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bertjk

747 karma · joined January 8, 2011

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bertjk··on The Art of Monetary War
It seems to me that both sides, through negotiation, arrived at the "correct" answer to the problem, which was withdrawal of missiles from Cuba and Turkey. In what way was the US response considered a shitshow, and why are US negotiators not considered as cool and wise as the SU ones here, considering they had to ultimately arrive at the same place?
bertjk··on The case for induction cooking
Wow. If this doesn't read like a submarine article[1], I don't know what does.

[1] http://www.paulgraham.com/submarine.html

bertjk··on Mojang to Require a Microsoft Account to Play Minecraft
Why would they suddenly want to play on Java? Is it the mods?
bertjk··on Could we please get back the master-branch on this repository?
Can this problem be solved using symbolic refs? e.g.

  git symbolic-ref refs/heads/master refs/heads/main
or something similar?
bertjk··on Arm Predicts Stagnation If Nvidia Deal Fails
Of course they predict that. They want the deal to go through so they can cash in on Nvidia's sweet, sweet buyout offer.
bertjk··on New evidence suggests that Seattle’s soda tax is working well
> One way around this knotty issue is to take the money from this tax and use it for public services that disproportionally benefit the populations from whom it is generated. (I have no idea what the tax revenues in Seattle are used for.)

And now you've created a bureaucracy that can only maintain its existence if sugary drinks continue to sell well.

bertjk··on Google Had Secret Project to ‘Convince’ Employees ‘That Unions Suck’
I think it just depends on if you like the kool-aid there. If you embrace their mission statement as your own, then other concerns might factor less for you.
bertjk··on Intellectual Loneliness
I wonder though whether this is a situation where everyone agrees that only 5% of a book is good, but no one agrees on which 5%.
bertjk··on How to build a HackerNews Clone using Redis
I've never heard of them being unreliable, and certainly not notoriously so. What sources do you have on this? My own impression formed from reading HN is that opinion around Redis is nearly entirely (almost cultish-ly) positive.

I'm just checking if there is something I missed.

bertjk··on Ideal Monitor Rotation for Programmers
Interesting.. does this mean you have two separate cables connecting to two different inputs of the monitor?
bertjk··on Facebook Execs Nixed Employees' Plan to Quell Hate Speech: Report
In addition to what you described, we can also add a bit more logic: "Only exclude if it is blocked by more than X subscribed lists" or "Only exclude if it is blocked by both Rachel Maddow and Ben Shapiro".
bertjk··on Investing in Startups by Passing the Series 65
Does passing Series 65 automatically make you a professional for these intents and purposes?
bertjk··on Unwanted Corkpull
There are many local grassroots neighborhood groups now from which you can easily find people to take a lot of your items. Look on Freecycle.org, or look for "Buy Nothing <your town name>" on FB, or just post things for free on Nextdoor.

I've used these gotten rid of so many random doodads through these venues, and each time it feels great knowing that whoever picking up actually will likely use it. My impression of charity donations is that they dump a lot of their donations if they don't immediately see things as being high enough quality to resell.

bertjk··on The Framework is the most exciting laptop I've used
> (I'm also trying to fit a Li-Ion battery/UPS between the PSU and components)

This should totally be a thing. I wish it was a thing. It doesn't even have to provide hours of runtime, just needs to be enough to handle the occasional stupid California brownout.

bertjk··on If software engineering is in demand, why is it so hard to get a job?
When you say "industry funded", who specifically are you referring to? Tool / parts / consumables manufacturers? The individual plumbing firms?
bertjk··on The argument for a permanent Olympic City
Where you see infrastructure burden, others see opportunities for pork barrel spending, corruption, and graft. It is a feature, not a bug.
bertjk··on Scientists who say the lab-leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 shouldn't be ruled out
While I agree with you, I'm thinking that this is a response common to sensitive government institutions in general. If this lab leak happened in the US, would we suddenly invite CCP (or Russian/N.Korean/Iranian) agents into Fort Detrick to conduct their "investigations"? Which country would actually allow such a thing?

Consider for a moment the propaganda value of being able to say, "we visited their labs and witnessed first-hand their failure to {do some sanitization procedure} correctly! Oh how they clearly don't value human lives!"

bertjk··on China boycotts Western clothes brands over Xinjiang cotton
One explanation:

It is a big deal for Western companies given their Embedded Growth Obligations. A lot of their stock price and chosen leadership is justified only by the potential for growth that only winning the Chinese market can possibly provide.

bertjk··on The Drivers Cooperative
Some things should be cheaper, due to the work already done by existing competitors. They don't need to spend marketing dollars on educating people on ride-hailing in general, do not need to buy lobbyists to make amenable laws, their initial app can be merely a clone of the competitors'.

