earthbee

We know exactly how the war would go without the external support because that's how the war started. Russia picked the time, date, place and had the initiative, Ukraine wasn't convinced that Russia was going to invade despite US warnings, and yet despite all that the Russian advance bogged down in three days. After one month multiple intelligence sources and an accidental leak from Russia said Russia had experienced around 10,000 fatalities. This was during the period before significant amounts of arms had arrived from other countries. This was done by Ukraine largely using what it had at the outbreak of war. That is a huge number of dead in such a short time. This is not Russia showing competence.

Like you said, Russia hasn't mobilised, but they wouldn't start a war they thought they wouldn't win so the fact they haven't mobilised and invaded anyway shows poor intelligence and lack of judgement. The fact Russia didn't mobilise isn't evidence of Russia secretly been good actually, it's more evidence of incompetence.

And clearly Russia hasn't sent its entire military but since their military is much larger than Ukraine's they can pick the units and equipment most suitable for the mission, where Ukraine just has to use everything, regular military, reservists, paramilitaries, and in many cases volunteers with literally hours of training. So even if the numbers are similar the advantage would still be with Russia.

No matter how you try to paint it Russia had nearly every advantage yet still managed to largely stall in just three days and experience huge losses doing it. It is blindingly clear the Russian military is doing a very incompetent job and it takes some very motivated reasoning to begin to argue otherwise.

It's not just enough to call for critical thinking, you actually have to practice it.

I'm sure there is lots of propaganda at play, but it doesn't change the basic numbers of Russia having over three times Ukraine's population and nearly ten times their GDP, also a much larger military with a much larger military budget. With all those advantages you shouldn't need excellence to secure victory just basic level competence, yet look what's happening.

Long form tweets. Short form tweets mean readers need to interpret what is said in good faith, but some people struggle with that and since the algorithms love controversy those are the tweets that often end up receiving disproportionate attention.

Honestly, I'm not sure why these articles are getting posted recently or what point they're trying to make so maybe this post is besides the point, if so then ignore it.

I didn't look super deep into this but I quickly looked up the data for my country the UK, and also the US. In both countries the percentage of people getting married is dropping and the percentage of children in single parent homes is also dropping.

So less marriage = more two parent families?

They did take it down, and people reuploaded it, flipped or rotated or with minor edits, and those got deleted too, and more people uploaded it, and those got deleted, and even more reuploaded it

Maybe young people watch less news?

We should talk about the many abuses and injustices committed by the US, but why should every thread criticising Russia or China also be a thread criticising the US? If someone is genuinely concerned about the abuses of the US government then shouldn't they be making their own threads and posts without prompting, instead of just tacking them on to every thread about Russia or China?

Same for me, I can see my wallpaper and desktop icons. Very strange. Wonder if this is a risk for being exploited somehow to take photos of people's desktops

Why would they need assistance? Nuclear weapons are 75 year old technology they're not difficult if you already have a nuclear industry to supply the materials.

It's easier than ever to find out about the world via channels outside of the media. Spend some time on twitter, telegram, youtube, etc. and you can see and hear what's going on directly.

Russia invaded Ukraine because Putin thought he'd have a cheap and easy victory. If Ukraine was obviously well armed enough to make a cheap and easy victory obviously impossible, he wouldn't have invaded.

Average lifespan actually increased during the decade before and the decade after the great depression too, so it looks like involuntary fasting had zero to do with it.

I'm 41 and I've only tried coffee a few times and really don't like the taste. I don't like what it does to adults ("I cannot work until I have my morning coffee"). For me, coffee is like any other drug, your body, your life, your choice and should be legal with all other drugs like alcohol, tobacco, marijuana, opioids etc.

Democracy doesn't work well when you're realistically only given only two options to vote for (or two and a half in the UK), and the bulk of the media is owned by a small group of extremely rich people who use their media empire to push their world view.

For a better functioning democracy we'd need to break up media monopolies to help democracy thrive on a variety of viewpoints instead of just two, and we'd need more options of people or parties to vote for.

But even still, do you think the UK would be functioning better if it was a straight up dictatorship? Looking at dictatorships around the world, it seems unlikely.

Even a very broken cruddy democracy is better than the alternative.

