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chadash

6,863 karma · joined August 22, 2017

https://www.dtnewman.com/contact_me.html
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chadash··on Dell goes back on WFH pledge, forces employees to come back to the office
> bottom line is commercial real estate (CRE) is screwed and the sole driver of all of this

I've seen several people point to this narrative on HN and it just doesn't make any sense. There's three possibilities as I see it:

1) There's some secret cabal of people who run the world and they've decided that commercial real estate needs to thrive, for some reason. So these overlords go to their puppets running major companies like Microsoft, Amazon and Dell and tell them they must make their workers return to the office in the name of propping up commercial real estate. Apparently some people on HN think this is likely?

2) The managers at Dell/Amazon/etc. feel the need to prop up commercial real estate as an act of charity. Rather than focusing on their own businesses, they are worried about their friends in commercial real estate. This seems even less likely than 1.

3) Managers at major companies believe that there are benefits to working together in person.

Why are people so reluctant to accept option 3? You don't even need to accept the premise that working from the office is better. You just need to accept that premise that management believes it's better to be a proponent of this option.

chadash··on Pinecone raises $100M Series B
Oracle DB has quite a few free alternatives. Yet Larry Ellison is the world's 4th wealthiest person.
chadash··on Rules for developers to design beautiful UIs without a designer
> Design is how it works, not how it looks.

I think it's both. Interior designers are primarily interested in aesthetics. Same for the majority of famous fashion designers, who are usually not focused on making utilitarian clothes. It seems like most peoples' definition of design would include the work in those fields. UX is a better description of the aspect of design that cares about functionality and not aesthetics.

chadash··on Johnson and Johnson reaches deal for $8.9B talc settlement
The overall point holds, but this is more like 0.75 years of profit, or less ($424B market cap x 2.76% dividend yield is a basic calculation, but there's all sorts of accounting reasons why this might underestimate actual profit).
chadash··on Frank founder allegedly defrauded JPMorgan out of $175M hit with federal charges
Fair point, although it was a private company with 8 investors, so it wouldn't be that crazy to file 8 lawsuits.
chadash··on Frank founder allegedly defrauded JPMorgan out of $175M hit with federal charges
A 9-figure acquisition sounds like a lot, but consider that this is less than 0.05% of JP Morgan's market cap. Their market cap is down $6 billion today, and it's not even a particularly notable day.

And it's not like that money is completely gone. JPM will sue and probably recover a very large chunk of it. Say that of the $175 million, they get back $150M, so they are out $25M. It's just not that much money to them. Sure, someone didn't do their job and will probably get fired over this, but Jamie Dimon and the executive suite don't really think about $25M losses.

chadash··on Bloomberg sponsors curl with 10K USD
This seems like the real story right here. It looks like the first grants went to curl, celery and apache arrow. I think it's great to see large companies doing this.
chadash··on Framework Laptop 16
I don't have a question, but I am a Framework 12th gen board owner and I just want to say what a cool company Framework is. For those who haven't seen a framework in real life before, I cannot emphasize enough how easy this thing is to put together or fix. Opening my computer up to replace my hard drive would take maybe 5 minutes at a relaxed pace. I bet it can be done in 60 seconds by someone who is fast at it. That's because of very thoughtful design and really thinking through the ergonomics of opening the computer up. There are little design choices like using case screws that don't come out all the way, so you don't end up spending 5 minutes replacing the SSD and 10 minutes looking for a 2mm screw that dropped on the floor near your desk. The layout of components on the inside is also very elegant. And then when you close the computer back up, it aligns itself with magnets, which just feels great; it's very satisfying, kind of like the magsafe charger design on a macbook. I really appreciate the design of this machine. You've gotten this to a point where anyone who can assemble a piece of Ikea furniture can probably replace their laptop speakers or trackpad. This is no small feat.

And more importantly, I love what you are doing for the industry overall. The idea that I can swap out my display from glossy to matte on a laptop that I've already owned for a while for less than $200 is pretty amazing. I wish you a lot of success.

chadash··on Jaron Lanier on the danger of AI
This quote is taken out of context and is perhaps not a charitable meaning of what the author means. Here's the whole paragraph:

> Lanier doesn’t even like the term artificial intelligence, objecting to the idea that it is actually intelligent, and that we could be in competition with it. “This idea of surpassing human ability is silly because it’s made of human abilities.” He says comparing ourselves with AI is the equivalent of comparing ourselves with a car. “It’s like saying a car can go faster than a human runner. Of course it can, and yet we don’t say that the car has become a better runner.”

