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devalgoon Why GPT-3 Matters

Even if it was completely rote memorization it is still extremely valuable to be able to give a plain text prompt and get relevant answers back. As SWEs most of us probably have very high end google-fu so we can find potentially obscure answers to our questions but this could make that kind of skill redundant. Why try to search stackoverflow when GPT could just generate exactly the code snippet you need?

devalgoon Volunteer for coronavirus Phase 3 vaccine studies

As someone very pro-vaccine, what are the risks of doing this? Is the worst case scenario you get the vaccine and not a placebo and it does nothing? Are there real health risks to doing this?

devalgoon Why GPT-3 Matters

>You are pushing this idea so hard and blasting this thread with copy/paste comments.

I'm sorry but this comment is absurd. I'm assuming you are insinuating that I am astroturfing for OpenAI which is against guidelines. Not only that but in fact none of my comments are copy pasted so its doubly ridiculous.

>Just because it looks like magic

No is saying it's magic but the thread is full of people saying: "Uhh my random prompt got bad results, this is just hype, blah blah blah..." People looking for excuses to trash the model instead of seeing what it could mean for the industry going forward. None of this is married to OpenAi either, there are plenty of groups replicating GPT and they will likely have similar capabilities.

devalgoon Why GPT-3 Matters

OpenAI is far from having the deepest pockets.

devalgoon Why GPT-3 Matters

You'll be looking for reasons to downplay it while dozens of startups receive funding to build automatic app generation tools.

devalgoon Why GPT-3 Matters

People need to look WAY beyond generating text here. There are lots of demos on Twitter already of people generating fully functioning code in various languages with english inputs.

https://twitter.com/sharifshameem

devalgoon Why GPT-3 Matters

https://twitter.com/sharifshameem

TLDR: Generate working apps in seconds from english text input.

If you can't see the power here you might not be paying attention fully.

devalgoon Why GPT-3 Matters

It offers you procedurally generated dialogue that can be relevant to any potential player actions. You decide to kill the town chicken and now all the townspeople are talking about it. You've freed up devs from having to hard code all these possible interactions, obviously not perfect but it allows for some interesting possibilities.

devalgoon Why GPT-3 Matters

>But then I thought of possible applications

Indeed, some pretty impressive demos have been sprouting up on Twitter. Things like generating properly running code from english descriptions of the desired functionality are potentially game changing.

devalgoon FAA documents give unprecedented look into Colorado drone swarm mystery

This reads like a UFO hysteria report. "10 ft drones that make no sound and hover in the air for hours at a time"

Do drones like this even exist that are available to civilians? Even $30,000 commercial grade drones are only a few feet wide and have sub hour flight times.

devalgoon Teachers are ready to quit rather than put their lives at risk

>There are 5.1 million people working in hospitals.

And most of them are wearing full PPE when possible for many hours a day, if anything your numbers point to the effectiveness of masks.

>Schools across Europe have opened. Children rarely spread the disease. Doctors recommend schools open.

I really don't understand your point of view at all. The US had more cases yesterday than the entire EU combined. We had roughly 1/3 of Germany's total cases over the past 4 months in a single day. How can you actually point to them and think we can do the same things they're doing here in the US?

The US has bungled it's response so badly it boggles the mind. We have by far the most cases and deaths and even on a per capita basis we have by far the most cases and deaths in the developed world and more than most of the developing world. The idea that we should just open up and let potentially thousands of kids, tens of thousands of their parents countless others die so they can sit in a classroom and have a blue haired liberal arts major blather at them for 8 hours a day is simply ridiculous.

>Death rates are not surging in proportion to cases.

Deaths have a 4-6 week lag and are steadily increasing, at the same time a larger fraction of cases are young people(who are less likely to die) flouting the rules and getting infected in large numbers at bars and social events.

devalgoon Co-founder of Gokada found decapitated, dismembered inside New York condo

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/17/nyregion/fahim-saleh-susp...

What? You guys got hysterical and blamed the Saudis based on no facts and you were completely wrong? Who would of guessed? Oh wait, I did.

devalgoon Teachers are ready to quit rather than put their lives at risk

Are you kidding? There are hundreds of nurses and doctors who have gotten sick and that's when wearing full PPE. Do you think teachers and kids are going to be wearing PPE in class?? This is a troll comment.

devalgoon Teachers are ready to quit rather than put their lives at risk

It's not 0 and putting every kid in the country into a worst case scenario location for spread of the disease you are running an evil experiment.

devalgoon Teachers are ready to quit rather than put their lives at risk

>may be far worse than the consequences of reopening.

