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doktrin

6,105 karma · joined July 25, 2011

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doktrin··on Tips for linking shell companies to their secret owners
If it’s a well known case feel free to share it, otherwise you’re just editorialising an unverifiable anecdote.
doktrin··on Amazon ditches 'just walk out' checkouts at its grocery stores
A lot of house cats walking around imagining themselves to be lions.
doktrin··on Scripts should be written using the project main language
Given the resultant comment section I clicked into the article expecting the most sith-like of absolutist proclamations taking itself extremely seriously and actively fanning arbitrary ideological flames.

Instead I found a concise, measured and sane opinion that I honestly can’t disagree with. Like, sure, if your language broadly supports the secondary use case (scripting) why not? If it doesn’t, then the juice almost certainly won’t be worth the squeeze.

doktrin··on Illness Impacting Dairy Cattle Is Confirmed as Highly Pathogenic Avian Flu
This is a fantastic dystopian comedy world building detail.
doktrin··on India's TikTok Ban Is a Cautionary Tale for the U.S.
> I'm not suggesting Professor Popper was oblivious to this

He clearly wasn't, so forcing one particular interpretation based on the way you've personally set up the "paradox" goalpost is strange to me.

doktrin··on Gemini on the iPhone would be AI's mainstream moment
> It’s pierced the consciousness of the tech-savvy... most people would have no idea how to even use it...

They've had 100+ million weekly users for over half a year

doktrin··on India's TikTok Ban Is a Cautionary Tale for the U.S.
> I've looked over my daughter's shoulder at what she's watching on TikTok. It's mostly silly kids doing silly dances to silly music. Not my cup of tea, but not exactly election-manipulation. What are they "doing to us" specifically?

Your last question is perfectly reasonable, and I'm interested in hearing more specifics to this point as well.

However, your primary stated basis for skepticism seems flawed. One child's usage pattern under parental surveillance is almost certainly not reflective of the platform as a whole.

doktrin··on India's TikTok Ban Is a Cautionary Tale for the U.S.
> I read a nice(r) interpretation of the paradox a while ago - loosely the claim was made that it's not an ethical standard that you (your nation state, etc) have to apply to yourself in order to maintain a moral high-ground, but works better once you think of it as a social contract.

> That is, if someone / another nation state is not willing to follow the same basic rule, then they don't get the benefit of it.

I agree, but is a 3rd party interpretation even necessary in this context? The original text is minimal, as in literally a one-paragraph plain language footnote copied here in its entirety :

> "Less well known is the paradox of tolerance: unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them.—In this formulation, I do not imply, for instance, that we should always suppress the utterance of intolerant philosophies; as long as we can counter them by rational argument and keep them in check by public opinion, suppression would certainly be most unwise. But we should claim the right to suppress them if necessary even by force; for it may easily turn out that they are not prepared to meet us on the level of rational argument, but begin by denouncing all argument; they may forbid their followers to listen to rational argument, because it is deceptive, and teach them to answer arguments by the use of their fists or pistols. We should therefore claim, in the name of tolerance, the right not to tolerate the intolerant. We should claim that any movement preaching intolerance places itself outside the law, and we should consider incitement to intolerance and persecution as criminal, in the same way as we should consider incitement to murder, or to kidnapping, or to the revival of the slave trade, as criminal. " -- The Open Society & Its Enemies

doktrin··on Mozilla Drops Onerep After CEO Admits to Running People-Search Networks
> How do you know the penetration testers you hired are not black hat hackers?

Is the implication that all pentesters are black hats until axiomatically proven otherwise? High bar.

doktrin··on Users say Glassdoor added real names to user profiles without their consent
Norwegian tech salaries are relatively standardised and skew low (sometimes very low) by US standards, so certainly in a decent to good market there isn’t that much burning incentive for a company to volunteer themselves to the front page of VG just to save a handful of crowns.
doktrin··on Glassdoor updated my profile to add my real name and location
> I always said “at least we’re not building weapons"

If everyone in my country decided to stop working in or sponsoring the arms industry, we'd be invaded by an authoritarian dictatorship tomorrow.

If in contrast we all summarily banned these aspiring social credit tools, the negative side effects would be negligible to nonexistent.

doktrin··on GPT-5 might arrive this summer as a "materially better" update to ChatGPT
IMHO none of this meaningfully contradicts the parent, and some of it frankly comes close to outright insulting his audience's intelligence.

> So part of the reason that we deploy the way we do, we call it iterative deployment, rather than go build in secret until we got all the way to GPT-5, we decided to talk about GPT-1, 2, 3, and 4. And part of the reason there is I think AI and surprise don’t go together.

This was presumably said with a straight face, which I find both impressive and unsettling.

doktrin··on They Praised AI at SXSW–and the Audience Started Booing
> The preserved jobs will be both high and low, and exist in the context of a more-productive society.

A more productive society is not incompatible with extreme inequality. Unless the middle is preserved, it's hard to see how all these winemakers and charismatic artists will find a market for their labor.

doktrin··on They Praised AI at SXSW–and the Audience Started Booing
Are you asking me what I personally believe, or what the GP meant? I don't want to put words in their mouth, but stating that bartending is future-proof while white collar work isn't paints the picture of a future with more inequality and concentration of wealth rather than less.

Maybe I'm being overly broad in my interpretation, because they did specifically single out "coding" - but having personally worked both in and out of tech I don't really see non-dev "desk jobs" as having any particular moat against automation (and potentially even less than devs, which admittedly means I disagree with the likes of Jensen Huang).

