HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

cmcaleer

1,609 karma · joined October 20, 2020

submissionscomments
cmcaleer··on Inheriting is becoming nearly as important as working
His whole narrative he crafted was really unbelievable. I watched a video of him explaining his story, expecting to hear some story of finding consistent signals that stayed alive for a long time or finding crafty wording in bond contracts, but the whole story was that he took a punt on the GFC being worse than the market expected, and he made low 8 figures. And somehow, because of this, by some measure, he was the best trader in the world.

I too was the best trader in the world when I got some skittles from my friend in the playground for free and sold them to another kid for a dollar making an infinity percent profit, but I didn’t feel the need to make a YouTube career out of it.

cmcaleer··on An update on Mozilla's terms of use for Firefox
> Mozilla can't be trusted

This is really just the core of it. I probably trust Mozilla about as much as I trust Google at this point. Leadership is non-existent. Mission and goal is lost. Pointless acquisitions galore. Wasting money on innumerable social programs.

They’ve been at this for maybe a decade at this point. I want to believe things will change, but…

cmcaleer··on An update on Mozilla's terms of use for Firefox
I don’t think there is a contract here in most parts of the world. But maybe there’s an argument to be made for promissory estoppel e.g. by a company who moved from IE to Firefox based on these promises and spent $x moving to Firefox and now have to spend $x moving to something else in response to new information?

In reality there’ll probably be nothing from this, though I’d love to see companies get punished for walking back statements like these.

cmcaleer··on An update on Mozilla's terms of use for Firefox
Mozilla mentioned their viability in this statement, but one has to wonder how much more viable they’d be had they not wasted tens of millions of dollars on acquisitions such as this, Pocket, and of course their former CEO’s salary. I would happily donate to a company that focussed on just making Firefox and Thunderbird, but the reason why I don’t and probably will not donate to Mozilla ever again is that I have no idea what hare-brained acquisition they’ll do next.

Their mission and plan for the future is so incomprehensible that it’s probably just easier to assume actual malice.

cmcaleer··on Material Theme has been pulled from VS Code's marketplace
It was Apache2, see this (preserved) fork.

https://github.com/Dramaga11/vsc-material-theme/blob/main/LI...

cmcaleer··on Twitch limiting uploads to 100 hours, deleting the rest starting April 19th
I guess it makes sense. I remember once upon a time that Twitch saved every broadcast, in full, forever. That sounds kind of ridiculous these days, but then again YouTube does still does that for everyone’s streams and makes it work. Are there very different economies of scale at work here or are Google just willing to pay the extra money?
cmcaleer··on Bybit loses $1.5B in hack
Solana is the main chain I use for these transfers, and it’s 0.000005 SOL * $170/SOL = $0.00085 to transfer any amount of USDC. so I was a little off there. My apologies for a $0.0008 error.

By the way, I specifically mentioned Coinbase commerce takes about a dollar: > $100 (or $99 with some 3rd party integration like Coinbase Commerce)

Stripe fees vary, but in a frequent case where a user is using an international card in a foreign currency it’ll very easily get close to 5%.

For me, yeah $2.2 is relatively immaterial. For a provider who’s doing $1MM in crypto transactions? Somehow I suspect that a few percentage points are quite meaningful, and I get the benefit of not having to explain what a seedbox is to my bank if they ever call me.

Again, crypto as a payment method is not for everything. But it’s quite nice to have the option.

cmcaleer··on Bybit loses $1.5B in hack but can cover loss, CEO confirms
I'd probably bet on this being and staying the case. Bybit needs to look as strong as possible here and they probably have a bunch of willing lenders.

The second they have to pause withdrawals and look weak, it could be game over from the (additional) reputational damage.

cmcaleer··on Bybit loses $1.5B in hack but can cover loss, CEO confirms
These exchanges make an absurd amount of money. That amount of money is basically a decent quarter for Coinbase in fee revenue, and Bybit is smaller but it isn't that much smaller.

It sucks if you're Bybit, but they're going to have plenty of lenders happy to provide them liquidity while they make it all back.

cmcaleer··on Bybit loses $1.5B in hack
On the one hand, I understand banks attempting to protect customers and limit liability, on the other hand, frankly I have better things to do with my time than spend 30 minutes waiting in a phone queue because I had the audacity to go on holiday and attempt to spend $20 on ice cream.
cmcaleer··on Bybit loses $1.5B in hack
> what exactly is left to keep anyone a “huge believer”?

