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ceilingcorner

4,272 karma · joined October 19, 2019

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ceilingcorner··on Ask HN: What do you read for a more objective view on the Russia-Ukraine war?
The article doesn’t say China did it, it says China benefits from this. Big difference.
ceilingcorner··on Ask HN: What do you read for a more objective view on the Russia-Ukraine war?
I write all of this to help others understand the issue from multiple perspectives, not to justify or defend anyone.

Here’s what I’ve learned in the last week or so.

There is a good lecture on YouTube called Why Ukraine is the West’s Fault.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4

Mearsheimer, a foreign policy expert of 50+ years, belongs to the “realist” school. I find his viewpoint helpful as it’s very much Machiavellian and not focused on demonizing the Other. I’m not sure how accurate his analysis is, but it seems worth looking at.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Mearsheimer

The gist is essentially this: - NATO, a Soviet-era military alliance, has continued to expand closer to Russia’s borders. Russia feels threatened by this.

- Russia tried to join NATO in the early 2000s but was rebuffed.

- Russia adamantly opposed including Ukraine and Georgia into NATO, but America didn’t care and pushed for it in 2008.

- The US has largely driven this effort and has dragged the EU and Britain along for the ride.

- The revolution/coup in 2014 (depending on which side you believe, I guess) removed more a neutral / pro-Russian government and put in a Western-focused one. This was followed by the separatism in the Donbas and Russia’s taking of Crimea.

However, note that this lecture was before the recent escalation and Mearsheimer didn’t seem to think that Russia would actually launch a full-scale invasion.

I would also note that he doesn't cover other important issues that are relevant to the conflict, namely:

- The history of Ukraine in the last ±500 years, especially the Khmelnytsky Uprising, Cossacks, Ukrainian states in the aftermath of World War 1, the Holodomor famine in Ukraine, and how some Ukrainians helped the Nazis during WW2. In short, the history of Ukraine itself is very relevant to this conflict. There have always been competing groups in this region and it’s not a new phenomenon.

- The disaster that was Russia in the 90s and (from Russia’s perspective) how the West basically took advantage of Russia instead of helping them. This is one reason why Putin came into power in the first place. See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8X7Ng75e5gQ

- Social changes in the Western world that could be called “wokeness” or “LGBT rights” and the West’s behavior of trying to spread these values. This is interpreted as being anti-traditional by Putin and increasingly China (see the recent bans on feminine men in Chinese media as an example.) Putin mentioned this in a recent speech. You could probably describe this as a reaction to Westernization.

ceilingcorner··on Twitter restricted in Russia amid conflict with Ukraine
Inevitable and predictable consequence after western social media companies facilitated political change in the late 2000s and early 2010s.

If you care about an open internet, you should be against banning any sort of media, no matter how much The NY Times calls it misinformation.

ceilingcorner··on Making the dislike count private across YouTube
Sounds like a great use-case for a browser extension. Too bad YouTube and the biggest browser are owned by the same company…
ceilingcorner··on Bitcoin is largely controlled by a small group of investors and miners
> the top 10,000 individual Bitcoin investors control roughly one third of the cryptocurrency in circulation.

The relevant comparison here is to other currencies, not to organizations in general, and to the ability and incentive of these controllers to influence the trajectory of the currency.

Two points:

1. 10,000 people controlling 33% is dramatically less control and centralization than the Federal Reserve, which ultimately has about 10 powerful people.

2. These 10,000 people have very little ability and even less incentive to affect the price of Bitcoin. Again, unlike the Fed, which can print money at will and increase inflation.

ceilingcorner··on Digital nomads want to build an internet country for digital citizens
I don’t think it is nonsense. Consider being an expat: you are outside (the physical location) of your own country. Your “citizenship” is essentially with an entity that is far away. The digital country could have embassies in every nation, just like regular countries.

Now imagine a digital country. What’s the fundamental difference? You’re still interacting with an entity that is far away.

If an organization arose that provided benefits to members in a way similar to actual citizenships, it would likely be competitive and desirable. If this digital country managed to make itself valuable to established states, whether through money, talent, or otherwise, I see no reason why it couldn’t thrive and be comparable to tiny island nations like Vanuatu.

ceilingcorner··on Ask HN: How do you get a job as a software engineer if you've been cancelled?
This never works. The mob is a fickle beast and wants blood, always and forever, and will never forgive even the most repentant sinner.

If you are ever accused of something, rightly or wrongly, never accede and never give in.

ceilingcorner··on Don't give up on having kids because of climate change
I don’t think Facebook having bad algorithms is comparable to bridges collapsing or the plague.
ceilingcorner··on Don't give up on having kids because of climate change
I cannot make any sense of your comment. Did you mean to reply to someone else?
ceilingcorner··on Don't give up on having kids because of climate change
Everything isn’t unaffordable. Living at a high quality of life with iPhones and Uber eats might be unaffordable in certain cities. But the basic costs of having a family (food, shelter, etc.) are probably cheaper today than at any time in history.

I don’t think people understand how poor the average person was even a century ago.

ceilingcorner··on Don't give up on having kids because of climate change
Which past generation had an easier time? Baby boomers, maybe? But they still lived under the threat of nuclear war.

I’ll take bad social media over nuclear war, plague, or famine any day.

ceilingcorner··on Don't give up on having kids because of climate change
The idea is complete nonsense. Even with absolute worst case climate change scenarios, the average person will have a quality of life vastly above basically anyone in the past. Especially during the Middle Ages when plague was killing people in the street. Yet those people still had families and children.

This is a cultural phenomenon, not a rational one, and has more to do with the West’s lack of a coherent worldview in our post-Christian age. It’s a problem of nihilism.