The author, Jaren Lanier, is a reasonably accomplished technologist, with some pretty groundbreaking work on VR in the 80s. He is most certainly aware that humans have been surpassed by computers in many ways. I think that line is arguing semantics about the word "intelligence" and clearly he knows that computers do many things far better than humans.

chadash··on Remote work is starting to hit office rents
It would actually be pretty poetic. 100 years ago, Detroit was one of the wealthiest cities in the world. It was perhaps the center of the US economy. The Model T was introduced in 1908 and by the 1910s and 20s, there were more than a dozen car companies forming every year, with the biggest ones being located in Detroit. The city was a manufacturing powerhouse and with the immense wealth generated, they built wonderful theaters, funded a world class symphony, and built great museums (many of these things still remain today). It became a cultural hub. If you told someone in Detroit at the time that the city would be in ruins before the turn of the century, they probably would have had a good laugh.
chadash··on The Age of AI has begun
> Of course, the LLM is just regurgitating the facts from the textbooks as well as thousands or millions of test samples.

Sure, it is regurgitating facts. What's impressive is that it knows which facts to regurgitate.

chadash··on Office kitchen wars are back
For the fridge, I liked a former company that had a policy that you label your lunch with a dated sticker. Every friday the fridge gets cleaned out. If you don't have a dated sticker, dated within the last two days, it gets tossed. Doesn't matter if it's in a lunch box or if you were storing bars of gold in the fridge.

If you have a fridge with lighter use, you can do the same think with blue and red stickers. Week 1 is a blue sticker week. Put your food in the fridge with a blue sticker. On Monday, everything with a red sticker gets tossed, blue stickers stay. The next week you switch colors and then switch back the week after that.

Only exception might be condiments which, if not labeled, are assumed to be for communal use.

Edit: By the way, I think the biggest issue, by far, is not people being inconsiderate, but merely forgetting that they had put stuff in the fridge in the first place. They buy a plumb, put in the fridge and then forget about it altogether until it goes rotten.

chadash··on Build full “product skills” and you'll probably be fine
I agree with your characterization in general. If all someone has is an idea and no relevant experience to back it up, run. I can’t stand people like that.

But there’s one type of ideas person I’m thrilled to work with. Someone with deep and successful experience in sales. The head of sales at my company is also relatively product oriented and boy, he just has a knack for what customers want.

In general, I think many engineers can do some product management. We can figure out basic accounting and finance. But the idea of making a cold call to sell dental software, or chasing down school principals at an education conference is almost as foreign to most software engineers as CS is to most sales folks.

Salesperson + engineer = superpowers

chadash··on Students of BloomTech, FKA Lambda School, file class-action lawsuit
> * For example, in the Twitter/Elon case, there was a question as to whether Twitter could successfully sue Elon for the equitable remedy of "specific performance" (making someone perform a specific action). It would have been perhaps unprecedented to force a reluctant bidder to purchase a company against his will.*

Not only is it not in precedented to force a reluctant bidder to purchase a company against their will, but the very judge who was assigned to Elon Musks’s case forced a company to buy another (i.e. “specific performance”) in 2021. Look up Snow Phipps vs Kcakes.

It’s not a coincidence that Musk suddenly changed his tune and went through with the acquisition. I’m sure that his legal team told him that he was going to lose the case.

chadash··on Give babies peanut butter to cut peanut allergies, study says
This is not new news, but nonetheless important to replicate and keep studying. I think the first often-cited study about this was in 2008 [1]. There are several more, including one in the New England Journal of Medicine in 2015 [2].

Basically, the original study looked at Jewish kids in Israel versus the UK and saw that peanut allergies were about 10x lower in Israel, even though Jews of European background (Ashkenazi) there are fairly similar, genetically, to Ashkenazi Jews in the UK (the majority of both groups migrated recently from Central and Eastern Europe).

There is a snack called Bamba that they eat in Israel. It's kind of like a peanut butter Cheeto puff, and it is a nearly-universal snack for young kids in Israel. It melts in your mouth, so a 6-month-old can eat it almost as soon as they eat solid foods. It's about as popular in Israel as Cheerios are in the US, maybe more so. The hypothesis is that Bamba consumption there dramatically lowers the risk of developing peanut allergies.

[1] https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:00026...

[2] https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa1414850

chadash··on Credit Suisse sheds nearly 25%, key backer says no more money
Both. It isn't worth JP Morgan's time to understand the different neighborhoods in Boston. Their computer model is their computer model. But think about where you live. I'm sure you can tell me that certain streets are desirable and certain streets much less so. Maybe there is a block nearby with particularly nice foliage that makes it look good. Information that you wouldn't know by looking at a map. A regional lender might be tuned-in to things like that in a way that a megabank won't be, because it's not worth their time to get to know each and every neighborhood.
chadash··on Credit Suisse sheds nearly 25%, key backer says no more money
I'll add another example. I have a friend who lives in the Boston area and bought an old home about 10 years ago with the intention to gut renovate it. He didn't have enough cash to pay for the renovations without a loan, but the likes of Chase, Wells Fargo and Bank of America generally don't want to deal with mortgage loans like this, because 1) it's a different workflow... the bank gives you money piecemeal as construction proceeds rather than all at once and 2) the bank is basically fronting you the money based on what your home is going to worth when it is done.

