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burfog

2,425 karma · joined March 3, 2016

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burfog··on After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform
What you call "screw the poor" can be seen as a way to prevent moral hazard. By that I mean the term as used by the insurance industry, not something religious.

Simply put, every economic system finds a way to force people to do miserable work. Passive systems (roughly "free market") use the natural consequences of poverty. Active systems end up with brutal prison camps, because normal people just won't volunteer to do miserable jobs for the common good.

burfog··on After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform
The automatic shutdown contributed.

Fukushima needed cooling pumps to operate. There were 3 ways to power the pumps:

1. the reactor itself, automatically shut down when the earthquake was detected

2. diesel generators, shut down by flooding

3. power lines from elsewhere, shut down by the tsunami knocking them down

Clearly, shutting down the reactor is a self-inflicted problem. Had they left it running, the pumps would have had power, and the whole disaster wouldn't have happened.

It's a stupid panic-driven regulation that a nuclear power plant must shut down for an earthquake. Once the earthquake hits, it is too late to reach a cool shut-down state. That would take weeks. There is no justification for doing the shutdown. It just caused problems, leading to disaster.

burfog··on After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform
The real answer is mostly "don't do that".

Spent fuel rods can't be used anymore because about 5% of the uranium has been converted into elements that slow down the reaction. The remaining uranium is still good.

Due to a presidential order by Carter, we waste that uranium. The process for recovering the unused uranium (called "reprocessing") is vaguely similar to the process for making bombs. We'd rather not have lots of countries making bombs. The idea was that by not reprocessing our own fuel, we could set an example and hope that somehow that would keep other countries from making bombs. Yes, that is terrible logic.

Japan does the reprocessing. We could do it too, and it wouldn't suddenly arm the world with nukes.

If the fuel is reprocessed, we could cut our need to mine uranium and cut our need to store radioactive material. It's about a 95% reduction. The uranium itself is the long-lived portion, so we'd clear up that problem too.

We could also recover rare-earth elements from the spent fuel. This is the only practical way to create rare-earth elements.

Of course, that doesn't get rid of 100% of the waste. We don't really have a shortage of great places to store it. The worries about burial are blown way out of proportion. All of the proposed facilities for burial are ridiculous overkill.

burfog··on After 48 years, Democrats endorse nuclear energy in platform
It's not just that "The existing regulatory structure for nuclear power was designed for the previous generation of reactors."

It was designed specifically to bankrupt them. It was designed to make them unprofitable.

Just changing an ordinary light bulb in a nuclear power plant is all sorts of certification and paperwork.

There was a ratchet effect on regulations. You could always add more, but nobody would take responsibility for removing regulations. The existence of regulations makes the reactors seem even more terrifying (because why else need the regulations) and then the resulting terror was used to justify more regulations.

burfog··on Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016)
There is a math interpretation error, but it isn't that.

The actual error is that some people keep coming back. Most people don't get a divorce, but some people skew the numbers by getting 2, 3, 4, or more divorces.

burfog··on Ask HN: Having Children
I'm sure it seems that way, without the stress of fighting over decisions related to kids.

What last name would the kids get?

burfog··on Ask HN: Having Children
Adding kids when you don't have a Mrs. Moffat looks hazardous for lots of reasons. The commitment to the relationship is questionable if somebody is holding back on that. Kids shouldn't be brought into an unstable uncommitted situation. Kids won't fix your relationship; they may tear it apart, making you join the ranks of miserable parents fighting over visitation rights and child support payments.
burfog··on Ask HN: How are you coping with the deluge of political bot traffic?
Heh. Exactly why do you feel these people are bots? Might it be that you live in an area where it is unacceptable to express opinions like that? There are real humans like that, some nervously hiding in your neighborhood or workplace.

I happen to live in a different area, where those opinions are held by 100% of the people I know. I have never seen a pro-Biden sign. I know lots of real humans who are very angry that they always get flagged as being bots. No, they aren't bots.

I wonder if you will dismiss me as a bot. :-) Denial of the existence of Trump supporters is a really strange phenomena. What drives it? Of course these people exist! Denial is how people thought Hillary would win. If anything, Trump has more support in 2020 than he did in 2016. Among republicans, the doubt and mistrust is gone.

Note that you can't even see much of the Trump/anti-Obama/anti-Biden content. Both https://kamalaharris.info and https://joebiden.info have been blocked on Instagram, even in private messages. The sender sees it as sent, but the receiver never gets it. Those aren't malware or scams or anything like that. Those are well-researched opposition sites that even have references, put together by a really dedicated Trump fan.

