272 karma · joined January 26, 2021
As I've learned today: confidence is more influential than actual facts. So Altman has confidently grifted his way into a place where he might find a way to foot the bills, even if that way is just government bailout - clever, but hardly the fault of people saying "putting AI in charge is a bad idea".
And yes, we're nowhere near AGI, and, personally, I don't think our current trajectory leads there. Something fundamental has to change to reach that point. LLMs might be tools that an AGI uses, but in the same way that I am not a car (it's a tool I use, and it cannot work alone - it requires some intelligent direction), an AGI would not be a token-predictor. There's more to it than that, as easily evidenced by the hit/miss rate.
I'm not saying "don't use the tools". I'm saying "don't _trust_ the tools" - because they are probablistic, not deterministic. They have no actual understanding. They can string tokens together well enough to fool humans into feeling like there's a person at the other end (and some people are fooled enough to believe AGI is in the making).
It's a corporate operating system, not a user operating system. If you want to customise your desktop experience and have a stable time of it - this is not your platform, sorry. There is really only one platform for customisation: linux. Because distros and software there have been _designed_ around user choice.
Hacks are cool, but inevitably open up vulnerability pathways, not to mention issues with stability and being able to receive security patches, rolled into windows update. It's fine if it's just a personal pc you can reload at any point, but it's pointless for a machine that you require to keep functioning (eg a work machine, or, my personal machine, which does stuff like organise media on a regular basis).
i don't think people realise the harm they do to their blogs by requiring subscriptions and logins - if you have something you genuinely want to share - share it. If you want to make money off of people reading your content, that's cool, but you immediately exclude a lot of people, so your motivations become exceedingly transparent.
I have to concluded that a lot of people are nowhere near as smart as they think they are.
I think there's soon going to be an analogy to the dunning-kruger effect, but for vibe coders, that would reveal just what a self-deception this is.
for instance, you will find Stephen Colbert's name in there - because an email sent between two of epstein's buddies included a line where the author thought that epstein would enjoy Colbert's show
so his name is in the files, and he really has nothing to do with it - and I bet there's a lot more, considering the sources of the files
I don't have any real desire to "have my productivity lifted" by ai codegen. I'd rather write my own code than debug someone else's. I like using the tdd cycle to let a design emerge. I care about the details in my code. I aim for maintainability over speed.
which do you think requires more craftsmanship: 1. the guy who flips a switch and watches the machine implement the design, or 2. the guy who implements the design by hand
it's an easy answer: which one would cost more? which one would be sought-after? which one would be at the local walmart?
and the machine can arguably do better than a human - but we still treasure the craftsmanship of the human who produces such things far over the outputs of a machine, most especially far over outputs that are based on dated techniques, resistant to improving, and clearly derivative.
you could make other arguments about ai codegen, but this one - sorry bub, you shot yourself down in the first section - at some point, you're not an artisan wielding a better tool - you're just a monkey pushing a lever, and honestly, a lot of software these days doesn't really need a craftsman, so go ahead and be an honest blue-collar worker.
good luck
In other words - companies actively choose not to be authentic in the name of profit, and I don't see that changing significantly now, or ever.
On top of which, most consumers are just interested in price. It's how Temu continues to survive with all the ridiculous rugpulls they do on customers.
I don't know if most people there just don't know about it, or just don't care. But there literally is a solution baked into their constitution.
I'd rather have the "incorrect" behavior from nginx than try to track down arbitrary 404s due to bodged url construction, any day.
because that's a valid concern I have with automating all the things - when one of those things does something I don't want because someone else managed to slip it a command to do so, or when that thing's data is breached.