People always leave off the second half of Pascal's Wager. Pascal's Wager is not simply that you can map out the odds vs risk and decide being a theist is more practical. But rather that if you take the odds, decide to be a theist, then start acting like one (participating in rituals, living like one, practicing what is preached, etc) then you may find God through those actions.
60k workers, 1/4 of the workers. This is a big deal. It also really puts you into a bind if you receive the offer. Do you accept, take the money, and hope you can find a job (Now competing with many other Msft employees that are looking). Do you decline and hope you don't get hit with the layoff which hits if not enough people accept?
Currently the difference in my work between the best models and okay models is pretty night and day to the point its not worth using the older models. Now I haven't used the newest top open source models. But if I give the same code base to say Qwen 3.6 and GPT 5.6, Qwen will analyze the source of the problems wrong, provide actually wrong solutions, write code that takes 100x as long to run. Its not even worth it outside of querying for snippets of code. GPT 5.6 will help actually root cause the problems.
> Are you gonna open a second unconnected subway system in new York and compete with them?
Yes thats how it works in Tokyo. They get land, build stations, then dig the tunnels. Their profit comes from fares and rents around the stations that they own.
No, they are typically more impromptu set ups. $5 a person, leaves Queens for Bayonne at 8am, that type of thing. Some have set pick up/ drop off locations like a normal bus. Usually cash only, under the table.
They said transit as a class of natural monopoly and I showed a counter example where there are private companies entering a space where the natural monopoly already exists.
Tokyo uses privately run subway/train systems and is largely considered the envy of the world with regards to transit. The united states prior to WWII mostly ran on privately run transit systems, with private companies running street car and subway lines. So it does not appear to actually be that much of a natural monopoly.
To play devils advocate, in NYC which has a massive transit network. There exists a series of private transit "companies" (sometimes just a guy with a 10 person van), that provides routes that are poorly served by the publicly run transit network. The famous Chinatown buses would be another example, that run between Chinatowns in the North East, are incredibly cheap, fast, and are profitable.
I wonder if the militia types like Trump because people like you, talk about them, like you do. Regardless how much Trump is on their side, he is your enemy, they are obviously your enemy with the disdain you feel for them, so its at worst an alliance of convenience.
This is a good talk. There is some similar things in the private server / self hosted server space for World of Warcraft. There are bots that will play the game, talk with you, etc. using classical game aI, but people are also hooking them up with LLMS for more planning, strategy, and conversation.
If everything short of boots on the ground is Isolationism, then nothing is. These are definitionally non-isolationist things that were being done despite the populace at the time being isolationist.
When did the USA try isolationism and have it not work. If you refer to WWI and WWII, the USA was hardly isolationist in either of those conflicts. Between the embargoing of Japan in WWII (which was reasonable, and Japan's attack on pearl harbor very stupid), and US ships following German U-boats and broadcasting locations, they were hardly impartial. In WWI the Lusitania was actually found to be carrying weapons. The US has not done real isolationism.
The history of Eastern Europe is very interesting, in how that came to be. A combination of pure immigration and settlement of peoples from the more populous low countries and Rhine valley to Eastern Europe. There was expulsion of Jews from central and western Europe, leading them to migrate to Eastern europe for the comparative religious tolerance. Then there was the hanseatic league, which created German cities, settlements and districts throughout the East to bring goods west as part of a vast trade network. Then German miners and engineers being brought east to exploit mineral wealth. This isn't taught much in the western schools, but its fascinating confluence of factors that lasted hundreds of years in early modern europe that created this total lack of homogenous populations in eastern europe.
So every week when World of Warcraft goes down for maintenance for a couple of hours. Blizzard should have to forfeit all of the subscribers money, since it is unusable for more than 5 minutes?
If a server runs for 30 years, and then shuts down. It should have to return 30 years of revenue, plus interest?
Your argument is that a lot of people, who worked very hard, losing their jobs would be a good thing actually, because maybe we can have a violent communist revolution where we can all be poor together. At least millions will starve in the resulting civil war, then millions more in the resulting communist rule.
You also have this hilarious talk of "privilege" with this weird assumption that all of the white collar workers of course come from great privilege (perhaps telling on yourself and letting your guilt come out), despite many of us having grown up poor, are from poor areas, and worked our way out.
Interesting thing for me here is that CS majors is now above self-taught. I don't do rails anymore, but it is a fantastic framework. The surprising thing about Rails for me when I was doing it compared to Java, Rust, C++ is how few people in Rails have CS or adjacent (EE, CE, Physics, Math) degrees. A lot more self-taught, boot camp, etc.
Lambda can have its place in some architectures. I am not a fan of them in general, I've seen enough giant webs of lambdas that become impossible to truly understand the full architecture as they are split across 100 repos, just a web of slop lambdas. This feels like a canary in a coal mine, if you need this, you really need to start migrating to a standalone service on a machine instead of a lambda, where you are using it wrong.
They are (quite obviously) saying that this could be changed to British people commenting on how all of the service jobs are Poles, or Canadians commenting how they are all Indian.
Another way to look at it is that they are going after particularly notable fraudsters that have very high visibility and perhaps perpetrate it at a higher rate.
Wilkins is the one who seemed to get shafted the most in history. Franklin honestly seems like she barely did anything in the actual DNA discovery, and got all of the inferences wrong.
Until the Vector API is out of incubation this is a bit premature. I would love the vector api to be fully realized, it would make my life so much easier. But its on the twelth incubation and there's no end in sight.
X (Formerly Twitter) (The everything app) does have a huge issue with long drawn on tweets now. Not to mention people who try and bait people in with intentionally cutting things off.
There is also additional risk here. If company X made an unknown superfund site, then company Y develops on it. Is company Y then liable if the superfund site becomes known?