I don't really engage in the ponzibucks part and don't touch exchanges except to on and off-ramp, and use crypto to pay for things like hosting, seedboxes, or other services I might not necessarily want my debit card directly attached to.

I like sending vendors $100 and spending $0.00005 in transaction fees and knowing that they'll get $100 (or $99 with some 3rd party integration like Coinbase Commerce) versus spending $100, of which Stripe gets $5 of and the vendor only sees ~$95 if I don't feel like I need the protections of a card, which is frequent but not all the time.

Crypto fits a niche in my life well, despite the wider crypto world having dumb controversies. Just like my HSBC bank account fits a niche well, despite HSBC's wikipedia page being ~50% controversy section by word count.

cmcaleer··on El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender
Being granted a loan of $1.4B with favourable terms under the extended fund facility is an enormous privilege. El Salvador is certainly getting far more favourable terms than would for their USD-denominated bonds. Putting it another way, El Salvador being given a line of credit that would have cost them hundreds of millions of dollars had they sold bonds to raise this cash through traditional means.

It's funny to have to explain basic government loan mechanics to this comment, given the derisive comment about "crypto people" needing basic financial concepts explained.

cmcaleer··on Bitcoin puzzle #66 was solved: 6.6 BTC (~$400k) withdrawn
If you have all of your ducks in a row this is actually much easier than it sounds.
cmcaleer··on How to succeed in MrBeast production (Leaked PDF)
Casinos are incredibly exploitative not only to staff (even relatively 'above board' companies like Evolution have awful labor records in poor Eastern European countries), but they thrive out of milking their customers in incredibly manipulative, tactical ways to bleed them as slowly and effectively as possible.

Tactics such as returning offers are specifically made to encourage people to pick up gambling addictions. Regulations are skirted by companies like Stake, allowing customers to skirt restrictions easily with a VPN and lax KYC. Their massive presence in sports as sponsors help them advertise to not just adults but children who engage with sports as well, a fact that I'm sure these operators love.

While Mr Beast might use tactics that could be construed as similar, or tries to hit KPI which are similar to those used by casinos, I'm quite sure that Mr Beast video addictions do not lead to thousands of suicides a year, and that fact alone leads me to think that it is in fact obvious that Mr Beast is not as far out ethically as casinos.

Get real.

cmcaleer··on Bitcoin puzzle #66 was solved: 6.6 BTC (~$400k) withdrawn
I can't imagine that getting that filled OTC reasonably close to the mark would be serious trouble. Germany managed to sell 50,000 BTC without much trouble a few months ago.

Then again, it may be serious trouble if you have serious issues explaining the source.

cmcaleer··on Bitcoin puzzle #66 was solved: 6.6 BTC (~$400k) withdrawn
Prize pool would have to be much more than $400k to justify a state actor flexing that kind of capability, NK makes far more than that exploiting DeFi protocols.
cmcaleer··on iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max
As a trend in general it feels pretty dead, at least in tech and gaming.
cmcaleer··on iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max
Presumably the AI features getting widely derided at WWDC influenced the script. I’m totally fine with generative AI, but I cringed when I saw the images they generated for the demo at WWDC. Just awful stuff.
cmcaleer··on iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max
Anecdotally I found it worthless anyway. I tried a variety of straps, tightness, positions, but I think the freckles on my white skin just confused it. Finger monitors consistently have it at 98%+. Apple Watch: “Your Blood Oxygen content is 85-100%”. Thank you Apple, very cool.

No real pattern to the large outliers, they’d happen at all times of the day, even with my girlfriend’s watch that I asked for a lend of.

cmcaleer··on iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max
I’m on the same model and find it completely fine. The only thing I want is USBC. I keep saying “next year’s model will have some killer feature that’ll make it worth ditching my lightning cable finally”, and Apple keep giving me no reason to upgrade.
cmcaleer··on iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max
Phishing email operators rejoice: Apple still are not showing emails in the Mail app, and will even scan your phishing email and rephrase it while recognising and pushing it as a priority notification.

