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fieldcny

434 karma · joined November 30, 2020

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fieldcny··on Traffic Congestion and Infant Health: Evidence from E-ZPass [pdf]
Not really, It was just a word.

Assuming they were making mention of Swedens recommendations only approach, it’s still not a good argument because there are plenty of countries that tried similar methods and failed miserably (e.g. Brazil).

There are a lot of confounding factors not controlled for or properly studied.

fieldcny··on What Happened to Perl 7?
Perl has died a thousand deaths, yet lives to die a thousand more.
fieldcny··on Why isn’t new technology making us more productive?
No offense, but that’s not really a downside of GPS, people make bad decisions all the time tech or no tech.
fieldcny··on Why isn’t new technology making us more productive?
Have you ever looked at 1950s electrical wiring? How about electrical appliances from the 1950s?

We used to have Christmas tree lights from the 1950s that were passed down from our grandparents. Two unshielded wires and no fuses, we burned out many an outlet and tripped the breaker every year.

fieldcny··on Why isn’t new technology making us more productive?
And your house doesn’t burn to the ground every time there’s a short in the system
fieldcny··on Why isn’t new technology making us more productive?
All of it, what do you think isn’t?
fieldcny··on Why isn’t new technology making us more productive?
So your argument is that all technical advancement in the last 50/60 years is just marketing?

That’s a pretty bold statement supported by literally nothing, just because you don’t feel like certain tech has added anything doesn’t mean it hasn’t.

Productivity is an incredibly hard thing to capture, especially with the move to away from manufacturing and physical production.

One could easily argue that the productivity numbers are failing to increase because technology has lowered the barriers to entry all over the world so now there’s more competition for every good and service creating pricing pressure on the “value of goods and services produced”

fieldcny··on Why isn’t new technology making us more productive?
I agree that GPS and maps/directions are a magnificent improvement.

I remember what it was like to get lost, and be lost for hours, late at night nothing open, no one but unsavory characters out.

I remember how hard long trips could be even with maps or trip-tiks from AAA (which were awesome)

GPS enables all sort logistics, it allows transport companies to ensure trucks are driven safely, to know when and where goods in transit are there is an entire world of productivity improvement right there.

fieldcny··on Evidence of Fabricated Data in a Vitamin C trial by Paul E Marik et al in CHEST
The author of this work addressed the notion that patients were matched and the methods were described incorrectly, even in that situation the distribution of p values is so highly unlikely that it’s most likely fraud.

Sloppy research methods leading to bogus results are can be construed as fraud, particularly if you don’t know the motivation for the lack of care.

A diligent researcher might take these results which were “incredible” and attempt to replicate them before publishing.

fieldcny··on I have formally accepted the CEO job at Cruise once again
Just to state the obvious, that assumes other sensors are net additive.

I’m not sure how valid an assumption that is, they could wind up just adding complexity and creating noise.

fieldcny··on A New Coefficient of Correlation
Dumb question, What is the significance of this?
fieldcny··on FDA wants 55 years to process FOIA request over vaccine data
Tell that to the folks who hold the purse strings
fieldcny··on Report on Stablecoins [pdf]
The issue with trying regulate this calamity is that this is inevitably going to lead to a bail out of this scam when it collapses.

It’s worse than the rail road trusts in the 20s

fieldcny··on Roblox has been down for days and it’s not because of Chipotle
Well you can get that from your transaction processor, doubt they do that themselves
fieldcny··on Roy Fielding's Misappropriated REST Dissertation (2020)
You needed the tooling because the specs were so complicated and the output so verbose.
fieldcny··on Roy Fielding's Misappropriated REST Dissertation (2020)
This was my experience as well, trying to convinced enterprise security folks to let new protocols through firewalls was nearly impossible.

The difficulty was exponentiated for api/service calls inbound to the organization.

SOAP services, even though they went over http, had to go through special inspection devices because XML parsing libraries were so complex and prone to parsing issues and security vulns.

fieldcny··on Flexport CEO on how to fix the US supply chain crisis
Seems like your comment was just an attempt to dunk on a group of people you seem to believe are over paid. You have no real facts or information about how much port workers make and you present no evidence that rules that you may deem to be “inefficient” aren’t in place for safety reasons. You also seem to ignore the fact that most manual labor jobs have to provide enough income for a worker while they are able to physically engage in the work to provide for the significantly longer period of time their bodies won’t be able to do the work.

Everyone in this country seems to think they know exactly how much everyone else should make and surprisingly they always think others are over paid.

It’s especially comical when it’s coming from tech folks where an L7 sitting at FB can be pulling down seven figures and could sit in their aeron chairs working till they are 80, we should all recognize the privilege we have in that regard

fieldcny··on JPMorgan's Dimon blasts Bitcoin as 'worthless', due for regulation
Those margins are absolutely incredible, Goldmanesque.

