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devonsolomon

356 karma · joined April 13, 2024

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devonsolomon··on Show HN: My iOS app to practice sight reading (10 years in the App Store)
I learned on this. It’s near perfect. Nothing to say but thank you!
devonsolomon··on My 16-month theanine self-experiment
Love it - Great work. I’m gonna give it a go.
devonsolomon··on My 16-month theanine self-experiment
Hard to pull off! But I imagine the wave of Bryan Johnson fans would be game.
devonsolomon··on My 16-month theanine self-experiment
Great experiment! It’s important to highlight that even in rigorously blinded studies which find a drug ineffective on average, there can still be genuine responders—this is known scientifically as “heterogeneous treatment effects.” Essentially, individuals vary in genetics, metabolism, and neurochemistry, which can cause meaningful differences in drug responsiveness. Thus, an N=1 trial, like yours, might indeed reveal real personal benefits that wouldn’t appear in a population-level analysis.

However, systematically performing robust N=1 trials individually across multiple substances can be impractical—too laborious and time-consuming for most people. An interesting business model might be a startup that facilitates personalized N=1 experiments at scale: providing users with high-quality compounds, matched placebos, structured dosing schedules, and data-tracking tools. This could empower more individuals to accurately assess personal efficacy across a wide variety of substances, potentially offering valuable, personalized insights that large-scale clinical trials can’t capture.

devonsolomon··on Stimulation Clicker
My favorite part was my iPhone struggling to run this thing once it got busy, and me desperate to not lose the game. Took me back to the old days!
devonsolomon··on Humans are unreliable models of mouse disease
Guess all those breakthroughs curing mouse cancer in human models are null then… back to the drawing board, tiny scientists!
devonsolomon··on Graphene Interconnects Aim to Give Moore's Law New Life
True. Guess I’m disheartened by years of clickbait.
devonsolomon··on Graphene Interconnects Aim to Give Moore's Law New Life
Graphene seems to be like a hotshot actor who lands a million auditions but somehow never makes it past a walk-on role in a toothpaste commercial.
devonsolomon··on Genie 2: A large-scale foundation world model
Yesterday I laughed with my brother about how harsh people on the internet were about World Labs launch (“you can only walk three steps, this demo sucks!”). I was thinking, “this was unthinkable a few years ago, this is incredible”.

People of the internet, you were right. Now, this is incredible.

devonsolomon··on ChatGPT refuses to say the name "David Mayer," and no one knows why
It has no problem talking about the terrorists other names (Akhmed the One-armed). Then bombs out when talking about his aliases.
devonsolomon··on Tesla is looking to hire a team to remotely control its 'self-driving' robotaxis
Agreed. Reads as a bit of a gotcha. But wouldn’t we expect and want humans to be in the loop here?
devonsolomon··on Australia: Kids under 16 to be banned from social media after Senate passes laws
Ya that’s true. I guess I’m imagining the “25%” being pushed towards 4chan type environments, and perhaps then a subset of that towards more dangerous environments.
devonsolomon··on Australia: Kids under 16 to be banned from social media after Senate passes laws
My question is: What behaviors will come sideways out of this prohibition?

My guess: You can’t outwit a digital native generation. Websites with less concern for the rules in general will become digital hangouts.

devonsolomon··on Ask HN: Best Resources for a New Dad?
For something a little contrarian and very interesting: Summerhill: A Radical Approach to Child Rearing by Alexander Neil

TLDR: Children do not need teaching as much as they need love and understanding.

devonsolomon··on Did Claude's quality drop recently?
Addressed on Lex Fridman with Dario Amodei (CEO) and Amanda Eskell of Claude, they both insist the answer is no.

I interpret their explanation for “no” as follows: these are probabilistic outputs, and so given any changes, for some inputs, some outputs will be worse some of the time.

The argument goes that, given they’re probabilistic, even without changes, for some inputs, some outputs will be worse than the last time you gave it that input, some of the time.

To be fair to them, it makes sense that any change would then be met with some vocal users who are genuinely experiencing worse output, but are not generally using a worse product.

devonsolomon··on Title drops in movies
Ah yes ! Should have included.
devonsolomon··on Title drops in movies
Just dropping in to say thank you! Fun read, fun idea, well executed.

Smells like the old internet!

