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4,077 karma · joined January 8, 2014

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bildung··on The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
The difference between investment and speculation is pretty established, isn't it? For example https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/09/difference-betwe...
bildung··on The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
All of Stellar, Hedera and Algorand have a big centralization problem, they have solved nothing. Stellar and Ripple aren't even proper cryptocurrencies unless you allow for a very lenient definition.

> the know-it-all condescension really rubs me the wrong way - do they clone these people or what? Where do they all come from?

In my experience the people being very optimistic about crypto real world use cases usually have their first exposure with economic theory from within the crypto sphere and lack the real world experience to know some actual pain points of the current economic system. For example the oracle problem is severly glossed over by smart contract approaches, which mostly try to solve trust issues that are essentially solved issues in the real world.

bildung··on The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
> The USD has lost 90% of its purchasing power since the 1950's

That's a meaningless number without context: The median income gain was 2000% (i.e. double the purchasing power loss) during the same period (median yearly family income was $3300 in 1950 https://www.census.gov/library/publications/1952/demo/p60-00...)

bildung··on The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
By law it must take at most a single day intra-country, and instant wire transfers are pretty common (though sometimes not free).
bildung··on The Handwavy Technobabble Nothingburger of Crypto
The difference is that those people can honestly see and use crypto as speculative assets, which is fine (if we ignore externalities for a second), not making up use cases.
bildung··on First stage POWER9 Firefox JIT passes tests
When did they make Threadripper open source?
bildung··on Django 4.0 release candidate 1 released
What do you mean with custom join table? Self-referential m2m works fine im my experience.
bildung··on Dopamine Fasting: A Maladaptive Fad (2020)
> Not literally removing all dopamine from your body, but reducing your overall levels/staying at the baseline more.

To my knowledge there is no evidence that more dopamine gets created when practicing unhealthy behaviour. Neurotransmitters are much more complex than the simplistic fasting model describes. If you don't have severe malnutrion (e.g. not enough tyrosine etc.) or Parkinson or ADHS or similar, the dopamine is just there in your brain, waiting to be released as needed. We don't create more of it just because we look at insta 50 times a day. And we can't use it all up through behavior alone (but things like amphetamines do, of course).

The metaphor of dopamine levels working like battery levels is simply wrong. High levels of dopamine correlate with good mood, but also schizophrenia. ADHS patients' symptoms can both get better and worse when consuming dopamin produgs.

bildung··on Dopamine Fasting: A Maladaptive Fad (2020)
This has nothing to do with the hedonic treadmill. The treadmill model describes changed on much larger timeframes and of much larger impact, i.e. how your model of the world changes if you lose both legs, or become a parent, or become rich etc.

Dopamine fasting is a mechanistic model trying to explain unhealthy behaviour patterns that can occur dozens of times a day.

bildung··on Dopamine Fasting: A Maladaptive Fad (2020)
I think this criticism is itself missing the forest for the trees. The idea behind dopamine fasting is, (possibly unfairly) reduced to the minimum, that doing less of a harmful behaviour for a while will cure us of our problematic behaviour. In other words, we actually are addicted to dopamine itself, instead of having built up maladaptive cognitions. This is what (I think) the article tried to refute.

Even with the little we know about the inner workings of our brains, this doesn't appear to be true: We have to actively build up alternative behaviour and critically inspect/change the cognitions that actually promote the problematic behaviour.

So if a person has unhealthy bevaviour patterns regarding social media consumption, just doing less of that without also actively changing the cognitions that lead to the unhealthy behaviour in the first place won't help much. We do these things because we have a mostly subconsious theory that doing this is good for us. If this actually isn't, than that assumption has to be challenged, and healthy alternatives have to be built up. Just not doing the thing for a while won't replace the assumption, unless one is abstinent for a really long time (think years).

bildung··on German state planning to switch 25,000 PCs to LibreOffice
What kind of harm, i.e. which stats to look at to compare the different approaches?
bildung··on German state planning to switch 25,000 PCs to LibreOffice
> Didn't Munich do this like 20 years ago and it was a complete failure?

No, it was reversed for political reasons. The majority of users were happy. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LiMux

bildung··on Daddy isn’t coming back
Japan has a bit lower rates than the US. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.STA.SUIC.P5?most_rec...

In general one usually gets more meaningful results when a) comparing geographically and/or culturally similar countries for things like these. E.G the UK has half the mortality rate of the US, Canada and the EU have 2/3 of the US rate. And b) compare trends, not single values. E.G. US rates are rising (which I as a layman would interpret as speaking against the firearms thesis), while the rates of Lithuana and Japan are falling.

bildung··on Amazon to stop accepting UK Visa credit cards
If the path keeps being bumpy you probably took a wrong turn.
bildung··on I write a parenting advice column (or how I became famous in my neighborhood)
I'd advice reading a book like "The Gene Illusion" by Jay Joseph as a similar pop-science book taking the opposite position.
bildung··on John Deere boosts pay, retirement benefits in new offer to striking UAW
CEO compensation and company performance are not correlated, there's an abundance of studies about that available. If we accept the axiom that their compensation is based on rational decisions of market participatents, what do they decide CEO compensation on, if not company performance?

