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davidf18

2,232 karma · joined July 19, 2011

hnchat.com:MKgA06zvdzpFbRYx15Rr
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davidf18··on Despite money and effort, homelessness in SF as bad as ever
In microeconomics is is called market inefficiency or market failure caused by special interests who influence passing laws. The terms are market inefficiency or market failure.
davidf18··on Despite money and effort, homelessness in SF as bad as ever
The high cost of housing and commercial real estate in SF, NYC, Boston, DC, LA, London, ....all have the same underlying cause which was fixed in Japan by the Japanese federal government.

It is a market inefficiency caused by zoning density restrictions and overuse of historic landmark status which creates a politically induced artificial scarcity in housing (scarcity = rising prices). These "rent-seeking" restrictions are a regressive tax transferring income from renters to wealthy landlords including Donald Trump. It is wrong, and Japan has fixed the problem removing zoning density restrictions at the local level. The result, in 2014 there were 140,000 homes built in Tokyo compared with about 90,000 for all of California and 20,000 in NYC.

Economist David Ricardo wrote about this phenomenon of "rent-seeking" about 200 years ago related to the Corn Laws. Corn Laws taxed the import of all grains which benefited not farmers but landowners. Ricardo joined Parliament and managed to overturn the "rent-seeking" law.

The solution is a federal law in the US following the example of Japan.

davidf18··on Show HN: StackImpact – Python Production Profiler: CPU, Memory, Exceptions
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davidf18··on A ‘very credible’ new study on Seattle’s $15 minimum wage has bad news
http://www.nber.org/papers/w23532

At my local grocer in Manhattan, some prices suddenly went up 25% or more on a number of items and I was told by a senior manager of the food store chain (I was calling to complain about something else and inquired) who said it was because of the first minimum wage increase for not only the stores but the distributors which are also located in NY State.

NY State passed a minimum wage from $11 to $13 to $15 by 2018 or so. The current rate is $11.

A lot of people receive food stamps and/or are on a fixed income (think retirees) and this puts a substantial increase in their cost of living. This is only the first hike. One can only imagine how much higher food prices will be when it finally goes up to $15.

Meanwhile neither NY State nor NY City has dealt with the real problem which is the high cost of living which is very hard on low-wage people in particular because of zoning density restrictions and overuse of historic landmark status. These zoning density restrictions are a huge windfall for wealthy landlords as they make renters pay far, far higher rates for apartments than they would in an efficient market. It is a huge regressive "tax" that makes landlords like Donald Trump far wealthier than they otherwise would be in a efficient, functioning real estate market.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
United seems to have some operational control since the CEO of United said that they would no longer be dragging people off of flights and in the media that passenger was listed as being on a "United Express" flight.

These subcontractors seems to run with lower operational expenses and yet use Americans as pilots following FAA guidelines. United could have a similar arrangement with lower operational costs for overseas flights.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
> "But a senior pilot at United will have to restart as a junior pilot with Delta, all that "high cost of time, effort, and dollars necessary to procure the skills" be damned."

That doesn't make any sense at all. That sounds like some sort of anti-trust issue that keeps airline costs low by making it impossible to "poach" highly qualified pilots from other carriers and raise wages.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
EasyJet, Ryan Air, and Norwegian are not crappy carriers that come and go. Low profit margins have to do with an industry that by-and-large is a commodity. But prices have to do with operating costs and Norwegian and Ryan Air and Easy Jet have done a better job of controlling their operating costs than US carriers.
davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
According to Wikipedia, United Continental Holdings is the parent of United Express: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Express

> "and result from union contracts that inhibit the legacies from profitably operating smaller (non-mainline) aircraft."

And it is these union contracts then that keep the US carriers from earning such low profits.

davidf18··on Texas Is Too Windy and Sunny for Old Energy Companies to Make Money
Thanks for the link.

Still, incandescents consume a lot of power, and LEDs little.

davidf18··on Texas Is Too Windy and Sunny for Old Energy Companies to Make Money
Our brilliant governor Cuomo has decided to remove Indian Point power plant from the grid. It generates electric with no greenhouse gas for 1/4 of NYC and Westchester County which in total is a population of about 10 million (8.5 + 1) meaning that the equivalent of a city of 2.5 million will go from no greenhouse gas back to carbon-based fuels. The power company that runs Indian Point wants to shut it down because it costs more to run than natural gas.

Are you certain that there is limitless hydropower in Quebec? I think we are using capacity and that more damns would have to be built? We already get a lot of power from Hydro Quebec, some of which runs our subway system.

davidf18··on Texas Is Too Windy and Sunny for Old Energy Companies to Make Money
> "Are you trying to tell me that they won't build more windmills..."