Runpee.com for when best to pee during a long film, Mr Skin for nude scenes (Flesh of The Stars in Knocked up fiction) … and titledrops.net for title drops.

devonsolomon··on Ask HN: Hacking your brain after trauma and mental health crisis?
Check out the Metabolic Mind YouTube channel.
devonsolomon··on Amish have low cancer rate, but why?
It’s true that although there’s long been ample evidence that cancer is a preventable disease (most cancers anyway), the medical community upholds the ‘randomness’ myth.

I believe this is because 1. Doctors don’t want to blame their patients for becoming sick. 2. Many of the lifestyle factors are societally systemic and feel too big to try change. 3. The money is in treatment, not prevention.

Edit: (See: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2515569/#:~:text=Th....)

devonsolomon··on Amish have low cancer rate, but why?
Just to give a case in point on detection: if you autopsy men over 80 that die of unrelated causes, 80% have evidence of prostate cancer (see Dr Gleason study).

You can imagine how sensitive detection/incidence amongst this cohort is to detection bias.

devonsolomon··on Amish have low cancer rate, but why?
The article is titled as a mystery and then framed as a mystery while answering the question: lifestyle factors heavily influence cancer.

The article demonstrates this by a known factor, tabacco. Other lifestyle factors are similarly predictive and already known, like diet and pollutants (which the article mentions).

The article curiously doesn’t mention detection bias: the tendency for increased access to diagnostic tools or medical evaluations to lead to higher rates of detection/incidence. This is almost certainly true of comparing rural Armish to city dwellers, and has a demonstrated enough effect to explain the difference in non-tobacco related cancer cases between the two groups - and much more likely an influence than genetic protective differences.

The genetic angle is likely to be so minimal to be trivial, IMO.

Long story short: this isn’t very new or interesting.

devonsolomon··on Australian Death Notification Service
Was hoping this was the title of a new Taika Waititi film.
devonsolomon··on Hammer Looking for a Nail, AI Drone Looking for Business Case
Cool demo! There are immediate use cases in the farming space, though competition is strong. Happy to chat.
devonsolomon··on AI at Meta: Movie Gen
I’ve long ago heard it said that the two drivers of technology innovation are the military and porn. And, welp, I don’t see any use of this to the military.
devonsolomon··on Legalizing Sports Gambling Was a Mistake
I worked briefly building sports betting software after being a part of an acquisition at a major brand.

The biggest surprise for me was that the people running the company were gamblers too. If someone beat them, then they wanted to beat them back (which made no sense to me… given that the statistics are running over the group, not an individual). If someone beat them badly, then it was okay because it’s good marketing (and the player would always bring that money back, they’d say). They would also say “all gamblers are addicts”. Rivalry with their players high, respect low… Except perhaps for their “Whales” where the social contract between the two parties was more explicit. Also worth noting that from what is saw, 80% of revenue comes from <10% of players.

There is no differentiation to the company between sports, slots, lotteries and other games.There are no noble games, just ways to extract money from confused or vulnerable people. Crash games seem to be deluding people the most currently.

I don’t believe it’s possible for these companies to behave anything close to ethically. Regardless of regulation, the business model is corrupt.

At conferences anyone I spoke to would say “you can’t leave the gaming industry, the money is just too good”. Which is why I promptly left.

devonsolomon··on Prevention of HIV
30 years ago in South Africa there was fear about contracting HIV (and so inevitably dying) through the ear via public telephones (which is ridiculous and impossible). Doctors in trauma wards were terrified of contracting the disease. Huge amounts of stigma and misinformation, and little hope.

It’s amazing that since then: - A treated HIV diagnosis no longer necessarily changes your life expectancy. - Your HIV negative partner or unborn child will not necessarily contract the disease, if treated. - Treatment adherence requires just two visits a year. - Doctors have a ready solution in the case of accidental potential transmission. - I can’t remember the last time I saw a public telephone.

devonsolomon··on Differences in cancer rates among adults born between 1920 and 1990
Yes, no doubt there are inverse consequences: I mean on an individual level, would catch cancers and potentially save those people’s lives. I believe breast cancer in pre-screening populations are often caught later.
devonsolomon··on Differences in cancer rates among adults born between 1920 and 1990
I have the dictionary definition of available: https://www.galleri.com/patient/complete-your-blood-draw
devonsolomon··on Differences in cancer rates among adults born between 1920 and 1990
Google GRAIL Gallery
devonsolomon··on Differences in cancer rates among adults born between 1920 and 1990
The one I’ve read up on is called GRAIL. I believe this is the leading lab in terms of commercialization.
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