I actually like the idea, but I worry a lot that it will lead to non tech-savvy (and tech-savvy-but-hurried) people to getting rekt. It’s still obscene to me that they don’t show the sender’s email before clicking in. It not only removes valuable information to screen emails with, but if there are tracking pixels, they fire since you must open the email for further screening. (Sender email can ofc be spooked, but this catches most spam I get)

cmcaleer··on Microsoft's 'Recall' feature can't be uninstalled after all
I didn't say that the alternatives didn't have their own issues with vendor overreach, it's that the reaction you can imagine from staff in an average organisation now if you said "We're moving from Windows to [some other OS]" today is almost certainly going to be very different from the same announcement to an average organisation 20 years in the future.

Agree that Windows has a massive lead.

cmcaleer··on Microsoft's 'Recall' feature can't be uninstalled after all
Windows very much still has gaming by the short and curlies. Valve have done a ton of work with Proton that makes it considerably better, but if you enjoy anything competitive Windows is mandatory for anti-cheat.

Can't say I've shared your experience in terms of programs hanging more often, with the exception of Steam and games. Productivity apps and browsers run perfectly fine for me. That said, Windows has its own frustrations. I'm not sure if it's all fixed yet, but Xbox Game Bar and Game Mode for Windows came with awful performance penalties. When it first came out they had this Game DVR feature which was like Shadowplay but limited your FPS to half of your refresh rate. Enabled by default.

cmcaleer··on Microsoft's 'Recall' feature can't be uninstalled after all
Unfortunate. Luckily, Windows itself can be removed.

It's incredible how much Microsoft is resting on their laurels in terms of seeing Windows as insurmountable and so consumers must take whatever Microsoft decide to dish out. I would have been totally resigned to this fact a decade ago, but middle-school+ kids these days don't use Windows - they use Chromebooks. A huge minority of them use iPhones. Familiarity with Windows systems isn't a given anymore in the university courses my friends teach.

When these kids grow up and get to make procurement decisions, are they going to be as tolerant as today's staff of whatever overreach Microsoft is going to try with Windows in the future, or are they - and their peers - going to be much more accepting of non-Windows solutions? I think they'll be much more accepting, especially given how much is done in a browser today anyway.

MS will obviously survive, and Windows will of course remain dominant for the foreseeable future but I can't help but feel that if/when the tipping point for the end of Windows' dominance comes, it will all be seen retrospectively as so preventable, because it is.

cmcaleer··on Air Con: $1697 for an on/off switch
You can also plan it out so it's a neater install if you do the installation now, rather than when it craps out. I know for a fact that if I had to do what this guy is after this quest with no functioning air con, that tablet is dangling out the wall for about 2 years until I bother to look at it again.
cmcaleer··on Sainsbury Wing contractors find 1990 letter from donor
Yeah, I can't imagine an argument where this was the compromise was a particularly bitter one.
cmcaleer··on Police Chief Says Cops Have a 5th Amendment Right to Leave Body Cameras Off
Police forces that follow Peelian principles tend to want this, as it makes their job much easier.
cmcaleer··on Observe HN: ChatGPT Fills in My Memory
Google didn't have 90%-as-good-as-Google locally running search engines to compete against, though.
cmcaleer··on Observe HN: ChatGPT Fills in My Memory
"Stochastic parrot" is a perfectly reasonable description of GPT as a technology. I use this term, and also use LLMs all the time for various tasks. It's far more descriptive than "AI". Ultimately (most) LLMs are simply next token predictors.

Understanding this and not over-anthropomorphising can help you get the most out of using LLMs and understanding where it might hallucinate. For example, the fact that it's just a stochastic parrot means that, even 2 years on, it will give the wrong answer to prompts like:

User: A man and his son are in a car accident. The man is totally fine and in good health. The man is a surgeon. The nurse asks the surgeon to operate on the son, because the surgeon is healthy and capable of doing this. The surgeon replies "I can't operate on this child. He is my son."

What happened?

ChatGPT: This riddle is a play on assumptions. The twist is that the surgeon is actually the boy's mother. The riddle relies on the common stereotype that surgeons are male, leading people to overlook the possibility that the surgeon could be the boy's mother.

cmcaleer··on Judge Fines Ripple $125M, Bans Future Securities Law Violations
I do find the cultish following XRP continues to have kind of fascinating. Obviously a lot of it is astroturfed but surely some amount of it is real. So many twitter and reddit accounts where all people do is shill their bags when, as you say, basically nothing interesting is happening in the XRP ecosystem.

It's like a religion. It reminds me of the weirder side of the Gamestop stuff.

← PreviousPage 3 of 9Next →