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double0jimb0

566 karma · joined September 4, 2014

Email james.olander@gmail.com
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double0jimb0··on Ultimaker and Makerbot merge to form new 3D printing company
You’re describing the DIY niche, I’d be very surprised if the DIY niche is greater than 25% of these companies’ business.
double0jimb0··on How Zillow's homebuying scheme lost $881M
Noticed the same, but I still think Zillow tweaks historical but just not as brazenly as Redfin.
double0jimb0··on The $11B Webb telescope aims to probe the early universe
Systems Engineering is the discipline that oversees this. They define what tests will be required to validate the thing will do what it is supposed to before any hardware is built. I don’t think there is a good analogy to typical software QA, which is usually a “make sure it doesn’t break anything that already works” type of discipline.
double0jimb0··on Rogue antibodies involved in almost one-fifth of Covid deaths
Next time try Flonase up the nose, much less invasive than a shot into the middle ear.
double0jimb0··on Sometimes it is just a bad battery
Australia has a great one.
double0jimb0··on Building a vision of life without work (2015)
You missed my point. Said another way, "mathing out correctly your existence to guarantee survival" generates a type stress no one warns you about. Consider yourself now warned. Twice.
double0jimb0··on Blue Origin first human flight
Consider if "space tourism" ends up having no product market fit. There is no data currently that it is a viable business. Sure, there are a bunch of pre-orders, and owners of companies now making maiden voyages, but that's it.

A couple vaporized high profile customers will have a massive chilling effect on the industry.

I think Musk's "we are going to Mars, people will die" is the most sober/realistic take. This messaging will do a much better job eliciting a customer base that understands the product and that will lead to sustainable industry someday.

double0jimb0··on Blue Origin first human flight
“Scale up”, a software term that has almost zero value when translated to aerospace engineering.
double0jimb0··on Building a vision of life without work (2015)
A thing the FIRE community misses:

The felt sense of Agency is VERY different between a) still making some income, feeling like your hand is still somewhat on the wheel and b) sitting in the back seat, with nothing to do but continually recalculating if / how long your nest egg will last (this quickly turns pathological)

I believe the slow build up of stress in B) is unmitigable (probably goes against our species’ DNA). Doubly so if you’ve attached lots of self-worth to making B) happen.

And if the author reads this comment: you need to get over yourself if you want to become a ‘writer’, I don’t know if there is an equivalent term for aspiring writers, but you are firmly in the equivalent “wantreprenuer” category. Be bold, fail, then learn, then fail some more. Don’t surround yourself with other wantreprenuers and blame them. Suck it up buttercup.

double0jimb0··on A better business model for video folks
Have you interviewed both successful and unsuccessful YouTubers and asked them about their growth story? Questions like: What tactics worked and didn’t work for their own subscriber growth?

You could even ask them how they think they would recreate their growth story through your proposed platform.

double0jimb0··on U.S. unable to explain more than 140 unidentified flying objects, but no aliens
Dude, the pentagon left the door wide open saying “we don’t have the technological capabilities to determine the origin of these phenomenon”. And that “we won’t be able to report the origin of these phenomenon until we have the technological capabilities to do so”. I mean what other answer is their besides “it’s aliens” (as in it’s non-human technology)

This report was an AP reading comprehension test.

double0jimb0··on Starlink dishes go into “thermal shutdown” once they hit 122° Fahrenheit
That expensive part is NRE and only making a few tens of them, no production efficiency. With the volumes spacex will be hitting, efficiencies will certainly be found and NRE exceptionally better amortized.
double0jimb0··on Why I Work on Ads
I like to think of google ads the IRS of the internet. I pay my ad agency to minimize my google ads tax, not to grow business, same instructions I give to my tax accountant. Google will argue that everyone wins if you grow and pay more google tax, but many have tested this and proved it not to be true. Said another way, how good of a job your tax accountant is doing is orthogonal to growing your business.
double0jimb0··on We mailed one hundred letters to test the postal service
Maybe it rolled in there? Or the delivery agent didn't want it to roll off the stoop, so stuck it in there?

Either way, shapes that can roll are not the best choice for items we want to stay stationary!

double0jimb0··on We mailed one hundred letters to test the postal service
I also operate a DTC company and ship similar volume.

8 years ago, when we started, we shipped exclusively in tubes. The loss rate with USPS was somewhere between 5-10%, it was too painful to measure exactly. I switched to a custom-sized "ear lock mailer" rectangular style box, and lost rates dropped below 1%.

