"Hard times create strong men, strong men create good times, good times create weak men, and weak men create hard times" G. Michael Hopf
8,159 karma · joined March 2, 2013
"Hard times create strong men, strong men create good times, good times create weak men, and weak men create hard times" G. Michael Hopf
"People just submitted it. I don't know why. They 'trust me'. Dumb fucks." -Mark Zuckerberg
> I was afraid then that I had consigned myself to writing stories about children in jeopardy. But in fact I was writing character stories rather than idea stories. And THAT was how I built a career, not by self-imitation ...
From my perspective, having read about a dozen of his books and enjoyed his writing, I couldn't help but feel that the protagonists and the adversity facing them get really repetitive - almost all of them really are about unusually smart children in various forms of jeopardy, all achieving almost impossible to believe control over their situation. They're great power fantasies for a kid, but when trying to revisit his writing when I was older, I found myself really disappointed with the lack of range.
I love that. Like a familiar smell, it triggered in me a long lost memory of the old hacker ethos.
To be clear, I'm not saying that it's a good thing, but it does seem to be going in this direction.
For me too, it was around that time last year, with GPT-5, Claude Sonnet 4.5 and then Gemini 3 that I started feeling that these models are clearly becoming great at reasoning. I'm not at all opposed to saying that they are around PhD-level on at least some domains.
I'm absolutely ok with a legitimate lab scientist conducting biochemical research getting suggestions about substances that are generally considered dangerous but might be appropriate for their study, and it'll be up to the scientist to discern whether it is indeed appropriate to use.
To me it seems like just a natural evolution of Codex and a direct response to Claude Cowork, rather than something fully claw-like.
Becoming a parent and taking on the responsibility to support a child financially and emotionally for 18 years as you gradually prepare them for independent life is already a massively difficult decision, particularly when looking at the worldwide decline in birth rates. Expecting people to knowingly and ahead of time take on responsibility for a child who most likely will never be able to support themselves and a raise their own family seems really unreasonable to me.
That sounds like a decently apt description of how I (a human) communicate. The only thing is that I suppose you implied a uniform distribution, while my sampling approach is significantly more complicated and path-dependent.
But yes, to the extent that I have some introspective visibility into my cognitive processes, it does seem like I'm asking myself "which of the possible next letters/words I could choose would be appropriate grammatically, fit with my previous words, and help advance my goals" and then I sample from these with some non-zero temperature, to avoid being too boring/predictable.
So to be clear, I'm not advising anyone to change their current token consumption habit. I'm just saying that it's silly to apply math to prove the impossibility of something we can literally see around us. It's like a mathematical proof that water isn't really wet.
But my argument is that we can work to minimize the time we spend on verifying the code-level accidental complexity.
I do not. I grew up on post-scarcity utopias like Star Trek, coupled with social capitalism, and believe that when there is a market need, people with the interest to tackle it will do so, even in the face of personal financial risk, but I absolutely don't think that it should be the default for everyone. Where there's no strong economic benefit for others to work, I would hope that we could offer everyone UBI, so that a comfortable basic level of life is available for everyone, without having to invent bullshit jobs that aren't needed.
I know I sound naive, but I truly believe that we can move into a future where human value is decoupled from their job, without going into communism.