one supermarket feels more efficient.

Finding stuff within a supermarket is also not hard once you've been once or twice.

belval··on State of the Windows: What is going on with Windows 11?
I am confused by what you mean by this. An average user would interact with the new "Settings" and never really touch or see Control Panel...
belval··on Doubting U.S. resolve, Europe looks to bolster its own nuclear arsenal
Internally maybe, but Trump has a way to trigger large political movements within countries.

Canada was supposed to have a large (historically large) conservative government 3 months before the latest elections, but with Trump in the white house people suddenly want to move away from the right, it's a very interesting effect.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/04/world/canada/global-elect...

It's not impossible that we will see something similar happen across Europe.

belval··on Nvidia Stock Crash Prediction
Miners usually don't overclock though. If anything underclocking is the best way to improve your ROI because it significantly reduces the power consumption while retaining most of the hashrate.
belval··on Nvidia Stock Crash Prediction
Especially since AWS still have p4 instances that are 6 years old A100s. Clearly even for hyperscalers these have a useful life longer than 3 years.
belval··on "Anyone else out there vibe circuit-building?"
Not quite the same thing, but recently I want to make adapter clips for connecting powerblocks to a barbell, making them suitable as weights for deadlift/benching. I have fusion 360 experience so I designed something to 3D print as usual, but the issue was that PLA even at 100% infill is pretty unsafe when holding 90lbs blocks.

The logical next step is to use metal, but that's outside of my hobby tools. I found that JLCPCB offered sheet metal fabrication but I had no experience with sheet metal designs. I went to ChatGPT and was actually really impressed by how well it was able to guide me from design to final model file. I received the adapters last week and was really impressed by how nice they turned out.

All of that to say, AI-assisted design is actually lowering the bar of entry for a whole lot of problems and I am quite happy about it.

belval··on "Anyone else out there vibe circuit-building?"
Are most circuits novel? I'd assume that there is enough out there to fit 80% of PCB design needs and sure it can still be bad at the remaining 20%.
belval··on How Iran Switched Off the Internet
Mesh is inherently easy to track for the government though (even if we ignore DoS). You could analyze irregular RF patterns and target node operators. Wouldn't take long before people completely stop using them.
belval··on Choosing learning over autopilot
I get where the author is coming from, but (I promise from an intellectually honest place) does it really matter?

Modeling software in general greatly reduced the ability of engineers to compute 3rd, 4th and 5th order derivatives by hand when working on projects and also broke their ability to create technical drawing by hand. Both of those were arguably proof of a master engineer in their field, yet today this would be mostly irrelevant when hiring.

Are they lesser engineers for it? Or was it never really about derivatives and drawings, and all about building bridges, engines, software that works?

belval··on The U.S. Government Just Followed Through on Its Ban of DJI Drones
I stand corrected, I guess there are still plenty of sticks to beat us with.
belval··on The U.S. Government Just Followed Through on Its Ban of DJI Drones
I haven't kept up to date but does the US have that much more leverage over Canada anymore? Last I checked we have tariffs on most exports, including crude, wood, steel and aluminium (probably missing a bunch). General goods are tariff'ed at 35% while China is tariff'ed at 47.5%.

They could get us to ban DJI for sure but I'd assume it'd be more through carrot than stick, because at this point we've been pretty consistently beaten for the last year.

belval··on 39c3: In-house electronics manufacturing from scratch: How hard can it be? [video]
It's impressive how JLCPCB somehow made this process seem so seamless and easy for PCBs but also for other random components one might want.

Recently needed an 4 adapters in sheet metal for a project, two fabrication shops near me quoted >100$. Got JLCPCB to do them all for 12$ with 20$ of shipping. Got them in less than 2 weeks.

belval··on You’re not burnt out, you’re existentially starving
> I mean marriage is a global concept but it feels like the US makes a huge deal about it.

I should have made that part clearer but my comment was solely on the kids part of their statement. I don't think marriage is inherently different from any other long-term partnership when it comes "existentially starving".

> As if married people with kids are the happiest people in the world lol.