That feeling when your first assembly programme ran was magical, it was so much faster than BASIC it felt unreal. One of the first assembly programmes I ever wrote just filled the first 256 characters of the screen with the letter 'A'. I expected it to print one character at a time till it was done, like the BASIC equivalent would but maybe a bit faster. When I ran my little bit of asm code the top of the screen instantly became 'A's before my finger had even left the return key, my brain couldn't quite wrap around what happened and I thought something went wrong, after a second I realised, no, assembly is just that fast compared to BASIC I was kinda stunned.

Happy memories

It typically takes three weeks to go from being a case to dead, given how quickly it was rising it was very hard to get a good sense of how many people were likely to die before it was already infecting huge numbers of people.

That's not panic, that's justifiable concern about a new strain of a virus that has killed millions of people around the world already.

I was literally trying to find this yesterday but couldn't remember the name. Thank you!

It's nice seeing some of the stuff I wrote on less trafficked pages or far from the centre on popular pages is still there after ten years!

If a past infection with Delta doesn't protect against Omicron should we expect an infection by Omicron to protect against Delta or any future strains evolved from it?

It seems partially accurate but also very stereotypical and some points are flat out wrong, I've met enough fellow aspies to have seen a lot of diversity in how we behave. And even in myself many of the problems on this list I became aware of decades ago, have worked on and are no longer a significant problem.

It's up for me

It seems to keep suggesting the same few movies no matter what I draw

A new round of embrace, extend, extinguish?

Assuming, puts conspiracy hat on, that the US intelligence agencies aren't the ones behind this leak in an attempt to put pressure on influential people the US has problems with, sprinkled with a bunch of random other people from other countries to make it less obvious what is going. Since the US intelligence agency is forbidden by law from spying within the US, there's no Americans on the list.

Geologists have thousands of words for rock

I'm not sure that's completely true at least for me. There's multiple instances of new technology I first tried as an adult that seemed amazing, I didn't get online till my mid twenties and that was an amazing experience. Switching from my 8MHz Atari ST to an 800MHz PC happened at the same time and suddenly getting access to all these new games and new software was magical, I marvelled at all the little graphical and audio details games suddenly had. I got my first camcorder and digital cameras as an adult and thought they were great.

The magic started to wear off later when technology started feeling hostile. Instead of me being in charge, my technology started doing things against my wishes and I had no power to stop it. There's been this increasing sense of technology constantly pushing and clawing at my boundaries, trying to spy on my and report back from me unless I check a dozen options and even then it may not be enough. Technology updating itself when its inconvenient, or breaking itself, or installing stuff I didn't ask for, want or consent to.

There's also the fact that this creepy boundary pushing technology is feeling more and more mandatory and a built in part of society, so its becoming harder to avoid and the sense that 90% of people have just shrugged given up.

But even now in my 40s I occasionally find a gadget or bit of software that seems magical, so I don't think for me its an age thing.

I'm sure lots of people disagree and have a very different experience, but for me that's a big part of why technology has lost its magic.

I know very little about Serbian politics, is this genuinely gone for good or will they just try to reintroduce it later or by other means?

Stealth isn't about being undetectable, stealth aircraft have always been detectable, the Serbs shot down a F-117 22 years ago, Iraqi search radars picked them up 30 years ago. But even though they are detectable they can make the enemy have to work harder.

Also, stealth should never work alone, it should work in coordination with non-stealth aircraft, drones and stand off jammers as a coherent whole. Detecting stealth aircraft is easy, detecting stealth aircraft against massive background noise from a wall of jammers while missiles and drones are going after your radars is a lot harder.

There's no hiding in space, US, Russia and China have all demonstrated abilities to destroy satellites. In a significant war between any of those three nations those satellites will be gone in a week, maybe even a day.

I love this! I've been searching random words with no aim in particular and keep finding lots of interesting tiny personal webpages. It feels like the old web

Any news about their lawsuit and what the chances are that they're going to get sued into oblivion some time in the next couple of years?

Are there any particular circumstance where it takes 10-15% of one CPU for you or is it whenever there is sound playing? I just checked mine while playing music on YouTube and it bounces between 4.0 and 4.8%