Now that driver and rider expectations around the service have solidified somewhat the backend systems can be simpler too.

There are many benefits to being a fast follower.

bertjk··on US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross Straits Invasion
Can you name a single war that was started with logical reasons more than emotional ones?
bertjk··on Tesla buys $1.5B in Bitcoin, may accept it as payment in the future
I've noticed the same, and I find it kind of amusing because it is basically the opposite of the common advice of periodically "rebalancing" your portfolio
bertjk··on It’s Time for Real Time Settlement
Ok, this is kind of fascinating. So interest is bad.

Is rent bad? If I have a car or a house is it bad if I rent it out?

How about if I had a bag of cash, is it bad if I rent that out? How are the two scenarios different?

bertjk··on Global real interest rates and the ‘suprasecular’ decline, 1311–2018 (2020)
The price is paid every time someone has to overpay for housing, and every time someone deposits money into their 401K which will invariably be invested chasing riskier and higher priced assets, whose future returns increasingly depend on stock appreciation, and less on dividend yields which will never catch up. Consider for a moment the common advice to just "buy and hold the SP500", and then the recent news that TSLA just joined the same.

They are slowly making it a foregone conclusion that any policy that favors companies with actual operating returns over inflating ratios will necessarily crush everyone's retirement portfolios, and therefore any such move would be politically untenable.

bertjk··on Philly scientist behind COVID vaccine tech was demoted by UPenn
But the same supply side problem is also an argument against single payer healthcare. Maybe you've negotiated an awesome rate for the public, but then this comes back to bite you in the form of shortages and/or reduced R&D of new treatments. I mean, essentially it is one big monopsonistic price control regime, right? On the other hand if we can somehow bolster competition, increase doctors trained, etc., then maybe prices can come down on their own to a level accessible to the public again.
bertjk··on Tips for a Better Life
I agree with the point about being able to compare two windows, but I feel like the second monitor adds much less value now that affordable 32" 4K monitors are a thing. Now the more useful investment is simply learning your OS's window management hotkeys to immediately snap your window to either the left side or right side of the screen.
bertjk··on I've been merging microservices back into the monolith
In your opinion what is the difference between an SOA and microservice architecture? When does a microservice become just an SOA service or vice versa?
bertjk··on Lambda School is the biggest mistake I made this year
It means that in the sort of zero interest rates environment that we are in, where investors are desperate for yield, they will probably be able to sell these for years longer than they otherwise would have (and ruining lives in the process) before the house of cards finally comes crashing down.

In theory you are right, and in theory savvy investors would have never allowed the subprime mortgage market to get so ridiculous to allow the 2009 GFC to manifest.

But I think in reality it changes the game greatly. Before securitization Lambda is incentivized to produce grads with lucrative job placements. Now they may find that they get a better return on their efforts going for volume and marketing their ISA bundles. Teaching 5K bootcampers to code is hard. They may find that roping in a Masa Son or other less savvy fund to overpay for a portfolio of 100k ISAs (growth produced by lowering standards and taking on unqualified candidates ) to be relatively easier.

bertjk··on Lambda School is the biggest mistake I made this year
Wait.. so they were securitizing their ISAs? I had no idea they were doing that. It is a brilliant twist I didn't expect, and that also causes me to lose all respect for them. I liked the ISA idea before, but this... is perverse.
bertjk··on Apple Preps Next Mac Chips with Aim to Outclass Highest-End PCs
I don't see the point. None of them except possibly Intel themselves would have the economies of scale to put the next M1-challenging super x86_64 iteration on a bleeding edge process node, which would be required if one actually wanted to challenge M1. Also have we forgotten that there actually is a third x86 vendor? Via / Centaur's existence and dormancy suggests that having more x86_64 licensees out floating around won't really make much of a difference.
bertjk··on Affirm Public S-1 Filing
What makes you think the fed's tap will ever get turned off? What preconditions do you think we have to see before it happens?

In the past, every time I thought "the Fed will have to tighten soon" something happens which somehow, magically, always requires more easy money to solve.

Example: Easy money caused a housing bubble that burst? Now we need easy money to fix unemployment and keep the markets from seizing up.

It seems that politicians have now decided that the easy-money solution is always the easiest one, with the least traceable future negative ramifications.

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