6,863 karma · joined August 22, 2017
* E.U. Settles on Russian Oil Price Cap After Fraught Talks
* A phony climate foundation in Germany helped Russia complete Nord Stream 2 after U.S. sanctions threatened to derail it.
* U.S. Employers Add 263,000 Jobs, Showing Strong Demand for Workers
* Why are middle-aged men missing from the labor market?
* Alex Jones Files for Bankruptcy
* As Officials Ease Restrictions Amid Protests, China Faces New Pandemic Risks
* Hate Speech’s Rise on Twitter Is Unprecedented, Researchers Find
* Kanye West was suspended from Twitter after posting a swastika.
* Cameroon Tries to Become Third African Nation to Advance
* From The Athletic: Follow real-time updates from Serbia vs. Switzerland.
Sure, some of these (e.g. first twitter headline) seem to follow an agenda, but most of these are just plain old news. It is easy to think "all of this is available on Twitter or through other independent journalists", but twitter has the luxury of being able to look at what the papers are reporting on. If you didn't have the likes CNN, NYT and the BBC, you wouldn't have reporters at white house press conferences, people reporting from Ukraine, nor any sort of real curation of the news.
Are there blind spots? Of course. Twitter is way better in some niche areas. Do the news outlets show biases? Yes, of course. But without the big news outlets, twitter wouldn't have as much to go off of. I like to think of it the other way around... imagine that corporate media didn't exist. You'd have thousands of independent journalists looking into different things with no curation. Eventually, some of them would realize that to be effective, they need to form groups, since some areas are too big for one person to cover. Eventually, small groups that people followed would grow larger as they try to report on more and more things. Eventually, they'd collectivize and form larger "corporations". You'd be back to square one.
And I'm just talking about plain old news. All of this is leaving aside the big and costly investigative pieces that some of the larger outlets are able to put together. Go and read anything at https://www.pulitzer.org/prize-winners-by-category/206 and tell me if anyone but "corporate media" would be able to do anything even close to these.
Libel suits happen frequently. All the major papers are quite versed in dealing with them. They rarely lose these cases.
I did A quick google search and can’t even find a libel case the NYT has lost in the last 30+ years. There was one case in 2003 where media outlets reported incorrectly that the times lost a libel case. In fact, they won the case, even though the jury agreed that the facts reported were false, because the plaintiff failed to prove malice (see https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/2003/05/24/n...).
On the other hand, the US Dollar is a worth something because of a shared belief that the US government is going to do whatever it takes to make sure it's worth something. Even if I thought that the US government is gonna get overthrown next year, I still need to pay this year's taxes in US dollars, so it derives at least some of its value from there.
To be fair to Buffett, he doesn't care about owning dollars either. Or even gold, which has a damn good track record of being valuable. His assets are pretty much entirely in some form of equity. He likes owning shares of companies that sell some product. Sure, he needs dollars to transact, but it's not like he's holding tons of dollars either.
"robots will only be used as a deadly force option when risk of loss of life to members of the public or officers are imminent and outweigh any other force option available to the SFPD."
At Google, or any large company, there are plenty of people who for various reasons just aren’t good performers but don’t get cut. The requirements to stay on there are not “extreme”.
To be clear, no one is arguing that companies can’t boycott Israel. They are simply saying that doing so would invalidate your ability to get government contracts in the given state.
The problem is that it cuts both ways. If you say that this is an infringement of first amendment rights, then the logical extension of that is that the government can never refuse a contract based on a company’s free speech. So for example, say Acme Co openly proclaims their support for the Ku Klux Klan… should the state of Michigan be allowed to say that they won’t purchase toilet paper from them?
He's had failures before. But this line seems unfair. He was neither the first person in electric cars (a few notable failures before him) nor in rockets (e.g. Boeing)... but he was able to lead a team that figured out some of the key tech and the business models to make these things viable. Even with a lot of money, this is no small feat.
> Unsold stock should not be quantified until the moment it is sold.
I don't know Elon Musk's finances, but I imagine that he's got a bunch of stock, (let's say) an amount of cash in the tens or even hundreds of millions and debts well above the amount of cash he has on hand. If you don't count unsold stock, then Elon Musk is poorer than most college students.
I agree the numbers are misleading (e.g. Bill Gates money is very diversified and he has already paid many of the capital gains on microsoft stock sales, so comparing his wealth to Elon Musk's with a single number is quite misleading). But you have to count unsold stock for something.