That's not what I meant at all. The article is about how burnout is a catchall that hides that at our core we actually struggle for meaning. "When facing the existential vacuum, there's only one way out - up, towards your highest purpose". Children do in a lot of way give meaning to your life, suddenly you have a reason for suffering. It's a hell of a stretch to call that happiness, but it's definitely something.

belval··on You’re not burnt out, you’re existentially starving
It's interesting that you get downvoted for what is, from a historical perspective, a very down-to-earth reasonable take.

I don't have kids but I am at the age where more and more of my friends are having kids, there definitely does seem to be something there. They are exhausted but most definitely have a renewed spark of sorts.

Unfortunately this is difficult to A/B test. So I'd avoid having kids to fix burn out.

belval··on Mistral OCR 3
I've worked on document extraction a lot and while the tweet is too flippant for my taste, it's not wrong. Mistral is comparing itself to non-VLM computer vision services. While not necessarily what everyone needs, they are a very different beasts compared to VLM based extraction because it gives you precise bounding boxes, usually at the cost of larger "document understanding".

Its failure mode are also vastly different. VLM-based extraction can misread entire sentences or miss entire paragraphs. Sonnet 3 had that issue. Computer vision models instead will make in-word typos.

belval··on AMD Ryzen 7 5800X3D sells for more than 9800X3D, enthusiasts flock to AM4 DDR4
I have my 5800X in my AM4 motherboard from 2017. My current system as been beyond any doubts the best bang for my bucks of any computer I have built.
belval··on Microsoft has a problem: lack of demand for its AI products
I feel like the case for Microsoft inability to execute in a lot of verticals should really be studied, not saying this as a sound bite, I'd genuinely like to know how that is possible.

Their investment in OpenAI, giving them what was, at least ~1-2 year ago if not now, the best possible LLM to integrate in the office suite yet they are unable to deliver value with it.

Their ownership of Xbox and Windows should have allowed them to get a much better foothold in gaming yet their marketplace is still, to this very day, a broken experience with multiple account types. It's been 10 years.

The counter point is Azure obviously which still has great growth numbers, but that's a different org.

From the outside, it just seems like they should be doing better than they are. They have much better business integration than Google and Amazon. The fit is obvious and people are borderline hooked on excel. Why aren't they dominating completely?

belval··on Ecosia: The greenest AI is here
Netflix spending 240Wh for 1h of content just does not pass the smell test for me.

Today I can have ~8 people streaming from my Jellyfin instance which is a server that consumes about 35W, measured at the wall. That's ~5Wh per hour of content from me not even trying.

belval··on What OpenAI did when ChatGPT users lost touch with reality
> Even the temporarily embarrassed founders that populate this message board do it openly.

Not a wannabe founder, I don't even use LLMs aside from Cursor. It's a bit disheartening that instead of trying to engage at all with a thought provoking idea you went straight for the ad hominem.

There is plenty to disagree with, plenty of counter-arguments to what I wrote. You could have argued that human connection is special or exceptional even, anything really. Instead I get "temporarily embarrassed founders".

Whether you accept it or not, the phenomenon of using LLMs as a friend is getting common because they are good enough for human to get attached to. Dismissing it as psychosis is reductive.

belval··on What OpenAI did when ChatGPT users lost touch with reality
> I worry about the damage caused by these things on distressed people. What can be done?

Why? We are gregarious animals, we need social connections. ChatGPT has guardrails that keep this mostly safe and helps with the loneliness epidemic.

It's not like people doing this are likely thriving socially in the first place, better with ChatGPT than on some forum à la 4chan that will radicalize them.

I feel like this will be one of the "breaks" between generations where millennial and GenZ will be purist and call human-to-human real connections while anything with "AI" is inherently fake and unhealthy whereas Alpha and Beta will treat it as a normal part of their lives.

belval··on Arduino published updated terms and conditions: no longer an open commons
Your comment is/was getting downvoted perhaps because of the last line but this is very true:

> It's just that it doesn't seem to come from someone with authority to make decisions like that or even from someone well informed about the global strategy of the corporation.

Arduino is owned by Qualcomm, Qualcomm is known for being litigious. Whoever wrote that note, unless it was the CEO of Qualcomm, doesn't actually call the shots and if tomorrow the directive comes from above to sue makers they will have to comply.

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