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boltzmannbrain

710 karma · joined September 26, 2014

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boltzmann_brain
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boltzmannbrain··on Julia library for fast machine learning
From the Gen leads Marco and Alex: https://discourse.julialang.org/t/whats-the-difference-betwe...
boltzmannbrain··on Elon Musk: ‘Too many smart people go into finance and law’
Senior year of Mechanical Engineering undergrad, professors would legitimately get upset with students for taking jobs in finance and consulting. They wouldn't hold back, saying quite literally "this is a waste of your education."
boltzmannbrain··on SpaceX's Starship became NASA's ace in the hole to get to the moon by 2024
No. You're missing the added complexities of supporting human life in spaceflight.
boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: No formal software education – is there hope for me?
Keep going. More side projects, more interviews (with startups). If you get a "resident" offer to work your way into fulltime, take it. Maybe the pay isn't ideal for 6-12 months, but the gratification of building yourself into a legit software engineer should make it worthwhile.

My path: undergrad and masters in MechE, learned a little machine learning with matlab in grad school, taught myself python and hacked at AI/ML side projects while working at a startup doing FEA for about a year, eventually got an internship with an ML startup... eight years later I'm Chief Scientist at a near-unicorn AI startup.

boltzmannbrain··on It’s Time to Build
They won't :(

They'll retweet to get more follows.

They'll +1 and forget about this.

They'll brag about some lab-grown meat investment that is really 0.01% of their portfolio that's chock full of productivity apps and luxury home goods.

They'll broadcast "we invest in the boldest founders changing the world with science and tech innovation", then back yet another consumer goods startup that literally perpetuates the economic challenges this article suggests to fight.

boltzmannbrain··on AI startups raised $6.9B in Q1 2020
Latent Sciences?? https://latentsci.com/
boltzmannbrain··on AI startups raised $6.9B in Q1 2020
1. Many startups claiming AI are simply doing things with data; research shows two-fifths have no AI programs in their products [1].

2. Round-closing announcements trail the actual closing by several months. Not to mention the actual raising and diligence takes months (even more so for larger/later rounds). Thus the $ reported here does not factor in covid19 and the current economic crisis, as implied.

[1] https://www.ft.com/content/21b19010-3e9f-11e9-b896-fe36ec32a...

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: How can I be a better contributor to meetings at work?
1. If you can, come prepared with a notepad and several bullet points of your thoughts/questions. Just the simple act of writing it down crystallizes your thoughts and is a practice run at speaking aloud.

2. Don't speak just to speak. Empty comments are wasteful -- minimal value in the eyes of dimwits, and negative value to those that matter.

Point 2 is related to "Law 4: Always Say Less Than Necessary" of Greene's 48 Laws of Power [1]. It would be good to read the full book ;)

[1] http://www.elffers.com/low/start/index2.html

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: Who has been laid off?
> I wish the employees had a seat at the negotiating table for any of this

Perspective from the other side of the table: I can't speak for every company, but we've worked day and night for weeks to figure out a plan that puts employees first and gives us a fighting chance to emerge from this crisis. It may not feel like it, but damn we fight for every single person's job. Paycuts w/o layoffs is a win.

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: NYC with autoimmune disease, what should I do?
Do you have data sources?
boltzmannbrain··on Show HN: ScraperAI – Extract data from any website, detect changes
Sooo where's the AI?
boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: NYC with autoimmune disease, what should I do?
Yes, thank you.

My thought experiments have been hand-wavy expected value calculations like this: P(failure) = P(infection) * P(critical) * (1-P(icu))

0.1 * 0.8 * 0.9 = 0.072

and cost of failure is, well, infinite.

That infection probability is optimistic, considering what you mention above. That ICU availability probability is the situation we're facing in NYC.

boltzmannbrain··on Show HN: dstack.ai – publish, track, and share data visualizations
So it's plot.ly, but costs money?

Oh I see you have a dot-ai domain. Very cool.