For crypto, no one would want to buy the entirety of bitcoin, because it basically has no value if it isn't traded, so it's effectively worth $0 if someone owns all of it.
For companies, this isn't necessarily true. When acquisitions happen, the current market cap is usually the floor, not the ceiling. I agree with your overall point though.
A day later the Russian army hits my car with a mortar. You have $10,000. I have some scrap metal. Rather than $20,000 worth of stuff, there's now $10,000 (plus some scrap metal) total.
On the opposite end, a can of Cambell's soup has intrinsic value, because it's worth something to someone regardless of what anyone else thinks. The can of soup that Andy Warhol as the basic for his famous paintings has a mixture of both types of value (surely someone will pay significantly more for that can over any other identical can).
For example, bitcoin has a market cap of $320B. At its peak it was worth about four times that. Did $960B just disappear? Basically, yes.
The coin has no intrinsic value (in the way that a can of corn does, for example). It's worth money because people say it is. And market cap is just a multiple of what it trades for at the margins times the number of shares (coins).
To give an example, say that I bought a bitcoin 10 years ago and that it was my only possession. At its peak, I could have sold the bitcoin for ~$64k, so I had a net worth of 64k. If I didn't sell it at that point and still hold it, I'm now worth ~16k. No one made $48K of of me... there were no transactions in that time period. The "wealth" has simply vanished.
The key thing is that over time, Microsoft transitioned to a point where Bill Gates wasn't running things day-to-day and investors became comfortable with him not having any control. At that point, him selling shares was no big deal.
At the other end of the extreme would be someone like Elon Musk, where Tesla's stock price is almost entirely dependent on him being at the helm. If he were to walk away now, the shares would tank in value.
Jeff Bezos is somewhere in between. Clearly, Amazon would run okay without him, but he still has some involvement. He certainly can't sell all of his shares, but if he sells over time and makes it clear (and credible) that he is selling in order to use his money elsewhere (rather than trying to time the market because he thinks the stock is overpriced), the share prices of Amazon should hold up just fine.
Depends what you mean by cash buyer. There's a few different categories here and people sometimes get confused.
1) Someone who is very wealthy and has enough cash (or cash convertible assets) lying around to buy house without financing. I'd put Bill Gates in this category. I think most people assume that this is what all cash buyers are (albeit not as wealthy as BG)
2) Someone who sold a home that previously appreciated in value and is now able to use the difference (plus some savings) to pay for the next home in cash. For example, you bought in Brooklyn in 1970 and now want to retire in Miami. You can probably sell that first place and have enough liquid cash to buy in Miami. This is sort of like category 1, but not necessarily someone who is wealthy in a way that most people imagine.
3) Someone who has access to some other means of temporary financing. For example, let's say you run a company and have a close relationship with your bank. You might already have a line of credit with the bank collateralized against your business or other assets that you can draw down to get a temporary loan so that you can make a "cash offer", which you then plan to turn around and get a mortgage on. You don't need to be able to afford $600,000 in cash to buy a $600k home. You just need to be able to have some means of financing it in between when you buy the home and when you take out a mortgage. Often times this might be a family member or friend helping out.
4) A real estate investment company that buys houses in cash. Again, you may not actually have the cash around, but you have a banking relationship and the ability to get large amounts of cash on short notice and without the amount of due diligence a mortgage reuqires.
In 2020-2021 when the housing market was at its peak, I suspect that a substantial chunk of "cash buyers" probably fell in category 3. Yes, people had more money and there were lots of bitcoin millionaires, but not enough to hear about multiple cash offers on $500k homes (if you are the sort of person with $500k in cash to spare, you probably want more than a $500k home).
In any case, all of these groups are affected by the current environment. The stock market is down and there are just fewer people in Group 1 right now. Sure, Bezos and Gates are just fine, but the person who had $10M in liquid assets in 2021 might have $7M in in late 2022 and is probably a lot more nervous about taking money out of that. For group 2, the house you are selling isn't gonna sell for as much, so you'll have less money to spend on your next house. For group 3, these people were planning to use financing as a bridge, but the underlying mortgage rates still very much affect you if you plan to take out a mortgage after the sale. And of course, Group 4 is probably the most effected... what kind of person in their right mind is investing in residential real estate right now :)
I'm ok being denied. You set the bar and I don't meet it, fair enough... far worse is wasting my time when a simple discussion about salary at the start (at least after the first interview) could have saved us both time.