The tilting at windmills joke comes to mind :-)

Honestly, first off the article says that it seems that gas is less competitive than renewable, so there are already market incentives in Texas to build windmills.

A lot of the money for windmill power simply ends up in General Electric's (the major US vendor for windmills) pockets.

Also, I think ones energy is best put in doing what one can do to minimize energy consumption using LED lights in place of incandescents, using mass transit instead of one's automobile and working with city council in Dallas and other major Texas cities to encourage more production of mass transit.

Also, doing what one can to turn up air conditioning from 72 to 76 or 78 in Dallas will save substantial amount of carbon-based power generation.

There is also the use of microturbine technology that can be used for trigeneration meaning that water chillers for air-conditioning as well as electric power from natural gas. This is very efficient and if it received the same financial incentives and wind and solar probably much more cost effective.

davidf18··on Texas Is Too Windy and Sunny for Old Energy Companies to Make Money
But the energy is fungible. So that if it is purchasing the green energy from elsewhere, it is simply depriving others from that benefit meaning that ultimately is is carbon-based fuels that are used.
davidf18··on Texas Is Too Windy and Sunny for Old Energy Companies to Make Money
But in this case, you are simply throwing your money away since the green producers aren't going to produce more energy because you and other consumers are paying them to. They will produce the same amount regardless.

In that case, better to give the money to some charity that say, replaces incandescent bulbs with the newest LED lamps starting with your own house and office if you haven't already converted. Also, better to take mass transit than use the car.

BTW, our brilliant NY Govenor Cuomo is putting a lot more carbon-based fuel back on-line. Because nuclear is more expensive than gas powered generation, he is removing the Indian Point nuclear power plant from the grid. This plant generates 1/4 the electricity for NYC and adjacent Westchester County.

The population of NYC is 8.5 million, Westchester County is about 1 million. So removing the carbon-free power for about 2.5 million people.

All will be replaced with carbon-based fuel generation. So much for people like you trying to be responsible and green.

davidf18··on Texas Is Too Windy and Sunny for Old Energy Companies to Make Money
I'm assuming this is a joke since there aren't separate power lines for renewable energy. :-)
davidf18··on Texas Is Too Windy and Sunny for Old Energy Companies to Make Money
I wonder what the economics would be without the federal tax incentives for wind and solar. Does anyone know?

EDIT: Someone above provided a link that provides the figure I was looking for:

"Between 2010 and 2016, subsidies for solar were between 10¢ and 88¢ per kWh and subsidies for wind were between 1.3¢ and 5.7¢ per kWh. Subsidies for coal, natural gas and nuclear are all between 0.05¢ and 0.2¢ per kWh over all years." [1]

I wonder how much of a subsidy there is for LED lighting. A lot of energy goes for incandescent lighting.

Also, there should be a lot of subsidies to replace heaters in building burning #6 and #4 fuel oil which is very, very dirty and pollution (NYC where I live banned #6 a few years ago but #4 is allowed to persist until 2030 I think).

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2017/05/30/why-do-fe...

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
I don't agree. The consolidation of major carriers under Obama administration (United buying Continental, and American buying US Air) has reduced competition and thus higher fares, worse service.

They don't fly out of regional airports at least in NYC I think that is rare.

I"ll bet there are a lot of operational issues.

Delta, United and others own low-cost carriers (the famous United case where the senior was dragged off the plane screaming and kicking was not on United but a low cost fully owned subsidiary carrier of United) as it is, so they could have a low-cost carrier that travels to Europe. These low-cost wholly owned carriers are domestic only.

But none of them have them because they want to cannibalize the higher fares charged. They enjoy their margins.

Norwegian (like Amazon, like Uber) is in a contest to capture market share and thus may be willing to operate on thin margins or even take a short term loss to capture share. The major American carriers may not want to invest the money to retain share and prefer to use politics instead.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
Well from NYC, both of the airlines fly out of LGA and Spirit also out of Newark, but I've never, never seen fares anything that are better than the other carriers that I get through Kayak or other sites. Never.

NYC SFO July 11 to 20 RT is about $330 to $350 on Spirit, Frontier, and Kayak (with better carriers).

They are not comparable to EasyJet and Ryan Air which does offer substantially lower fares.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
> "At what expense of high paying, quality, American jobs?"

When I fly to Israel with a layover in Istanbul to visit friends in Istanbul, I am using Turkish pilots, thus depriving Americans of jobs. They are lower cost than many European pilots. Are you saying I shouldn't be flying Turkish Air? I don't understand? Incidentally, the flights from NYC to Istanbul use very modern planes and are staffed with very friendly staff.