So the true extent of Trump support is just hidden. You can't see it. You may find yourself having a really big surprise on election night.

burfog··on The Social Fabric of the U.S. Is Fraying Severely, If Not Unravelling
It got submitted, but only got 4 points and 3 comments:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24282729

burfog··on Millions of Americans could lose their electricity as shutoff moratoriums expire
Every economic system ends up with both a carrot and a stick.

In some systems, there is the idea that people will take only what they need, and they will of course work hard for the common good. Once the reality of human nature makes it clear that this is a fantasy, out come the rifles and prison camps.

In other systems, the carrot and stick are just natural consequences of nobody intervening. If you don't work, that's fine... but you won't earn anything, and you thus won't be able to convince other people to provide you with things like electricity.

We can adjust the economic system to be more one way or the other. Pretending that the carrot and stick need not exist is a path to hyperinflation, which is a stick applied recklessly to everybody.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
Crime rate is different. There are at least 3 ways to do the statistic:

1. What race has the biggest number being killed by cops? (answer: white)

2. What race has the most per-capita being killed by cops? (answer: black)

3. What race is most likely to be killed by cops if they get in a police confrontation? (answer: white)

The obvious solution for non-equality with #2 is to fix the culture so that conflict with the cops is less likely. Don't do crime. If you are stopped by cops, be fully compliant and don't look like a threat. When stopped by the cops, don't even think of reaching for something they can't see. You just wait, and then you'll be able to sort things out in court.

Eh, we also should fix the non-equality with #3. It shouldn't be more excusable to shoot white people.

burfog··on Two protesters shot dead in Kenosha
American citizens have the right to self defense. Deadly force is authorized.

Worst case, there are a couple states that require the victim (the real one) to attempt to retreat from the attacker if that is possible. Even in those states, the Kenosha riot victim would have had the right to shoot with intent to kill. Cops also don't have to retreat, and they too have the right to self defense.

burfog··on Two protesters shot dead in Kenosha
I really hate how that article uses the word "victim". Murderous rioting attackers are not victims, even if they lose the fight and die, and they are nothing like what "protesters" would suggest.

It's also implied that Jacob Blake was an innocent person. He had already attacked the police, refused to cooperate, and appeared to be reaching into his car for his gun. Of course he got shot. He has a long and very violent criminal history too. It includes: resisting arrest, causing injury to police officer, carry a firearm while intoxicated, disorderly conduct, criminal trespass to dwelling, domestic abuse, 3rd degree sexual assault...

The bad reporting is encouraging violence and getting people killed. People think an innocent man was just killed in cold blood by the cops, for racism or no reason, but that just isn't the case.

burfog··on Uber and Lyft shutdown in California averted as judge grants emergency stay
I think you'll find that the price just changed. People are reporting absurd price drops on a wide variety of different medications. You can thank Trump for it.

It's sort of price controls, but not the usual sort. Trump decided to enforce most-favored-nation pricing. Any price can be charged, except that the USA always gets the cheapest price. The drug manufacturers are understandably livid, so they are now funding attack ads.

burfog··on Gallup: 81% of Black Americans Want Police to Retain Local Presence
Slight corrections with newer info:

The shooter was the same in both instances. The extra shots are of unknown origin. The head shot, that I described second, was the first instance.

The rioters were dumb enough to corner a man with a gun. One did the silly "come on, shoot me" thing and got shot in the head. The rioters then chased the shooter a very long ways, until he fell to the ground.

The guy who got shot in the biceps was attempting to use a pistol to execute the guy on the ground. I couldn't make it out, but the biceps loser had a cell phone in his left hand and a pistol in his right hand. He held both hands up as if to surrender, using that to get closer to the guy on the ground. At this point the guy on the ground had killed 2 people, but he held back. The biceps loser suddenly brought his hands down to fire the pistol. It was a clear attempt to execute the guy on the ground, who then shot off the biceps that was on the arm holding the pistol.

The shooter showed lots of restraint. In numerous cases, he pointed his rifle at potential attackers, but he didn't shoot if they backed off. Legally, he's going to be fine, but I wouldn't be surprised if a politically-motivated trial happens.

His score is 4 rioters shot, 3 of whom died. The biceps loser, who tried to perform an execution, will almost certainly live. The arm might be saved, but that is uncertain.

My overall impression is that it looked like a zombie movie. WTF. The rioters just kept coming, seemingly unaware that in real life you can actually get mangled or killed. The rioters are insane. It's interesting that they scream "medic" when injured. They don't scream "police" or "call 911" or "help" or anything normal. It's like they imagine themselves to be soldiers or in a video game.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
My son is actually paranoid of cops when he goes to play basketball. But anyway, life isn't fair, and if you're having a problem then there are things you can do to improve perception. The lawyer look/mannerisms get you out of the "might be lower class" bucket, which is where the fear and hostility comes from. Although I admit that being white can help avoid that bucket, any white person can put themselves into the "might be lower class" bucket with awful grooming choices. Facial tattoos will do it, a slurred voice will do it, etc.

