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engineer_22

1,681 karma · joined August 30, 2019

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engineer_22··on AI Has No Wisdom and Neither Will You
it wasn't completely abolished. but the economics forced out the low-value-added work, only high-value manufacturing (and politically important manufacturing) remained.
engineer_22··on AI Has No Wisdom and Neither Will You
Grill brush found out that the problem is chinese products are so much cheaper (without ascribing cause of that) that north american producers can only compete on native advertising (B2C) or purchasers that require a north american supply chain (B2B).
engineer_22··on AI Has No Wisdom and Neither Will You
> West/America decided one day that manufacturing would be cheaper to outsource and better (short term) profit was to be made by outsourcing it all to China. The institutional expertise started to deteriorate, to the point that America simply didn't even have the capacity, or expertise anymore to produce stuff

Americans produce the highest technology equipment in the world. Our machining base is structurally sound, but its all making weapons, so you don't hear about it.

It's true that China benefitted immensely from outsourcing, but they took the jobs Americans didn't want. It's the same with immigration today - folks cross the Rio Grande to do chores that Americans won't, or others fly in and work for nothing in academia while they wait for their PhD.

> The problem imo is the slow deterioration of institutional knowledge that offloading the mental task of wisdom gathering to AI is causing.

Have you considered the institutional knowledge could actually be actively preserved and distributed with AI? The kind of tacit knowledge that is situated and not readily preserved in a book might be absorbed by thinking machines and proliferated to the next person who needs it. The caveats would be trade secrets, skill differentiators, that people might not be willing to discuss, and manufacturing secrets of national importance. Maybe you can think of others.

engineer_22··on War may be coming. Are we psychologically ready?
https://archive.ph/YDwhy
engineer_22··on Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters
I think it's widely recognized to be a game. Humans love games so it's OK
engineer_22··on Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters
Ok like Jim Cramer but for bots
engineer_22··on A single firm is behind OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta hacking scandals
Shocking they would put so much trust in 3rd party
engineer_22··on I-have-ADHD: A skill to stop coding agents from burying the answer
The behavior is in the training data... What does that say about software dev culture?
engineer_22··on I-have-ADHD: A skill to stop your coding agent from burying the answer
fighting that fight right now... was doing great until I got to a level with self directed work
engineer_22··on DaVinci Resolve 21.1
Taste is subjective - that's why it can't be replaced.
engineer_22··on Political meddling at the Census Bureau damages the US statistical system
Hispanic isn't related to race.
engineer_22··on Mushroom hunting with LLMs: what can go wrong?
How is that?
engineer_22··on Mushroom hunting with LLMs: what can go wrong?
? Mushrooms.
engineer_22··on Mushroom hunting with LLMs: what can go wrong?
Right, which isn't tough, it's a pretty safe mushroom to forage.
engineer_22··on The largest electric aircraft just flew [video]
If you're going through a small airport, or hopping on a plane at an FBO, there are not long lines and invasive screenings, you just identify and go
engineer_22··on Mushroom hunting with LLMs: what can go wrong?
many species of mushroom cant be identified just by looking, spore print is a necessary differentiator for many species, and as the article notes, for some species DNA sequencing is the only way to be sure.
engineer_22··on Mushroom hunting with LLMs: what can go wrong?
oysters are pretty safe
engineer_22··on Hacking IKEA Furniture
Exactly the point: fashion is /meant/ to be unobtainable.
engineer_22··on The world may have less time than it thinks on climate change
Capitalism enables too much material wealth. Astounding.
engineer_22··on Hacking IKEA Furniture
To be truly fashionable, one must be /ahead/ of fashion
engineer_22··on Inception-style curved map for turn-by-turn directions
You can calibrate navigation to visual landmarks, i.e. you can see the turn coming up and match it to what you see out your window. But you also still get an overhead "what lies ahead" map for planning your route further out. This is an interesting concept, maybe a hybrid approach would be useful, a simple overhead streets map as default that swaps to the 3rd person view when you approach your turn.
engineer_22··on 507 Mechanical Movements
These things don't have names they have descriptions of how they work. But I see your point that some of them are described only in reference to another movement with a more complete description.
engineer_22··on US debt has hit $40tn - Will that be a wake-up call?
have you considered that closing the straight may be one of the primary objectives of the war?
engineer_22··on US debt has hit $40tn - Will that be a wake-up call?
1) I didn't say it was anyone's "fault"

2) Politicians are behest to the same biophysical limitations we all are. An aging cohort that is done producing but not done consuming is a recipe for sticky inflation. Your reply does not address the point...

3) Maybe boomers is a stupid term, but it is clear and succinct. Your pet sensitivities reveal more about you than they do about me.

engineer_22··on US debt has hit $40tn - Will that be a wake-up call?
You’re right, they’re just numbers. Relative to other economies they can tell us the strength of US hegemony but, the numbers are not a reliable indicator of themselves - because the money isn’t “real”.
engineer_22··on US debt has hit $40tn - Will that be a wake-up call?
US bonds are a safe haven because the world’s oil supply is locked up by US warships.
engineer_22··on US debt has hit $40tn - Will that be a wake-up call?
The other half of the equation is what the government is spending the borrowed money on. The effect on the real economy is significant and pertinent to market performance of sectors.
engineer_22··on US debt has hit $40tn - Will that be a wake-up call?
Yeah MMT is basically beads and blankets for the island of manhattan.
engineer_22··on US debt has hit $40tn - Will that be a wake-up call?
Yes demographic shift and bubble economics, this much is true. But Japan is hampered by constitutional restraint of their armed forces, the United States economy (infamously) enjoys much broader support from intelligence and military. Japan also historically rejects mass immigration, which the United States has adopted as a means to replenish low skill workforce and 2nd generation child->skilled worker pipeline. If political power can successfully be wrested from the boomers, the USA can abandon their entitlements and rebound quickly. If boomers hang on to political power: a period of sticky inflation and slow growth.
engineer_22··on I spent twenty years becoming good at the wrong game
> Much of my research began with a large claim about society (e.g., "consumer culture constructs identities") and I then searched texts for language that could illustrate that claim. Because almost any passage could be interpreted that way through a sufficiently flexible framework (and enough imagination), it was difficult to say what evidence would prove the claim wrong.

Doesn’t sound like you’re doing science, to me.

In fact, this is the crux of the whole reproducibility crisis in social sciences, is it not?

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