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: How do you write code so it's easy to change?
"Write code that is easy to delete"

https://programmingisterrible.com/post/139222674273/write-co...

boltzmannbrain··on P3: Pandemic Prevention Platform (2017)
Bueller?... Bueller?...
boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: Bloated engineering titles?
1. The culture and processes should supersede the org chart. If that's not the case, go work somewhere better.

2. To some people levels matter for career growth and validation. Other people don't give two sh*ts. For all people looking to switch jobs (as we all inevitably do) the levels make a difference in recruiting, salary negotiations, etc.

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: Why do people love Slack?
Related: "Slack is the opposite of organizational memory"

https://abe-winter.github.io/plea's/help/2018/02/11/slack.ht...

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: What is the most underrated skill software engineers should learn?
Patience.
boltzmannbrain··on Sloppy PhD Hires
> Many PhD students are not ready to work in the "real world"

There are exceptions, but this is largely true.

I would go a step further and suggest FAANG are easier environments for ML PhDs because they go into research groups like FAIR and Google Brain, where legitimate software engineering (and general professional practices) aren't required. In other companies -- i.e. ML startups -- those training wheels need to come off, quickly.

boltzmannbrain··on Why are we using black box models in AI when we don’t need to? (2019)
A couple salient quotes from "Interpreting AI Is More Than Black And White" in Forbes [1]:

"No matter the definition, developing an AI system to be interpretable is typically challenging and ambiguous. It is often the case that a model or algorithm is too complex to understand or describe because its purpose is to model a complex hypothesis or navigate a high-dimensional space, a catch-22. Not to mention what is interpretable in one application may be useless in another."

"Underspecified and misaligned notions of interpretation impede progress towards the rigorous development of understandable, transparent, trusted AI systems."

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexanderlavin/2019/06/17/beyon...

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: How to find business partner in US?
Post a portfolio, project, or specific concept to build, and an email for people to contact you.
boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?
Thank you for making intriguing predictions that aren't about FANG, software stack, etc :)
boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: Full-on machine learning for 2020, what are the best resources?
Sure, go through the fastai material and maybe write a blog post about how you learned ML (read: DL) in a few months. What you really learned is copy-pasting code (as you mentioned) and some neural net tricks (like a good learning-rate to start SGD).

How to learn ML? Do fastai + reading Daphne Koller's and Chris Bishop's books on PGMs + re-implementing a paper on Gaussian process classification + another paper on GNNs + ....

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: Full-on machine learning for 2020, what are the best resources?
> All of the theory and such is mostly worthless

No. You will not get beyond copy-paste level without being comfortable with ML foundations. That doesn't mean you need to be able to prove variational inference bounds in your sleep, but you'll want to know why we need things like lower bounds for approximate inference.

boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: Full-on machine learning for 2020, what are the best resources?
1. Find a paper you like/admire

2. Implement their methods from scratch (i.e. numpy not pytorch)

3. Experiment a bit, tweaking the models/algs to gain intuition

4. Repeat 1-3

boltzmannbrain··on AI Update, Late 2019
> The whole field of AI resembles a giant collective of wizards of Oz. A lot of effort is put in to convincing gullible public that AI is magic, where in fact it is really just a bunch of smoke and mirrors.

No, you're generalizing the marketing department at IBM over a deeply passionate, hard-working, brilliant community of scientists and engineers.

boltzmannbrain··on Facebook Libra Is Architecturally Unsound
And the one true god is the giant head in the sky: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m6i94KLhKS4
boltzmannbrain··on Ask HN: Getting started in biology with a software background
Biotech startup school: https://www.baybridgebio.com/biotech-startup-school.html
boltzmannbrain··on Soli
Perfect, thank you :)
boltzmannbrain··on Soli
Slightly off topic: Where can one find these minimalist cartoons/sketches of people for websites? Ideally free, but those options appear super cartoonish and limited.
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