7,234 karma · joined July 15, 2008
But that's completely true! Not every driver on the road is at equal risk of a fatal accident. A significant percentage of all fatal accident involve speeding, reckless driving, and/or alcohol consumption, to say nothing of distractions like cell phone usage.
So you do have quite a bit of control on the road and exactly none in the air.
That should be up to individuals, not central planners.
It's trivially easy to see that this isn't true: you probably don't live in a hotel (or a structure resembling one), for example. Why not? The answers to that question generalize to travel.
What they think is happening: investors are buying lots of houses, which is driving up prices, so getting them out of that business would lower prices.
What's really happening: supply shortages are driving up prices, which is making housing more attractive to investors.
What's contentious about unionization is that the unionizers want to take over an existing organization that's already survived and become profitable. That's a lot easier to do than it is to build a company with that (or any other) structure. (And it's going to be contentious no matter how it's organized.)
Most violent crime is the result of interpersonal disputes. People get angry. They feel disrespected. And some of them even just think violence is flat-out fun. The "desperate people" model doesn't really hold water with respect to the most serious crimes we care the most about.
Second, I am aware that this sounds like some kind of right-wing talking point, but you should consider that it's true: a job at Dunkin Donuts is more remunerative than stealing catalytic converters. It's not even close, really. We have a worker shortage! Fast food wages are higher than ever. Young men steal catalytic converters because it's more fun and because they don't want to work at stupid Dunkin Dounuts and wear a uniform like a nerd.
If they were genuinely just desperate, they'd take the job at Dunkin.
We'll never effectively police crime if we can't even acknowledge its true nature.
> In 2021, The Markup published an investigation in partnership with Gizmodo showing that Geolitica’s software tended to disproportionately target low-income, Black, and Latino neighborhoods in 38 cities across the country.
But you should understand what is meant by "disproportionately" in this context. It does not appear to mean "disproportionate to the amount of crime in those areas." It seems, as with most accusations of disparate impact, to mean just quite literally that more crimes are predicted in those neighborhoods without reference to disparities in crime rates.
They then imply (without direct reference to the enormous offending disparities) that this is explained by race and class differences in crime reporting: [0]
> The agency has found repeatedly that White crime victims are less likely to report violent crime to police than Black or Latino victims.
> In a special report looking at five years of data, BJS found an income pattern as well. People earning $50,000 or more a year reported crimes to the police 12 percent less often than those earning $25,000 a year or less.
> This disparity in crime reporting would naturally be reflected in predictions.
It's possible this is having some effect, but, again, because there is no reference to the (often very large) baseline differences in crime rates, we can't see what's true, which is that this probably accounts for only a small amount of that difference.
[0] https://themarkup.org/prediction-bias/2021/12/02/crime-predi...
These glass containers will likely last forever.
They are more expensive than the cheapest plastics, but it's buy-once, so not a significant long-term factor.
For example, my doctor can look at my genitals any time he needs to, even if I don't want you to see them.
There's no contradiction here.
What actually bothers you is that this is what people want and it will get built and it will be patronized.
Cities have put themselves in this position both because they don't allow enough new housing and because they don't allow enough new hotels and VRBO-like options in the places people want them.
This is kind of risible. No, it does not sound "unhealthy" to express a desire to spend time around colleagues as part of the work day. I can hardly imagine a more natural or healthy desire.
When people are allowed to live wherever they want they choose the biggest, best, most expensive cities.
You're about 30 years out of date with the addiction literature. Basically every modern addiction organization defines addiction as a brain disorder characterized by, "continued use in spite of harmful consequences."
Here's the American Society of Addiction Medicine:
> What is the definition of addiction? Addiction is a treatable, chronic medical disease involving complex interactions among brain circuits, genetics, the environment, and an individual’s life experiences. People with addiction use substances or engage in behaviors that become compulsive and often continue despite harmful consequences.
Here is the National Institute on Drug Abuse:
> Addiction is defined as a chronic, relapsing disorder characterized by compulsive drug seeking and use despite adverse consequences.† It is considered a brain disorder, because it involves functional changes to brain circuits involved in reward, stress, and self-control.
Simple: there is no possible way that's true. It fails every imaginable sniff test. Anecdotally, I never purchased marijuana when it was illegal and I do now. I know many people for whom the same is true. If marijuana were made illegal again tomorrow I would stop using it. I'm a normie middle-aged dad. The only way I'm buying and consuming marijuana is if I can walk into a shop and buy it legally. There must be millions of people like me.
This doesn't require any deep insight. It would be very surprising if ease of access had no effect on consumption.
According to our shared oral mythology about bootlegging gangsters, yes. According to all available crime and health data from the time it was an incredible success.
Crime fell. People got healthier. There was less domestic abuse (people forget that temperance was first and foremost a women's movement). None of this was outweighed by the increase in organized crime.
Prohibition was a "failure" in the sense that people like alcohol and do not wish it to be illegal. It was not a failure by any other definition (boogeyman stories about "organized crime" notwithstanding).
This is easier to see if your baseline is, "excessive alcohol consumption is a societal disaster" (which is the correct baseline). Prohibition would have to generate a staggering level of harm to match the existing harms of consumption.