ebellity

Definitely something I'm thinking about. Maybe even some kind of "confidence interval" of confidence ratio could be added next to an estimate.

thanks for the feedback. It's funny now that you mention AppAnnie I just remembered an old project I did in 2010 called AppsMetrix trying to estimate the number of app downloads based on what data was available (number of ratings, reviews, some apps who communicated about their downloads numbers etc). Somehow I keep coming back to working on the same kind of stuff!

Thanks you're right I've updated to "Revenue & Expenses Estimate" on the page title.

Indeed there are a lot of norms about how these reports are presented in the financial world, but for the common people it's often complex to understand. I'd like to make a design that could help a 20yo waitress understand business better, more than for accountants !

At the moment there's only one level of submodel, but yes this can definitely be an interesting addition. Wanted to keep things simple at first. Maybe this could be an advanced feature.

Yep, you just read into my mind ! Also think it could be great for education, in the information age it's still not easy to understand how businesses work exactly for most people.

Thanks, and yes it's elusive :) Sure, will need to add this. Can't avoid taxes!

Thanks, agreed it could be extended to other types of models and estimates !

I think what he was trying to say is "Dollar dollar bill, y'all"

Yeah I'm sure a company like Buffer could be willing to share that information (like they already do for their revenue on the Baremetrics "open startups" page)

I agree employees (and past employees) could offer valuable information, although they're probably legally bound by some confidentiality agreements...

However I think when you're in a market it's easier to estimate how your competitors are doing, even though you don't have any privileged info.

Right, thanks

yeah I'm not completely happy about how it looks either, will probably have to work with someone better on design/UX for that. if you have ideas on how to improve or feedback on the parts that were not clear don't hesitate

it's fine, can't back down now anyway :)

agreed, thanks for the feedback !

Is there a variable in particular you think is too low ? I've taken the number of subscribers (3M) from Match Group report. But I've taken the assumption that there's high churn and they don't all pay for 12 months. Let me know what you think, it can be updated :)

Yes I've done that manually. In my head I would love for it to be something even more collaborative 'Wikipedia-style' and people would help keep the numbers up to date. Of course that could only work for popular companies if there is enough interest about their business.

For smaller businesses it could be cool to have templates like "pizzeria business plan" that people could "fork" and input their own numbers. Perhaps reuse some variables across the board such as "cost of tomatoes" instead of everyone doing their thing separately on Excel.

thanks will do, and just temporarily upgraded to a better dyno on Heroku... I was on their small Hobby things, mostly good for side projects and it crashed!

Thanks :)

Well to be honest you might be right. I didn't think it would get so many upvotes, just wanted to throw an example out there to see the reaction and make sure the site doesn't crash. It's good content though, I did some genuine research on Tinder for that example, I'm not just pointing to the homepage :)

Love the small bank anecdote

yes and they could maybe make a "second Tier" pack for 500 more users

Impressive list of some of the best tools / SaaS out there. If they add Heroku and New Relic next year that's basically all I need :)

Chill out ! I never said it doesn't work for ANYONE. We actually got introduced to MoPub by Daniel from Mag Interactive (the folks behind Ruzzle) and they were very happy about it. They have millions of users and as you said, they can negotiate better terms with some advertisers and make some revenue.

For us (and we're not that small...> 400.000 downloads) it's not significant. And we are more popular than the majority of apps on the App Store.

Have you developed a mobile app that makes a lot of revenue ?

I wrote a post following this acquisition with some thoughts on mobile advertising for anyone interested : http://bellity.tumblr.com/post/60792069876/mopub-the-mobile-... (it's on the newest in HN)

yes it's definitely huge for AngelPad. Few accelerators can have this kind of exit

Funny that in the origins of both Tumblr and Twitter, there is a remote German Ruby-on-Rails developer !

Are you still making 30K$/ month or am I reading the graph wrong ?

thanks, fixed it !

I agree, it's great that you're transparent about your numbers like that. I did actually notice your add-on on Heroku, but didn't try it. I think there was Chargify before as weel but not sure its still there. So, in a way, even if you don't get sign ups, it's still good visibility for people like me who can sign up later if they overlap this presence with another add / article reference somewhere else.

That being said, I was thinking about working on releasing an add-on but i find these numbers pretty low in absolute value, not sure it's worth investing time for us.

Even though we're in this list (HeyCrowd), I don't get why everyone gets so angry when seeing a list of startups and calling them "junk". It's just a lazy thought process to do that. It's true that most of them will probably fail anyway, so what's the point in destroying them when they're trying their best to bring a vision to life ? Personally, I have discovered a bunch of interesting products there.

First product I see doing this, very powerful !