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3,826 karma · joined July 16, 2021

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closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
This is absolute fantasy. Stockpiles are only depleting, production hasn't and won't come close to meeting demand, and until there's a shooting war inside the bloc, it won't.
closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
What are you talking about, 2025 defence spending is coming in below 2024
closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
Are you talking about economic warfare? Too many EU nations are completely dependent on the US economically and it only takes one veto.

The reality would be lots of denunciations, some token measures, followed by Business As Usual. Ireland, Poland, Germany, Spain aren't sacrificing their entire economies for Greenland.

closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
BAE Systems Inc, a US-based subsidiary that operates entirely in the US and whose leadership operates under an SAA which means they report to the US Government and the parent in the UK.
closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
That's not true. Even including military aid to Ukraine, EU average defence spending remains at 1.9%.

It's also the most expensive region in the world to raise a military.

closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
Is it true? Most analyses show EU stockpiles overall still falling, especially for precision weapons.
closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
Europe is not a megalith, there is no central authority to make any kind of decision, and no Government in the bloc has a mandate to destroy it's citizens quality of life and economy by engaging in armed conflict with the US.

This includes Denmark, who would not have fought the US, as much as they tried to put on a show.

closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
There is no appetite for war in Europe, zero. The Danes know it, the French know it, the US knows it. Every analyst knows it.

The idea that France was going to engage in armed conflict with the US over Greenland is absurd. The US could probably take Saint Pierre and Miquelon or French Guiana without triggering a French armed response.

closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
I did and it is 100% consistent with my comment. Nice sounds and token troop movements, but absolutely no commitment to fight, which simply wouldn't have happened.
closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
I did, but it simply wouldn't have happened. Whatever about boots on the ground and ships deployed, they would not have fired a shot. There is zero appetite for war with the US.
closewith··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
Denmark is completely alone and helpless against the US. Other EU nations would protest, but none would enter armed conflict.
closewith··on If you thought code writing speed was your problem you have bigger problems
Those are exactly the types of problems that LLMs excel at solving.
closewith··on If you thought code writing speed was your problem you have bigger problems
Less than 1% of software developers work at FAANG.
closewith··on If you thought code writing speed was your problem you have bigger problems
> It turns out, this is not the majority of software people are paying engineers to write.

The above are definitely the majority of software people are paying developers to write. By an order of magnitude.

The novel problems for customers who specifically care about code quality is probably under 1% of software written.

If you don't recognise this, you simple don't understand the industry you work in.

closewith··on The 100 hour gap between a vibecoded prototype and a working product
In my experience, people outside of tech have nearly limitless faith in AI, to the point that when it clashes with traditional sources of truth, people start to question them rather than the LLM.
closewith··on Hollywood Enters Oscars Weekend in Existential Crisis
The cultural relevance of all kinds of American media has been declining as the U.S. is not cool or aspirational anymore.
closewith··on Hollywood Enters Oscars Weekend in Existential Crisis
Silicon Valley is a not a catch-all term for tech?
closewith··on Runners who churn butter on their runs
Yes, also in Ireland and while I wouldn't leave homemade butter out for more than a day or two, Kerrygold salted will last two weeks at 19C without issue.
closewith··on Shall I implement it? No
It is in Claude Code, specifically for this use case.
closewith··on Lego's 0.002mm specification and its implications for manufacturing (2025)
But you can only remove them once, and then never recreate the original set. Not great.
closewith··on Tinnitus Is Connected to Sleep
Masseter and suboccipital muscle massage that I read about on Reddit of all places instantly reduced my subjective tinnitus by maybe 90% about five years ago. It's not permanent but lasts months and has worked for me for years. I now need near total silence to hear the tone, and it completely resolved the condition as a daily problem for me.
closewith··on Maybe there's a pattern here?
Nearly there!

So how might a global and region powers engage in a war without engaging in territorial invasion? What kind of advancement might allow such a conflict to take place with only a tiny number of combatants?

closewith··on Maybe there's a pattern here?
So these nations are at war, but the ground troops aren't invading in foot? Instead, they're in barracks or never raised to begin with? What relevance could this have to the quote from Gattling?

Probably none at all.

closewith··on Maybe there's a pattern here?
And what kind of advancement has allowed Iran to engage in numerous direct conflicts (ignoring the proxy wars) without engaging in invasion?

At this point, I'm actually not sure if you're trolling or unironically don't get it?

closewith··on Maybe there's a pattern here?
Is Iran enjoying an imperial peace, too?

Even including Aative + reserves + paramilitaries, less than 2% of Iranian adults are in the military.

closewith··on Maybe there's a pattern here?
US/Israel and Iran each have millions of military and military-industrial personnel, and yet the actual combat is being performed by a few thousand at most. There might a thousand people in uniform for each one directly engaging the enemy (flying a sortie, launching a missile, firing a torpedo) on any given day.
closewith··on Maybe there's a pattern here?
Yes, even for infantry, the tooth to tail ratio for deployed expeditionary armies is now 10-20:1. Even that's down from cold war ratios due to mechanisation and automation on the logistics side.
closewith··on Dulce et Decorum Est (1921)
I was a CBRN NCO and this argument is not convincing. The author significantly underestimates the operational impact of chemical weapons on modern manoeuvre warfare and the cost of CBRN counter-measures.

CBRN defence imposes a substantial burden on modern militaries. Our infantry CBRN kit alone weighed 4.5kg, roughly the same weight as ten loaded 30-round STANAG magazines. That penalty applies to every soldier and similar burdens apply to vehicles, emplacements, heavy equipment. It increases fuel consumption, maintenance, logistics.

The training burden is also significant. In my experience nearly 8% of training time was dedicated to CBRN defence, more than marksmanship or signalling.

Operating under CBRN threat severely degrades ops tempo. Buttoning up slows movement, comms, situational awareness and command effectiveness. Speed and violence of action suffer and op tempo can drop by half or more. The impact on combat support and support units is worse than combat units. Naval and air forces fare worse again, with large decontamination requirements affecting sortie tempo, all external operations, and resupply. Even without casualties, the threat alone severely degrades manoeuvre warfare. They act as a force divisor.

The author reverses the logic. Modern militaries avoid chemical weapons for political reasons, not because they are ineffective. After WW1 they became politically toxic, and the Geneva Protocol has held because any state using them today would face immediate international condemnation and serious domestic political consequences.

closewith··on How to talk to anyone and why you should
> If you permit escalating mouth words to physical violence, I’ll have stabbed you in the face for your mouth words before you’ve gotten very far.

Of course you would. What an infantile response divorced from reality.

closewith··on Iran war wreaking havoc on shipping and air cargo, could create global delays
> They are using all the fancy missiles first, but haven't made a safe path to do unguided cheap bombing.

Global media is reporting B-52s over Iran, which implies complete air supremecy and complete Destruction of Enemy Air Defenses, so this, on the face of it, seems to be untrue.

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