Direct flights to Israel on El Al use Israeli pilots whom I guessing don't get paid as much as their American counterparts and yet, highly trained as probably almost all of them were in the Israeli Air Force.

So, please explain your position.

I am concerned with safety and in fact part my work deals with safety in healthcare. Airlines landing in US airports should be following FAA regulations. It is important that the FAA regulate this.

I encourage US domestic carriers to change the way they operate so that they can match the Norwegian fares while retaining American jobs.

But to complain that Norwegian is offering fares that make Europe more accessible for people with fixed or limited income is just wrong.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
What I know is that the Democratic Obama Justice Dept wrongly bowed to the special interests to weaken competition among domestic carriers (perhaps bowing to union interests which also want less competition so that they can get higher wages). It clearly was an anti-trust issue and yet they approved not one but two consolidations.

Consumers paid for these consolidations with higher fares and worse service.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
"Should a carrier established in one country be allowed to offer wages typical of another?"

The chief concern is safety.

America's airline industry especially with the consolidations of United buying Continental and American buying US Airways is dysfunctional. We have no equivalent of Ryan Air or EasyJet in the US and we should.

US domestic carriers should strive to compete with Norwegian offering their prices and stop complaining.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
From the Quora article: "It's a relatively new airline, so it doesn't have a long history of union agreements that must be fulfilled. "

All of the US domestic carriers went bankrupt and renegotiated their union agreements, so this doesn't hold.

davidf18··on How Norwegian Air Upended Travel With Its Cheap Flights
"The U.S. Department of Transportation, besieged with opposition from domestic airlines, labor unions, and other interest groups, took three years to approve Norwegian’s transatlantic plan."

This is the same government under Obama and Democrats that allowed for consolidation of United buying Continental and American buying US Air which resulted in less competition.

The Democrats used to represent regular people instead of favoring special interests that result in higher prices.

Instead of allowing the legacy carriers to slow down Norwegian and other innovators, the legacies should copy them. They have much more capital and they can make it happen if they want to.

davidf18··on Why is the Internet so Slow?
I'm on a 6 ms ping to www.google.com, 315 Mbit/sec dl, 245 ul and it took about 3.5 sec.

Using ublock origin, Ghostery on Safari with 2015 MacBook Pro 15"

davidf18··on Some Uber Employees Balk at Travis Kalanick’s Exit
I looked into this a bit further and there was an entire committee including Holder but nobody that was truly an expert with a background in clinical psychology and industrial psychology consulting. The committee has not one qualified professional with any clinical psychology background at all suggesting they were more interested in dealing with bad publicity than they were actually investigating and understanding and fixing a problem.

You have not addressed at all the fact that they did not use a professional to investigate these claims.

> "What, precisely, makes you qualified to make this determination,..."

I don't have to work there. People such as the FB poster Margaret-Ann Seger and many other women who work there have been very upset about his firing. Just read the comments for Sanger's post on FB -- those written by women who support TK. There are 1,800 likes 350 shares, 65 comments to her FB post alone.

Google for the name "Margaret-Ann Seger" and you will see there are recall petitions and other positive comments by other women about the culture there.

You simply can't have these kinds of testimonials from women in there was a truly toxic culture there. Your issue is not with me, but the women who testify in TK's favor.

Culture does mean culture -- it means something endemic throughout. Undeniably there were cases just as there were cases in other tech firms. But to discount the words of the many women who work there supporting TK and his kindness and leadership is in itself discounting their opinions which is sexually abusive.

davidf18··on Some Uber Employees Balk at Travis Kalanick’s Exit
To suggest that there is an culture of sexual abuse and for a number of women not to feel it and to state otherwise is sexual abusive. In fact they went as far as to praise the environment.

It is suggesting that these women's feelings should not be taken seriously.

You are either pregnant or not. You can't be both.

As I mentioned earlier, Eric Holder is a lawyer, the issue has do do with emotions and Eric Holder has absolutely no clinical training let alone clinical training for this specific kind of environment. That makes him unqualified to make judgments.

The question is why wasn't a specialist brought in. Someone who has the clinical training and business training who has experience dealing with hi-tech startup cultures brought in for an evaluation. It makes everything highly suspect.

I am not denying that some women and others may have been put off by the culture. Or that there may have been some specific cases of abuse. But clearly there was no culture of sexual abuse.

It simply cannot be that Ms. Sanger and a number of women were highly supportive of an environment that promoted sexual abuse. They are not crazy, they are not in denial. It was not a pervasive culture.

There is something else going on and to do everyone justice, don't use an unqualified lawyer to investigate, use a qualified industrial psychologist with extensive clinical training. Use the right person for the job.

As I said before, I have dealt with such a highly qualified individual. I use awareness of cognitive biases in my work where unlike Uber, cognitive biases can kill people.