Can't we describe the reality better if we accept that the "labor market" as an analogy to e.g. a potato market or washing machine market is a faulty model?

bildung··on Elizabeth Holmes is on trial for fraud, but don't forget about her VC enablers
The difference seems to be that Ballmer definitely was an expert for all things commercial/enterprisey (he made MS quite a bit of money during his reign), but not an expert for consumer products.
bildung··on Alibaba Open Source XuanTie RISC-V Cores, Introduces In-House Armv9 Server Chip
I just have been more precise and say copyright holder instead of issuer. Linus doesn't hold the copyright for most of the Linux source, hence he can't relicense without explicit oks from the other developers.
bildung··on India Counting Down to 1B Doses
Sinovac is said to be 51% effective at preventing symptoms, but 87%-100% effective at preventing hospitalization or death. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-57817591
bildung··on India Counting Down to 1B Doses
They say because they still maintain a zero covid strategy for the foreseeable future: https://time.com/6104303/china-zero-covid/

As far as I have read China heavily locks down regions if covid flares emerge, tests everyone in the region within a few days, then opens everything up less than a week later. This doesn't fit to the way more laissez-faire approach in the West.

bildung··on India Counting Down to 1B Doses
Plus about 1.2 billion doses that were exported/donated: https://www.bbc.com/news/58808889
bildung··on Alibaba Open Source XuanTie RISC-V Cores, Introduces In-House Armv9 Server Chip
Copyleft won't help you there either if the license issuer is also the producer of the physical chip: Licenses are regulating what third parties can do with the source, they don't restrict the issuer.
bildung··on Elon Musk invited to a video call into Volkswagen executive conference
Yes I meant more like e.g. a VW charging flatrate that also applies when using Teslas network as a VW owner. In any case this is pure speculation.
bildung··on Elon Musk invited to a video call into Volkswagen executive conference
Teslas strong dominance in the EV market is quite US-specific it seems. E.G. in France Renault sold more cars, and Peugeot is head to head with Tesla. In Germany VW sold multiple times as much as Tesla. In China BYD sold more than Tesla etc. (all BEV, not plugin hybrids).
bildung··on Elon Musk invited to a video call into Volkswagen executive conference
It isn't like VW is much behind Tesla in EV sales: 171k BEV plus 171k PHEV vs. 386k for Tesla in H1 2021, and VW had faster EV growth than Tesla compared to last year.

I suspect this is more about interoperability, e.g. a charging station deal or something similar.

VW: https://insideevs.com/news/521666/volkswagen-group-sales-plu...

Tesla: https://www.statista.com/statistics/502208/tesla-quarterly-v...

bildung··on Nuclear Power in France
> Fact is that even today (13/10/2021) Germany is still running its electricity production at 51% on Coal,

And one day later it's 38.7%, which shows that daily fluctuations are quite high. Therefore my link to the 2020 average, which was 23%.

> taxes are close to the same in France with close to 31% of the cost only in Taxes [2]. That along does not justify the 2x difference of price.

Here it is in detail, the net energy prices in Germany vs. France are about the same: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...

bildung··on The Venus Project
> And average working people were so well off in the USSR that they never tried to leave, lamented its fall, etc...

Indeed most average people were quite happy with the regimes. The dissidents, people trying to flee etc. were usually academics. (I'm from Eastern Germany, so this is anecdata, but at least the first-hand kind).

I suppose this is also true for China: The young people there have seen huge intergenerational prosperity advances for three or sometimes four generations.

This mixes up topics, though: central planning is largely orthogonal to political freedom. As a mirror, there were a bunch of authoritarian free market situations, e.g. in South America, but also Italy, Spain and Germany during their dictatorships.

> The US is remarkably decentralized,

Are you sure about that? My impression is that large parts of the economy are actually controlled by (quasi-)monopolies or oligopolies.

> In the end, central planning does not survive any good intentions of its originators.

Most European countries have a federal budget to GDP ratio of over 50%, suggesting that central planning actually does deliver in many segments of the economy, notably those where working market dynamics are very hard to achieve (esp. education, healthcare, pensions, social services, often also energy and water infrastructure).

bildung··on Obsidian mirror used by Elizabeth I’s court astrologer has Aztec origins
Doesn't this description fit to every religion? It isn't like any of those are founded on rationality or empiric observations.
bildung··on U.S. inflation rate rises to 13-year high of 5.4%
In economics there's the difference between transient inflation and core inflation (I think this is what GP alludes to).

Really simplified: Core inflation happens when most market participants think inflation is here to stay and act accordingly. Transient inflation is caused for different reasons, a current example was the supply shock that led to the rise and subsequent fall in lumber prices.

The distinction is important because in the current case there is a simple, one-time cause for the transient inflation: The disruption caused by Covid and is rippling through the layers of the economy. Most participants know this and therefore won't fear perpetual price rises, thus core inflation is pretty unlikely to occur.

bildung··on Nuclear Power in France
> Germany is firing up coal plants because they're decomissining their nuclear reactors in favour of intermittent energy sources

No they aren't, they are decomissioning coal plants, too, and at a much faster rate than nuclear.

From 2013 to 2020 nuclear as share of Germany's energy mix went from 17% to 13%. https://energy-charts.info/charts/energy_pie/chart.htm?l=en&...

During the same time, coal went from 45% to 23%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_Germany

> Germany kwh price is 2x compared to France

The difference is taxes, not production costs. Have a look at price composition for Germany: https://www.cleanenergywire.org/factsheets/what-german-house...

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