The kind of people who become teachers are generally not the kind of people who become cops. The education is radically different. So that is a different starting point and a different path to the career. The teaching degree is nearly 100% “woke” garbage, none of it practical in the classroom. Some, for example the methods for reading instruction, has even been proven to be actively harmful.

Educational funding has nearly nothing to do with educational success. The per-child budget for the DC schools should make this very clear. Culture is nearly everything. Some cultures are toxic.

burfog··on Gallup: 81% of Black Americans Want Police to Retain Local Presence
Just tonight, it sort of happened, in Wisconsin.

There were rioters armed in various ways. A favorite was a long and narrow skateboard, because denying that it is intended as a weapon works pretty well. Business owners, homeowners, and their friends were caught in the middle, and typically armed with rifles similar to the AR-15.

Rioters chased a guy down the street. He fell. The rioters were soon upon him. He shot at one while on the ground, and got hit by a skateboard. He then managed to stand (this I feel is where the biased video editing will start) and fire at the skateboard attacker who was coming back for another attack. That shot, at a range of 1 to 5 feet, turned the attacker's biceps into a mist that is visible in the video. (other footage shows a fist-sized chunk missing) Way off on the right side of the video another armed rioter apparently has second thoughts, stopping his approach and backing off a bit. Yet another rioter doesn't seem to get the message, continues approaching, and is shot. The shooter then carefully walks down the street.

Meanwhile, in a different location but close enough that the shots from one video can be heard in the other, there is another shooting with a similar gun. This time the rioter suffers a head shot or two, then drops down with whole-body spasms that suggest brain stem destruction. I could see a bullet wound on the side of the head, but it looked like a grazing wound. I think there was another that hit the neck or entered a nostril. The nose was bleeding, and the neck was hidden by a scarf.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
I'm nearly the opposite of “woke” but I try to be nice, and that wording reminded me of this awful Biden quote: “poor kids are just as bright and just as talented as white kids”

As a general rule, yes, poor people don't care about education. That's typically a contributing factor to being poor. Exceptions are common.

Poor areas and poor families have a sort of cultural rot. Some have given up. Some see other things, often less honest or less productive, as an easier path to getting by in life. Some fear loss of friends if they choose a different path in life. In those areas, a kid who does well in school will be attacked by peers.

So at home, the parents are not reading to kids. The parents are not asking about homework. The parents are not taking away sources of entertainment that distract from success. The parents are not bothered by a non-A grade or in a panic over a below-B grade. Instead, the parents are creating chaos. The parents are getting arrested, coming to blows while drunk or high, and cranking up the TV volume. Very often, the families are broken. Sometimes the kids don't even know their father. All sorts of non-academic nonsense is glorified. The priorities are just all wrong. That is not an environment that promotes discipline, studying, or academic success.

If teachers are really treating black kids of equivalent income and wealth different from white kids, that is interesting. It's particularly interesting because teachers are among the most “woke” of all, commonly marching for BLM while accusing the MAGA crowd of being racist. In the name of BLM people have torched black neighborhoods (both business and residential) and torn down statues of people who fought against slavery, and the arrested people have included numerous teachers.

Life isn't fair, so some hints for your son: wear a nice suit, speak crisp standard English, and keep the grooming strictly traditional. Basically, adopt the mannerisms of a lawyer.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
Things are different, yes, but I'm not seeing any racism on the part of the school administration or school board.

You are in "a high income district". You were in "lower income minority school district". I don't know the racial situation in your current district, though I could probably guess right. It's realistic, though not very nice, to imply that "minority" is the opposite of "high income".

For the discipline difference, it's enough that there is an income difference. That explains everything. There is no need to mention race.

The high-income people, of any race, care about education and discipline. Getting a kid to behave is usually as simple as telling the parents.

The low-income people, on average, don't give a damn. Telling a parent about bad behavior will just generate a tirade of insults. Calling the police works, so that is done.

It's unfair to the low-income people who aren't terrible. Well, life isn't fair. The group you associate with will determine how you are treated.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
Not exactly, but pretty close: "it's very telling when (nearly always white) officers leap to unnecessarily violent tactics on (nearly always Black) victims"

You got that distorted perspective from the media bias.