So, when programmers go - they won't go alone. At that point it's reasonable to ask what kind of human labor will be marketable enough to command upward-mobility salary tiers, or if the 99.9% are perpetually relegated to pouring Bezos & co drinks while teaching them how to telemark [1]

[1] dystopia aside it would be entertaining to watch

doktrin··on They Praised AI at SXSW–and the Audience Started Booing
> peasants armed and trained with knight-killing longbows

The longbow's reputation as a hard-counter to heavy cavalry is, I think, a little context dependent. The famous set pieces like Poitiers, Agincourt, Crecy all featured favorable terrain - and in the case of Agincourt, favorable weather - ideal for massed fire into predictable funnels (where, strictly speaking, the longbow served first and foremost as a horse killer).

All this to say, it's IMO a mischaracterization to imply the peasants in the aforementioned peasants revolt held the military edge relative to the crown and its allies. After the initial shock of the uprising, they were a clear underdog matched against a well resourced and ruthless opponent.

doktrin··on They Praised AI at SXSW–and the Audience Started Booing
If you're arguing that initial criticism doesn't meaningfully predict future potential, then I fully agree. We've seen this in everything from EVs to streaming services to a megacorp like Amazon : plenty of rocky if not outright lampooned beginnings.

However if you're attributing widespread product adoption to the erosion of cultural conservatism towards [new thing], then I think that underplays the role of product iteration. AirPods shrank their form factor and eliminated the cigarette-butt aesthetic, EVs became highly quality competitive, Amazon expanded from being a bookstore, etc.

doktrin··on They Praised AI at SXSW–and the Audience Started Booing
> My bartender and ski instructors’ careers are secure.

Both of these jobs - particularly the latter but where I live also the former - rely on a heavy surplus of disposable income sloshing around the economy. Once the money stops flowing the home stills start and the ski trips stop.

> My friend whose ten year old stayed indoors for a few years to play around on REPL, less surely.

The broad point you're conveying is reasonably clear, but I'm not even sure whether you're implying your friend is a SWE by virtue of their child tinkering with a REPL, or if you're referring to the future job prospects of said 10 year old.

doktrin··on They Praised AI at SXSW–and the Audience Started Booing
> Feels like they suddenly discover luddism when the automation is coming into their own backyard.

Sounds to me like you're describing a broadly universal human trait. I for one certainly can't claim with a straight face to always place the concerns of others on a fully level footing with my own. Can you?

doktrin··on U.S. No Longer Ranks Among 20 Happiest Countries
I understand it's largely a cultural and historically rooted designation moreso than a purely geographic one, but it is mildly amusing that Czechia is often colloquially classed as being in "Eastern Europe" while the same is never true of Austria.
doktrin··on Thoughts on the Future of Software Development
This doesn’t vibe with my experience at all. We also use LLMs and it’s exceedingly rare that a non-trivial PR/MR gets waved through without comment.
doktrin··on Thoughts on the Future of Software Development
I don’t claim to have any particular prescience here, but doesn’t this assume that the scope of “software” remains static? The potential universe of programmatically implementable solutions is vast. Just so happens that many or most of those potential future verticals are not commercially viable in 2024.
doktrin··on Journalist casualties in the Israel-Gaza war
>> Hamas is notorious for colocating themselves among civilians.

> this claim is disingenuous propaganda

> Hamas is an assymetric, irregular force, and assymetric forces cannot operate bases or fight open battles anywhere; they all must blend in with civilians

Is the hangup on the word "notorious"? Because you appear to first claim the notion of colocation to be propaganda before explaining why it's also a logistical inevitability.

doktrin··on World War II 'rumor clinics' helped America battle wild gossip
Technically true, but popular connotation matters, and in this case I’d argue it matters more than the dictionary definition.

It’s a bit like “racism” : I honestly have no idea if the current academic definition is “prejudice + power” or just “prejudice” - but to a significant extent it doesn’t really matter since the common understanding is the one that matters when communicating.

doktrin··on Facing reality about the EU is a core requirement for good management
> See?

I see you being deliberately antagonistic and strawmanning an opinion you disagree with.

doktrin··on Facing reality about the EU is a core requirement for good management
> There actually isn't a point where you can spend enough money to convince people of this stuff when they don't want to hear it.

A bit chicken and the egg, this. Persistent and well funded influence campaigns are precisely how people came to hold the views you describe. I personally wouldn't treat "leave" logic as some kind of particularly organic position. Rather its success demonstrates how one form of persuasion was more effective than another.

doktrin··on An observational study of programming and cannabis intoxication
I suppose there’s no certainty when dealing with a vague hypothetical, but probably both employer and employee? It’s not as if burnout and quitting is in anyone’s interest.
doktrin··on Elon Musk sues Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, and OpenAI [pdf]
This is a tangential point, but at least in American English the expression “sour grapes” is a shorthand for the fable you’re referring to.
doktrin··on Elon Musk sues Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, and OpenAI [pdf]
So basically the same as a faang staff engineer?
doktrin··on 'Mathematically perfect' star system being investigated for potential alien tech
I think that’s the only reasonable implication here. The alternative would be to speculate that “mathematically perfect” star systems are inherently more conducive to the development of life - which doesn’t really track.
doktrin··on Tech has graduated from the Star Trek era to the Douglas Adams age
This is one of the single most offputting novelty features ever. It's straight out of those of those collaborative canvas applications, but at least there it serves a legitimate function.
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