My theory was that the cylinder shape was rolling off of some sorting line / conveyor, or possibly the tubes required a different (maybe manual) scan that had a much higher failure rate.

So I don't ship in tubes with USPS anymore (UPS and FedEx don't have same issue).

double0jimb0··on The Air Force is having to reverse engineer parts of its own stealth bomber
This was talking about destroying the physical tooling. Ain’t nobody sneaking 60,000 tools out the back door to the Soviets. Many/most of those tools are going to weigh many tons, would require rigging to lift and flatbeds to move. Could they easily sneak out tooling drawings and schematics? yes probably could and did. But not the physical tools themselves.
double0jimb0··on Piracy is not theft, Lost sales don't exist, says Minecraft creator (2011)
Target demographic plays huge role in validity of your claim.
double0jimb0··on Covid-19 Vaccinations in the United States
It’s 12 days

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2034577

double0jimb0··on Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources
While Apple surely has lots of mechanical engineers, Apple doesn’t have the greatest track record of successfully innovating moving components with high lifecycle requirements.

Would you be excited to drive a moving vehicle designed by same company that has class-action lawsuits against many of it’s mechanical innovations: butterfly keyboard, failing screen hinges, bending iPhones, etc

On second thought, maybe Apple doesn’t actually have great mechanical engineering innovation chops.

double0jimb0··on From LEGOs to Ziploc: The Science of the Snap Fit
I encourage you to validate your assertion at your local sporting goods store (comparing tactile feedback against price point).

Don't worry, that Yeti is still a great cooler (I jest, I jest)

Source: I engineer tactile mechanisms to price points for a living.

double0jimb0··on From LEGOs to Ziploc: The Science of the Snap Fit
Some of the latches on expensive coolers are intentionally hard to close, leading users to slam them, which leaves the user with the feeling of the cooler/latch being rugged (and hopefully worth the extra price of admission). These slam latches are much easier to open than to close.
double0jimb0··on A novel polymer should make 3D printing more effective
There are tons of human-safe SLA resins, the dental industry has been doing this for years. Maybe I misunderstood your point.
double0jimb0··on Recycling was a lie to sell more plastic, recycling industry veteran says
That 1.3 number is generally accurate, it varies a bit by type of plastic and end-item requirements.

BUT, that 30%, it’s not post-consumer recycled plastic.

It’s the manufacture grinding up the runners, sprues, and bad parts. In the industry it’s called “regrind”. [0]

So if they were trying to tell you it was post-consumer, that was probably misleading.

(Products that use post-consumer recycled plastic will almost always say so, as it is a marketing angle)

[0] https://knowledge.ulprospector.com/1468/pe-regrinding-plasti...

double0jimb0··on Manipulative tactics are the norm in political emails: Evidence from 100K emails [pdf]
You have it backwards. Political ad creatives needed something to do outside election cycles.
double0jimb0··on Mark Zuckerberg Stoked Washington’s Fears About TikTok
If I understand your argument correctly, my response is the same, that the "of law" or "by law" has no bearing and never has.

People/organizations/governments will do what they have the leverage and power to get away with. If you, or your organization, or your government, don't/doesn't agree with the direction, then leverage and power are your means to change the situation. Those that have the power to make/change the laws, make/change laws.

double0jimb0··on Persisting as a solo founder
100% disagree. People good at this “know it when they see it” on the “finding a product that people are willing to pay for”. They don’t find this part hard.

What is hard is keeping mistakes/ignorance marginally less fatal than the ground you gain in your successes... forever.

double0jimb0··on Persisting as a solo founder
Possibly you have cause and effect backwards. What if the act of ‘thinking’ that you have a problem leads to the heightened distractibility?
double0jimb0··on Mark Zuckerberg Stoked Washington’s Fears About TikTok
I believe your valuation discounts the persuasive storytelling value of the YT’s “longerish” content.

Not the greatest comparison, but YT : TikTok :: TV ad industry (2019-$70B) : Print Magazine (2019-$15B)

[0] https://www.marketingcharts.com/advertising-trends-108995

double0jimb0··on Mark Zuckerberg Stoked Washington’s Fears About TikTok
As an American business owner, in my experience reality has no concern for “fairness” but is constructed by leverage and power.
double0jimb0··on My kid can’t handle a virtual education, and neither can I
While I 100% agree with the intent of the HN guideline, there are times when calling out crazy as crazy is fully warranted. I believe this is one of those cases.

I don’t believe parent comment was a “shallow dismissal”, it was an accurate and “deep” dismissal.

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