Something else is going on. A properly trained industrial psychologist with clinical training and who knows the hi-tech startup environment should investigate.

davidf18··on Some Uber Employees Balk at Travis Kalanick’s Exit
> "One group of women saying the culture in Uber is corrosive? Well that's rumour and innuendo."

I never suggested rumor or innuendo. But it is sexist to not believe not a single woman but a number of women who come out and support TK. Women know even if they have not experienced it directly (e.g. "the grapevine") if it were a sexist environment. It is sexist to discount the FB poster, Margaret-Ann Seger and the many other women who have come out in favor of TK. Ms. Seger even suggests the cultural difference which favors her personality in her post where she said she was too aggressive for the FB environment but fit right in with Uber.

Eric Holder would not be my first choice to investigate a corporate culture. There are professionals who have both MBAs and who are clinical psychologists that even specialize with hi-tech companies who also see patients on an individual basis. Eric Holder is not a clinical psychologist, has no clinical experience, is not an expert in corporate culture let alone the unique culture of the hi-tech startup firm.

These people have the clinical and business experience to deal with corporate cultures and those that specialize in hi-tech firms understand that unique environment.

Disclose, I have worked with such a specialist.

I have worked in Israel and the culture there can be off-putting to many in the US, especially those from the west coast. Intel, which employs 10,000 in Israel, even offers cross-cultural classes between West Coast and Israeli culture. Many people would consider Israelis very pushy (Hutzpah is the term). Israelis are very direct and many people don't like that. I happen to love that but adjust for different people.

In summary, it is sexist to discount the opinions of women who worked with TK. Eric Holder is not a clinical psychologist nor an expert in hi-tech culture. He is no industrial psychologist. It is strange that a non-professional would be chosen to investigate the organization.

Something else was going on.

davidf18··on Some Uber Employees Balk at Travis Kalanick’s Exit
This FB post is referred to in the article, written by a woman who is very, very supportive of TK: https://www.facebook.com/margaretann.seger/posts/10214004058...

1000 people have "liked" the posting including Zuckerberg and a number of women have commented in support of TK.

EDIT:

This is from the FB poster, Margaret-Ann Seger. Other women seem to confirm her perspective. If it were truly a sexist culture as was claimed then you wouldn’t be seeing these testimonials. It suggests that despite everything, something else is going on.

“Thank you for creating a culture where- as a woman- it was okay to, no, encouraged to speak up. This is one of my oft less-told anecdotes, but I feel it's appropriate given the circumstances. Before Uber, I was at Facebook. I left Facebook because I was told that I was too aggressive. Pushing too hard, wanting to move too fast, challenging the status quo a bit too much. The amazing part is that coming to Uber was like a homecoming. I could be who I truly am, without being labeled an "aggressive" woman. I could push on assumptions, move quickly, do whatever work needed to be done whether it was "in my area" or not, question leadership in an open, earnest environment. It was like a breath of fresh air. I don't think people realize how unique this is. This company truly listens to every voice, from the VPs all the way down to the junior PMs like myself. Thank you. Thank you for listening and creating an environment where the best answer truly does win.”

davidf18··on Uber Can’t Be Fixed – It’s Time for Regulators to Shut It Down
Fascinating, an Associate Prof at Harvard who can't do research:

"Get a TLC license New York City With more riders than any other app, Uber is a great way to make money driving in NYC. You'll need a TLC license to pick up riders, but we've made the signup process quicker and easier than ever."

https://www.uber.com/drive/new-york/get-a-license/

and this: http://driveubernyc.com/tlc-overview/

Uber most certainly does follow the law. He should write a retraction. NYC is by far the largest market for Uber. It took me 10 seconds to google this information.

If this professor can't take the less than one minute to do research, how can you trust absolutely anything else this man writes?

davidf18··on Uber Founder Travis Kalanick Resigns as C.E.O.
Not certain why downvoted and no explanation provided for providing a fact. I think most would agree that Lyft charging surge pricing during a non-surge time is ridiculous. Uber to their credit did not try to rip me and other customers off.
davidf18··on Uber Founder Travis Kalanick Resigns as C.E.O.
It doesn't. That is the point. Uber follows the law.

Read this part of the article:

"Uber made a particular effort to deploy the tool in cities where it faced opposition from local regulators or rival taxi and transportation companies. One of those cities was Portland."

NYC did not bow to pressure from rival taxi companies and they did follow the law cooperating with NYC Taxi & Limousine Commission (again, unlike AirBnB which directly broke NY City and NY State laws and was sued by the NY State Attorney General). Uber was never in trouble with the law in NYC nor NYS and the only time it has trouble are with entities that try to block competition from the regulated monopoly.

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