For example, say I buy a home for $400k and gut renovate it for $200k. Let's say that the specific renovations are going to improve the value of the home, but it's hard to know by how much. If I go to Chase, they will gladly lend me 80% of the $400k ($320k). But Then I need an $80k down payment + $200k for renovations, or $280k cash on hand to make this work.

If I go to a smaller bank that doesn't do things as algorithmically and knows the local market, they might say "hey, we're gonna give you the $320k down payment and then we think that in that area of Boston and based on what you are doing, the house is going to be worth $150k more when you finish renovations, so we're gonna finance 80% of that $150k as well ($120k). You are still going to need to prove that you have your $80k down payment + $30k (20% of $150k) + $50k (the difference between what renovations cost and what they will add to value of home), or $160k total. So in this example, I need to have $160k in the bank if I want to make this whole transaction work with Regional Bank X, whereas with Chase, I need $280k.

chadash··on SVB insider says employees are angry with CEO
This is pretty wild, but at the same time, it should be noted that SVB is a commercial bank. The average salary at J.P. Morgan is much lower because they have tons of people working relatively low wage teller (and other retail branch) jobs. I suspect that if you took only those employees in the divisions competing against SVP, the JPM numbers would be much closer.

Keep in mind that it’s precisely because they service only commercial clients that the recent issues his signature and SVB. Very few individuals have more than $250k in a single bank, so there’s no reason for individuals to run on the bank. On the other hand, $250k is not all that much if you are a business with a decent sized payroll.

chadash··on SVB insider says employees are angry with CEO
The buck does not stop with the CEO, it stops with the company’s board, who represent investors and who the CEO answers to. The CRO often reports to the board and at the very least, communicates directly with them.

The reason for the role of CRO is that the CEO, CFO and other C suite executives are not really aligned with investors incentive-wise. If the bank does really well, the CEO gets huge bonuses. If the bank crashes, the CEO gets fired but typically doesn’t lose all their money like investors do. Hence the need for the board’s function in risk management and a CRO to help them with that. In a bank, the risks are unique and often hard to see which is why risk management is often a huge department.

None of this exonerates the CEO. Of course they are to blame when things go wrong. But when financial risk is a huge part of a business, it’s good to have some backup for that role as well.

chadash··on Do Non-Profits Drive Social Change?
"> And what have non-profits done for me as a consumer or user, putting aside the ones I work at—namely, George Mason University and the Mercatus Center? That is harder to say. They might have helped with my health care, except I haven’t been sick. They have contributed to the social fabric in ways I don’t always see directly. Without non-profits, perhaps my community would be more fractious and less generous and the streets would be dirtier. Maybe! But that is not as easy to see as an Amazon package left on the doorstep. Churches I will consider later."

Um, yeah, I don't find it very surprising that Tyler Cowen, an academic, influential writer and famous cultural critic isn't directly getting help from his local food bank. Oh, and I love the "putting aside the ones I work at". Let's cherry pick and say "non-profits have do nothing for me personally" if you exclude the ones that do a tremendous amount for me personally. Even with the above, I find this pretty disingenuous. Surely Tyler Cowen has visited and enjoyed some famous art museums? Perhaps he has taken his kids to a local science museum? Perhaps he has benefitted from research done at universities, as pretty much everyone alive has?

That said, I can agree with him on his point that perhaps certain non-profits (e.g. hospitals) don't really function like most people would think a non-profit should and probably shouldn't be getting tax exempt status.

chadash··on Joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC
This is quite different than a bailout. They can’t just go to their customers and say, hey, we got this bill now you have to pay for it. They can raise fees, but then customers can go to another bank. They can lower what they pay in interest rates, but again, customers can go to other banks. Or customers can buy treasuries instead of keeping money in bank accounts. Banks are not the only place to keep money, nor the only way to raise money. Sure, chances are that some of the money will come from raising rates on customers, but some of this will just come out of bank profits.
chadash··on I disapprove of what you say but I will defend to the death your right to say it
I think that this is a dangerous attitude that leads to more laws and the clawing away of rights.

The supreme court explicitly held that people have the constitutional right to hold an anti-gay rally outside of military members' funerals [1]. I think that the vast majority of people (including the overwhelming majority of people holding anti-gay views) would find this behavior atrocious and immoral. But it's protected free speech.