Let's be perfectly clear, this isn't something abstract. The consequences are dead kids and dead teachers. Get that through your head. You of course imagine it won't be your kids that die but there's absolutely no reason to think that.

devalgoon Twitter hack has profound national security implications

My point was more that they didn't need to have access to some 0 day exploit to do this. There's been a lot of "conspiracy" type talk online that this was actually a 3 letter agency showing off their Twitter backdoor.

devalgoon TensorFlow, Keras and deep learning, without a PhD

Well that definitely speaks more to the field in general and not necessarily to "beginners" who tune a pretrained model and post the results to arXiv. There's massive incentives to post papers with incremental progress when there's potentially billions of dollars of Grants and VC money for folks with their names on those papers.

devalgoon Twitter hack has profound national security implications

I believe Twitter themselves reported that.

Edit: "We detected what we believe to be a coordinated social engineering attack by people who successfully targeted some of our employees with access to internal systems and tools."

https://twitter.com/TwitterSupport/status/128359184646423347...

devalgoon TensorFlow, Keras and deep learning, without a PhD

>At the same time, the low barrier of entry and hype has resulted in a huge amount of people downloading Keras, copying a bunch of code, tuning a few parameters, and then putting their result on arXiv so they can put AI research on their resume. This has resulted in so much noise and low quality work that it really hurts the field.

I'm sorry but given that many papers in NeurIPS, ICML, etc are exactly what you described I find your criticism a bit lacking.

devalgoon Twitter hack has profound national security implications

Twitter employees were duped by social engineering. Hacker gained access to their credentials, used them to get access to internal Twitter tools that allowed them to takeover Accounts. Not very sophisticated but still alarming that random Twitter employees have access to this kind of tool and don't have better internal account security.

devalgoon Co-founder of Gokada found decapitated, dismembered inside New York condo

Yeah assault and murder + dismemberment are clearly the same amirite

devalgoon Co-founder of Gokada found decapitated, dismembered inside New York condo

Sure but Khashoggi was a very high profile Journalist and Activist and that happened on Turkish soil. An assassination like that in the US would be a dramatic change in their behavior and politically very hazardous.

devalgoon Co-founder of Gokada found decapitated, dismembered inside New York condo

I'm not a defender of Saudi Arabia but besides him being born there how is it relevant? He does business in Africa and was educated in and lives in the US. Is there any indication he was a anti-Saudi activist? I don't see any so why should that be brought up at all?

devalgoon The stock market and economy have parted ways

>by the end of my lifetime the US will not even be in the #2 spot globally

Not sure this says what you think. Simple GDP growth math has India and China passing the US in a few decades so that's not even controversial. If you are suggesting some major calamity/collapse in the US that somehow doesn't impact the rest of the world, I would find that highly unlikely.

devalgoon Manager Can’t Code? They Shouldn’t Be Your Manager

I would say absolutely not. The habit of promoting competent technical people into management makes no sense to me, there is no reason to think a good coder would make a good manager. In fact it's probably the opposite case and the 10x type coders are probably a bit spectrum-y and would have real challenges managing people.

devalgoon Manager Can’t Code? They Shouldn’t Be Your Manager

Sure, I work at one. But my manager is a former tech lead/architect who writes code everyday and he reports to a former Startup CTO with a CS Degree from UIUC. Are English Majors with no tech chops seriously managing engineers in 2020?

devalgoon Manager Can’t Code? They Shouldn’t Be Your Manager

Legitimately confused by this. Is it really common that truly non-technical, as in can't write code at all, people are managing Software Engineering teams? I've certainly never seen it, at least until you get to Senior Exec levels of leadership. I've only been in the industry for <10 yrs but I still find it hard to believe it's that common.

devalgoon The stock market and economy have parted ways

Agreed but that's also reason for the EU to continue blocking entry to Americans so that doesn't seem likely to change.

devalgoon The stock market and economy have parted ways

But most of the debt has been around for years at this point. What in the next 9 months changes that?

devalgoon Bitcoin is more like ham radio than the early internet

What's the minimum number of bitcoin nodes needed for it to continue operating and is it reasonable to think that post collapse that many PCs will remain online?

Seems unlikely to me.