It's just not that way. Some statistics even point the other way.

burfog··on Mail-in ballots were part of a plot to deny Lincoln reelection in 1864
That is standard practice for news media.

Even if a source is cited, you should remain suspicious. The source might not justify the reporting.

Even if you see video with your own eyes, you should remain suspicious. The video could be missing important context, as it was in the George Floyd case. There, the news media privately saw the bodycam video (which paints a very different picture) but continued to push a misleading account of the event.

If you trust anything from New York Times or from CNN, you should trust this too. It's at least as credible, if not more so.

It's an interesting story, because we see history repeating. The postal worker union has already endorsed a candidate. Here we see a postal worker sneaking off to destroy campaign materials: https://twitter.com/SheriffTNehls/status/1276646406682484736

burfog··on Show HN: Not happy with your politician? Give him feedback
Must sign in with a social media ID... collecting preference data? For spam, doxxing, canceling, or...?
burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
Still, you elected a school board that would permit that difference, and you chose where to live.

If telling parents gets students under control at one school, and it doesn't work at the other school, punishment will be different. You could get to that policy by trial and error, without any knowledge of the racial makeup of the student body.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
Police small arms are equal to military small arms, but usage is different.

Police get better ammunition for destroying human flesh, due to treaty restrictions on the military. Police can get all of the military small arms ammunition.

Police normally leave rifles locked up in their cars.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
Do you think there are no black cops abusing their power, or that there are no white victims? It's hidden from you by the media because it doesn't fit the narrative of racist white cops abusing innocent black victims.

Statistics paint a different picture. Given that there is a police response to crime, a white criminal is more likely to be shot by the police.

I have seen plenty of public outcry over police violence when the suspect was behaving violently. The riots in Ferguson are the obvious example. Evidence of powder burns and of DNA in the car show that the BLM story was clearly false. The evidence is consistent with the story given by the cop. It's been like that for every case that I've researched, so at this point I'm done with research. It's always the same, more or less.

burfog··on A step towards new nitrogen products
It's "easily prepared", eh? Let's take a moment to appreciate the toxic, volatile, pyrophoric nature of this concoction:

"sodium powder, crown ether, trimethylsilyl bromide and N2"

Well, the N2 is probably fine.

The pyrophoric sodium powder might even be a good thing, because it will cause an inferno long before the crown ether has a chance to form explosive peroxides.

burfog··on AI slays top F-16 pilot in DARPA dogfight simulation
Turn rate of a CIWS varies from 50 to 115 degrees per second.

The F-22 can sustain over 30 degrees per second. The exact value, and the instantaneous value, are both classified.

That isn't way off. Limits are in place to prevent pilot blackout, but since we're discussing an AI pilot here, the limits could be removed.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
That's a different school, run by different people. It does not prohibit attendance by students of any race. The only bias I see is that of the parents, who pay a housing premium to avoid being associated with some kinds of people.

The local people choose the school board, which then chooses the school policy and administration.

School policy is limited by what is allowed and by what seems to work. If the parents usually are quick to discipline students for misbehavior, then parents will be relied upon to do so. If the parents ignore or encourage misbehavior, there is no reason to involve them. The police will be called instead.

burfog··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
All of that is seen through the filter of the media. They have a story that they want to sell. They need to grab eyeballs. They are also political, and so they want to push what helps advance their own political goals, even if it tears the country apart.

Specifically, every one of these is subject to selection bias:

  "nearly always white"
  "unnecessarily violent tactics"
  "nearly always Black"
You won't see a news report when the tactics are peaceful, when a black cop is involved, or when the supposed victim is non-black. Nobody is going to riot over that, so why report it? It goes unseen by you, so you get the wrong impression about reality.

A different sort of bias comes into play with word choice, using "victims" to refer to people who typically are violent criminals being apprehended. The word ought to be "perpetrators", "suspects", or simply "criminals".

burfog··on Activists find camera inside box on power pole near union organizer’s home
In real life, I don't even know a person who dislikes Trump. I have never encountered a pro-Biden sign. Maybe it would be different if I worked for Twitter in San Francisco?

I love how you point out that our criminal justice system wasn't prosecuting the criminals because it was infested with corrupt Obama appointees.

It's not zero though. Here's one convicted just last week:

"Former FBI lawyer Kevin Clinesmith pleaded guilty Wednesday in federal court to making a false statement in the first criminal case arising from U.S. Attorney John Durham’s review of the investigation into links between Russia and the 2016 Trump campaign."

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ex-fbi-lawyer-kevin-clinesm...

The crime was altering an email so that it would work as evidence to get the FISA court to allow spying on the Trump campaign. That is far worse than the incident with Nixon.

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