3,633 karma · joined October 30, 2022
I was a huge AI skeptic but since Jan 2025, I have been watching AI take my job away from me, so I adapted and am using AI now to accelerate my productivity. I'm in my 50s and have been programming for 30 years so I've seen both sides and there is nothing that is going to stop it.
I read the Handmaid's Tale and my first thought after finishing it was "Oh wow, this might actually happen here!"
This kid and his cohorts, they hear a concept for the first time, and they just get it. Then when it comes to doing the problems, he might struggle a little but then he gets it. He is getting 95% in calculus and the only reason he lost marks is because he made sloppy mistakes.
My friend's child is profoundly gifted (160+ IQ). He is 12 years old and finishing Calculus and next year will be taking college math courses. His friends are a year younger than him and have qualified for AIME since they were 8 years old.
Giftedness is very real, and it's not just "maturity". Their brains are different. Seeing them squabble over math problems, it's like watching people talk a different language.
Ah, so a bit more useful than my teenage son? Where do I sign up??
That is classic Vince Gilligan. He does that several times in both Breaking Bad and Better Call Saul. It's not filler, it's done with intentionality. You might not like it, but to say that an editor should cut that out is simply wrong. That's his distinct style, just like Wes Anderson has his own style, etc.
This is not about how movies are paced, it's about the way phones have changed attention spans.
"What encryption do you use?"
"DES."
1) the market was looking for an excuse and the new Fed chain nominee was as good a reason as anything.
2) The margin requirements on metal futures changed THIS MONTH. Instead of having daily limits, they changed the margin requirements for futures contracts in real-time throughout this move. Futures brokerages calculate margin requirements every second, so what happened was as silver dropped today, the margin requirements got more strict and then people were being liquidated out of their positions immediately. This caused the markets to crash the way we did all day.
Previously, what you would see are circuit breakers kick in and the contracts would stop trading for a certain amount of time. You never used to see down 30% days ever, because circuit breakers would limit is. You would see limit down days, and the contracts would stop trading for the rest of the day and then reopen the next day. In the 70s and 80s I think there was a time when some contracts would open at limit down for 15+ days in a row and wouldn't trade for the entire day and people were financially ruined because they couldn't get out of a position for weeks on end.
So finding an excuse to sell on top of forced liquidation is what you saw today. It's a classic volcano top and I think silver is going to drift lower for the rest of the year.
The entire narrative is made up and this is really just supply vs demand in terms of silver contracts and shares. I have been actively trading silver since last year and made over $100k and in precious metals (mostly gold) for 30+ years since I first graduated from college so I'm not just an idle spectator.
So series B is worth about 250M and series C is worth about 625M. Series C-2 is worth about 1.5B. Series D is worth 425M and Series D2 is worth 300M because of LP. That's a total of 3B.
That leaves 2B for everyone else. Most employees are going to get fucked big time, especially the ones after 2019. They will get a small fraction of their RSUs and all their options will be worthless, if they had options.
It sounds like investors got out okay, but employees got fucked big time. It's a terrible exit and Brex waited too long until their growth stalled.
But all employees after 2021 are underwater. I wonder if they got any relief from management or if they got screwed.
All the AI companies are locked in a death loop where they must spend as much money as possible otherwise everything they invested will immediately become zero. No one is going to pay for an LLM when the competitor has GAI. So it's death loop for everyone that has become involved in this race.
> most of my friends have dropped off or gone crazy
If you find yourself to be the one who is isolated, then I think you need to look inward. My best friends and I share completely polar opposite politics. We have known each other for almost 50 years now. We have had yelling matches over politics, especially during the Pandemic. We have now stopped talking... about politics. We still chat every single day throughout the day. I laugh heartily at least once a day over some extremely offensive joke that one of us sends, usually at each other's expense. But we never, ever talk about politics anymore and we are happier for it.
Maybe you need to rekindle those friendships and see if you can avoid politics. If you can't then I think it's more on you than them and you should reflect on that.
I have found QA to be mostly unnecessary friction throughout my career, and I've never been more productive than when QA and writing tests became my responsibility.
This is usually what has happened during a release cycle.
1) Devs come up with a list of features and a timeline.
2) QA will go through the list and about 1/2 of the features will get cut because they claim they don't have time to test everything based on their timeline.
3) The cycle begins and devs will start adding features into the codebase and it's radio silence from the QA.
4) Throughout the release QA will force more features to get dropped. By the end of the release cycle, another 1/4 of the original number of features get dropped leaving about 1/4 of the original features that were planned. "It will get done in a dot release."
5) Near the end of the release, everything gets tested and a mountain of bugs come in near the deadline and everyone is forced to scramble. The deadline gets pushed back and QA pushes the blame onto the devs.
6) After everything gets resolved, the next release cycle begins.
This is at quite a few enterprise software companies that most people in Silicon Valley have heard of if you've been working for more than 10 years.