Heck it it were Goldman or JP Morgan running it, you have the CEOs dragged in front of congress being asked why they are robbing poor old grandma while she’s just trying to say trade cryptos

fieldcny··on JPMorgan's Dimon blasts Bitcoin as 'worthless', due for regulation
That’s not true the miners middle men.

You gotta pay to get your transaction executed, the miners take that.

Right now transactions are heavily subsidized by the mining reward, at some point there will no longer be a mining reward so the whole thing will be only supported by transaction fees, and they are likely to be spectacular, even today with the low transaction volumes, actual transactions can sit in the mempool for quite some time before getting executed unless you pony up fees.

fieldcny··on JPMorgan's Dimon blasts Bitcoin as 'worthless', due for regulation
I can tell you haven’t worked in a regulated industry, there is almost no regulation.

Most of the stuff you list is simple stuff done to meet KYC rules that most exchanges were initially delinquent in implementing and only did so when it was pointed out the obvious liability they were taking on not implementing them.

For regulated securities products there are all sort of approvals needed from the product itself to the marketing materials. There are rules about suitability of the product, transparency over commissions and fees, licensing and registration of market participants, market data rules.

That’s all just the tip of the iceberg.

fieldcny··on JPMorgan's Dimon blasts Bitcoin as 'worthless', due for regulation
Why would you pay for something with any crypto, no one wants to be the next guy to pay a billion dollars for a couple pizzas.
fieldcny··on JPMorgan's Dimon blasts Bitcoin as 'worthless', due for regulation
I’m not sure I understand your issue with the previous comment, just because they are sending it to family at home doesn’t mean they are doing it in a lawful way or even that this is desirable or “good” economic behavior.
fieldcny··on ‘Give away your Legos’ and other commandments for scaling startups
There are some bounds on this, I’ve seen plenty of situations where VPs may not be prescribing technical solutions because they are so far out of touch they can’t even understand the solution options in play.
fieldcny··on Ireland joins OECD International Tax agreement
It’s truly a race!
fieldcny··on Facebook-owned sites were down
Loans based on assets like stocks/bonds/other assets with highly variable prices always have collateral requirements. If the loan is backed by 100M in facebook shares and the price of stock drops in half you will have to hand over more stock for collateral. If the price doubles, you can ask for your collateral back.

It is doubtful Z has any margin call issues as he has so much stock, I can't imagine he would have pledged even 5% of it for loans, so he can just hand them another chunk without even blinking (which he generally doesn't do any way)

fieldcny··on Facebook whistleblower says she wants to fix company, not harm it
there were protests, and quite large ones but they were almost exclusively from the left and were generally categorized as just being people that didn't like Bush.

Gallup polling shows 50-60% of Americans supported going in just to remove Hussein, in the first half of 2003 only 23-27% of Americans thought it was a mistake to go in to Iraq. see here for tons of polls done https://news.gallup.com/poll/1633/iraq.aspx

Despite seemingly everyone's revisionist histories, the country was scared and generally whipped into a frenzy, the right wanted it, the centrists wanted it, some of the left wanted it.

fieldcny··on Facebook whistleblower says she wants to fix company, not harm it
There is no evidence that the media was part of the conspiracy, they just parroted the talking points and a few media outlets did heavily question the rationale.. the fact is both wars were hugely popular when they started so few listened.

This is not even close to a comparable situation to the social medial platforms, these platforms and democratized and weaponized mis-information. But it not just them, the ad-funded internet creates perverse incentives for views not truth, FB et al don’t care about truth they care about engagement, they know emotional touch points particularly angry drive engagement so their feeds optimize for that.

Our fractured society is just an emergent behavior from several complex systems with poor incentives, as such we need to find out a way to realign the incentives

fieldcny··on The new dot com bubble is online advertising (2019)
If it were really this easy people would be doing it, the world really is a complex place.
fieldcny··on The new dot com bubble is online advertising (2019)
Maybe if your business is simple and purchase cycle fast.

For the majority of companies that’s not the case.

There are other confounding factors, like the margin attached to that revenue.

Sometimes understanding the actual profitability of a sale can take years.

As others have said for big brands it can be incredibly hard to do real attribution.

fieldcny··on Cops Get Qualified Immunity After Jailing Florida Man for 'I Eat Ass' Sticker
You comment indicates you are somewhat knowledgeable about this, so a question for you. I think the first police forces were established 60+ years after the constitution was written, do you think they would have given that same level of immunity to an armed branch of the government? Seems like the restrictions on military actions within the countries borders would indicate a general skepticism towards armed agents of the government.
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