The problem though is that enough of this kind of stuff happens and laws begin to change. Sure, it's one crazy group in this case, but if this sort of behavior were prevalent enough, peoples' views on free speech would change. Sure, this is an extreme example, since something specifically mentioned in the constitution is very hard to change. But there are plenty of examples of laws that only exist in response to some idiot(s) who decided to ruin it for everyone else (as a very simple example, I no longer have the right to buy more than one pack of Sudafed at a time where I live... they didn't just dream that law up out of thin air).

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snyder_v._Phelps#Alito's_disse...

chadash··on ThinkPad 701C with a Framework brain transplant
I don't know. I regularly hook it up to two monitors (one 2560x1440 and one 1920-1200) at the same time (via a USB hub) with zero issues. Not sure how it would perform with two 4K. If you search around https://community.frame.work/, you'll most likely find your answer.
chadash··on ThinkPad 701C with a Framework brain transplant
> I think they have a nice middle ground between DIY and "works out of the box". Yes, you can change parts if you want, but you don't need to fiddle for hours to get something going again. With enough money you have on-site repairs by big manufacturers, but if your IT guy can just swap the motherboard in 15 minutes with a spare one, that's even better I'd say.

Framework owner here. It really is super freaking easy to open up this computer and fix things or swap them around. Easy enough for your average software engineer (who doesn't have much hardware experience), but probably easy enough for your average not-super-technically adept person.

On the whole, very happy with my machine. The touchpad wasn't registering all clicks when I first got it, but customer service happily sent me a new one and no issues since then. I also had a driver issue or two when I first got it, but that was resolved when I updated my drivers. I'd happily recommend the computer to any engineer or anyone with decent "techie" skills. It's probably not ready for your less-than-tech-savvy average consumer just yet, but it's close. Also, bonus points for the machine really looking and feeling very premium. I especially love the cover having the nice cog-wheel logo, but no brand name on it. I've had a few people tell me, "wow, that looks nice, what kind of computer is that?".

chadash··on Lost in the Stock
Buy a pasta straining spoon. It’s basically a large spoon with holes in it that replaces a full size pasta strainer. Is it better than a pasta strainer? No. Is it easier to clean, absolutely. I use mine all the time.
chadash··on CA's Prohibition on Workplace Arbitration Agreements Overturned by 9th Circuit
Parent isn’t saying SC. A decision at the federal appeals level can sometimes be reviewed “en bank” by a larger group of judges in that same circuit. It’s not common as far as I know but it happens occasionally. But it’s different than the Supreme Court taking the case.
chadash··on Ask HN: Would anyone find this system fair?
> This belief is problematic because real (a.k.a. non-bullshit) jobs are typically priced based on the value of what's delivered, not the residence of the person delivering the value.

Whether it is fair or not, this is definitely not true. Companies tend to pay what they can get away with, which means paying less in lower-cost-of-living areas. The people who assemble iPhones provide tremendous amounts of value. But they make around $4/hour. If you bumped that to $8/hour, Apple would still be tremendously profitable, but they assemble their phones in cheap labor markets where they can get away with paying less. Meanwhile, companies hiring in San Franscisco generally pay skilled workers higher than companies hiring in Oklahoma (let alone overseas), because no one would agree to work in San Fransisco on an Oklahoma salary.

chadash··on Ask HN: Would anyone find this system fair?
BATNA - Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement.

This acronym is taught in any course discussing the basics of negotiation. If you are negotiating on anything, you will always be in a better position if your BATNA is good. In the context of job salary negotiations, saying "I have another job offer for 1.3 times my current salary" is going to put you in a much better position than saying "I feel like I'm worth more". So the answer is to find a good BATNA and then approach your boss. Unfortunately, the jobs environment is not great right now so finding a better offer might take some time (in good times, even the threat of leaving might put you in a good negotiating position).

On a secondary note, you don't necessarily need to work at a tech company to be appreciated, but it's generally important to work in a division and in roles that help increase company revenues. Try to look for that in your next role.

chadash··on A targeted crackdown on “junk fees” makes a lot of sense
Assuming the company's main product is a hot cookie, then I take issue with this particular example, because a cold cookie is really a different product. But in general, I have no issue with peak pricing. I'm okay with you advertising a low price if it's something that a reasonable person might be able to take advantage of (e.g., I'm not okay with you advertising $15 cookies if that price only applies between 1:48 and 1:52 AM).
chadash··on A targeted crackdown on “junk fees” makes a lot of sense
The cleaning fee on AirBnB is actually one that has some logic to it. A property needs to be cleaned after each guest, regardless of whether you use it for one night or ten. The owner pays for it to be cleaned either way and it makes sense that this would get passed on to the customer. What needs to go is the "service fee" which is AirBnB's cut of the total. This is usually a fixed percentage and should just be counted as part of the price if I filter for places less than $X a night.
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