The “interesting” part is that this, like all scenarios, has evolutionary consequences. People that don’t buy into the climate change = I don’t want kids narrative will out-reproduce and out last those that do. The future isn’t a small society of rationalist childfree vegans, it’s comprised of people that have a lot of kids.

ceilingcorner··on It's weird that most of “Hacker” news is dominated by business news
I wouldn’t describe it as business news, more like mainstream news. Over the last six months or so, I have noticed a massive increase in the downvoting of unpopular opinions. Before you had to be deliberately belligerent to get flagged or downvoted. Now it’s more just saying something the slightest bit controversial.

This is how Reddit operates and I am sad to see it taking over Hn too.

ceilingcorner··on Facebook harms its users because that’s where its profits are
I find it amusing that Facebook is currently under attack by the media (broadly defined) for manipulating people, influencing elections, increasing polarization, harming its users etc. Yet that is exactly what the media has done for centuries. Where are the congressional sessions for the CEOs of CNN, Fox, and other legacy media brands?

It looks to me like an old industry is scared of the new one eating its lunch. The medium is the message and in this case, the medium is the mainstream media.

ceilingcorner··on The Nobel Peace Prize 2021
Because it makes Duerte look bad, who is the “Trump” of Southeast Asia. Please note that I am not defending Duerte, simply saying that Western media and elites clearly don’t like him.

Quoting Wikipedia:

He declared the intention to pursue an "independent foreign policy", and strengthened relations with China and Russia.[20]

When Assange or Snowden get the Nobel, I’ll believe that the committee cares about a free press.

ceilingcorner··on The Nobel Peace Prize 2021
I wish this wasn’t just a proxy for who western elites deem important or politically advantageous, but was actually honoring those who have made the world more peaceful. In an increasingly multipolar world, such an award would be appreciated by everyone, I think.

I’m not even sure to include on such a list, which itself indicates the problem. Probably some inventors and technologists that have reduced fights over resources.

ceilingcorner··on The reputation economy is turning us into conformists (2017) [video]
The upvote / downvote system is at fault here too, at least with online discussion forums. Everything that doesn’t match the local culture and norms is immediately downvoted. It’s a self-reinforcing echo chamber. Reddit is notoriously bad at this.

I preferred the old forum style, where even unpopular or strange messages were still placed in chronological order.

ceilingcorner··on Gates Foundation has spent $250M on journalism
That’s code for, “if we publish something that the foundation dislikes, they will cut our funding.” There is no such thing as editorial independence when it comes to funding, unless it’s done anonymously or automatically.
ceilingcorner··on Gates Foundation has spent $250M on journalism
There is a big logo immediately beneath the headline. If you click on it, it says the foundation partially funds the website.
ceilingcorner··on Pandora papers: biggest leak of offshore data exposes financial secrets of rich
I think it’s because most people actually don’t want to pay taxes. They understand that the rich are able to go offshore and are somewhat jealous of them. But people want access to this, they don’t want to participate in some kind of class warfare against a group they want to be a part of.
ceilingcorner··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
Not wanting to enable and reward nefarious tactics is not “acting out of spite.”
ceilingcorner··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
It already has had a massive chilling effect, because anyone that even raises the slightest question about the situation is labeled as some kind of right wing Trump supporting radical. A lot of very normal, thoughtful people are not okay with what is happening.
ceilingcorner··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
Should we ban car commercials? Cars kill lots of people.

Should we ban soda commercials? Obesity kills a lot of people.

Here’s the issue: if your entire value system is based on extending life at any cost to other values, you’ve already lost. Full stop.

This entire thing is one giant flashing sign that says “Modern human beings are scared of everything, even as they live in the safest times ever.”

ceilingcorner··on The Science of the Benefits of Religion
Yes, evolution is taught in schools. But that doesn’t mean the average person can explain how evolutionary theory works beyond a few sentences, in the same way that the average person cannot tell you more than 2 or 3 of the amendments to the Constitution.
ceilingcorner··on The Science of the Benefits of Religion
Disappointed that this is downvoted. You are absolutely right: most people don’t actually investigate the origins of their beliefs and just adopt whatever their social tribe believes. The average urbanite atheist knows as much about evolution as the average rural creationist. It is almost entirely a social phenomenon, not an epistemological one.
ceilingcorner··on The Science of the Benefits of Religion
This is the classical liberal take: ultra-individualism. Everyone can have their own god(s) (even metaphorically) and things will just work out if everyone got along.

Historical trends seem to be going in the exact opposite direction. Individualism is sustainable to a certain point, but not when it becomes the default position of a society. All of the countries, belief systems, and ideologies that are succeeding today are running away from individualism. Whether that’s good or bad, is up to you.

ceilingcorner··on China declares cryptocurrency deals ‘illegal’
So authoritarian action is okay if it’s against bad things?

We are in for a scary future, enabled by the attitudes in this thread.

ceilingcorner··on ‘The Contrarian’ Goes Searching for Peter Thiel’s Elusive Core
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newspaper_of_record

* A newspaper of record is a major newspaper with large circulation whose editorial and news-gathering functions are considered authoritative. It may also refer to a newspaper that has been authorised to publish public or legal notices, thus serving as a newspaper of public record.*

* The New York Times Building in New York City, United States; some meanings of the term "newspaper of record" originated in reference to The New York Times.*

It was once the preeminent newspaper in America.

ceilingcorner··on China declares cryptocurrency deals ‘illegal’
No, actually this has been a known thing for years. There have even been topics asking why HN hates crypto so much, which appear every six months or so.
ceilingcorner··on ‘The Contrarian’ Goes Searching for Peter Thiel’s Elusive Core
Trump-supporting tech mogul

First sentence of the article is inaccurate. Thiel was a supporter in 2016 but was uncertain in 2020.

Why is The NY Times considered quality journalism, again?

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