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garydevenay

142 karma · joined July 22, 2011

meet.hn/city/gb-City-of-Edinburgh

Interests: AI/ML, Entrepreneurship, Programming, Remote Work, Startups, Web Development, Philosophy, Investment, Fitness, Data Science

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garydevenay··on Blockchain-based systems are not what they say they are
The writer doesn't. There are multiple clear instances of mental gymnastics in this article. From previous articles the author has written it seems like they have been researching this topic for 4 days before writing this article. Hardly enough time to become a domain expert.
garydevenay··on Blockchain-based systems are not what they say they are
This article seems to be intentionally written in a hyperbolic fashion, comparing things which are completely different with each other under the guise of "web3" or "blockchains".

Bundling a bunch of bad sounding things up and pretending they are interrelated is intellectually dishonest and counter productive to anyone who takes the time to read the article.

garydevenay··on The metaverse is already here – it's Minecraft
> Plenty of "metaversy" things are possible today, but rejected by users.

While I agree with you on this; online dating was seen as something only desperate people would do, until it was for everyone.

garydevenay··on Lab-grown meat may never be cost-competitive enough to displace traditional meat
Implying that because you satisfy the criteria of one moral principal means that all other moral principals are void is nonsense-think.
garydevenay··on The case for national digital currencies, not Bitcoin
This article is littered with quite important inaccuracies, most of which I'll try and address in this comment.

> The push for decentralization in cryptocurrencies is the root of most of its problems.

The push for decentralization is actually one of the properties that give cryptocurrency most of it's value. It is based on the notion having sovereign wealth and reduction in centralization creates a system that is censorship and manipulation resistant, giving the ability to lift billions of people from poverty.

> So everyone who joins early, bets that the value will not be stable, but grow exponentially over time

This is actually not true, due to Bitcoin's mathematically provably finite supply, this is a feature of the economic stock-to-flow model. With Bitcoin's halving every ~4 years, it's supply production is systematically cut in half causing supply shock. Understanding that a free market will always gravitate to the soundest money (evident over thousands of years through history), it actually makes perfect sense that adoption will grow.

> Instead we should skip the decentralization part, and have a central bank guarantee the value. This makes it stable, and stable is something we definitely need for a currency.

The key underlying problem with central banking is that the ability to inflate the money supply is too great for a government who wants to spend money it does not posses to achieve it's goals. This is evident in the economy today— just two days ago was reported the highest CPI increase in almost 3 decades. A direct result of central banking policy.

> Proof of work for Bitcoin is a colossal waste of electricity.

A vast majority of Bitcoin mining utilises "waste" energy that is over-produced by power stations for the grid. Bitcoin miners are incentivised to seek this waste energy, because it is the cheapest source of energy and maximises their profit margins. For example: Miners using by-product natural gas from oil drilling to produce mining energy which would usually be burned off in a flame stack. Miners are also seen to be geo-locating themselves close to power sources, this minimises energy lost when transporting over physical space.

In summary, the expenditure of energy on Bitcoin and PoW in general is an extremely efficient use of energy for the security and financial liberty it promises for the billions of people who are either outside of suppressed by the current financial system and monetary policies.

> There are other ways to limit supply in other cryptocurrencies, like proof of stake

Proof of stake is a great algorithm, but there is one key reason that you do not want to use it for a currency. It is a plutocratic system, meaning he/she with the largest wealth controls the entire integrity of the network. Block production, network updates, dispute resolution, monetary policy is all controlled by whoever has the largest stake in the network. You COULD say similar for Bitcoin, but the advantage of Proof of work is that your access to control is through CapEX in deploying infrastructure and competing with Bitcoin's increasing difficulty rate. Even if you manage to overcome this, the network of Bitcoin nodes can also reject your malicious blocks.

> Transactions are anonymous

This is false. Transactions on Bitcoin are completely transparent. Bitcoin is a pseudonymous system, anyone with an internet connection can see every wallet and transaction that is taking place on the network, and a mathematical proof of all transactions that have ever taken place on the network. So if tracing stolen funds is your objective— Bitcoin transactions are so visible, that any of us can prove with 100% confidence the destination of a specific transaction. Thanks to our good friend Proof-of-Work, this history is completely immutable.

> Each country should have their own digital currency, backed by that country's central bank.

CBDCs are no change from the current financial system. The one benefit we may see from a CBDC is lower transaction fees (if you are in USA) but large parts of the world don't face any transaction fees for bank transfers at the moment. Again, the issue with central bank backed currency is that savers and investors money is constantly inflated away, meaning that holding any of the currency long term is a guaranteed loss of purchasing power.

> A simple database with a transaction ledger would be fine.

This notion is extremely dangerous. You effectively introduce a single point of failure to the worlds monetary system. The feeble attempt at scaling this approach at the moment uses 4 times MORE energy than the Bitcoin network, and unlike Bitcoin it's energy expenditure scales linearly with transaction throughput.

There are many other flaws I would like to point out in this article, but I feel like my comment has gone on long enough.

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
> wallet keys get lost making stored bitcoins unavailable

This does not remove Bitcoin from the network, just because it is never spent.

> The developers/community may very well decide to change the total amount of bitcoins available in the future

Actually it's not possible. You can fork the network if you get some level of consensus from developers, miners and node runners (not to mention a community that is willing to accept their value be debased) and increase the supply, but then by definition your coin is not on the Bitcoin chain, it is on your new forked chain.

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
Valuation and debasement are two very very different things with very different effects.

The US created 20% of all the dollars that have ever been created, ever– last year. This is infinitely more harmful than a reduction in price compared to another currency.

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
Some context to this plan:

This idea was presented to President Bukele during a Twitter Spaces[1] session where he discussed the bill with the Bitcoin community whilst it was going through voting. Mining Bitcoin was not something he has previously considered and openly ideated on the call with the community. It seems like a fully proposed plan for how Bitcoin mining will play a part in the country's overall energy policy has likely not yet been fully formed.

[1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IRnygiyuG0k&t=4s

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
> the folks with "more money in their pockets"

I would argue that the population who can now operate and opt-out of a USD system where their money is being debased by 20%+ in the last year by a foreign government will be quite a bit better off.

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
This is undoubtably a bold move by El Salvador, but I think dismissing it at "ridiculous" isn't very productive.
garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
> How so?

Fiat currencies are exceptionally good instruments for exchange value for illicit purposes. Primarily this is because it is unknown what the total supply of fiat is (although there are reasonable models for estimation) and it's transactional history is impossible to define.

Both of these properties combined (although other factors undoubtably are at play) mean it's very easy for large amounts of fiat to exchange hands without any third parties knowing (i.e cash transactions).

This is the underlying issue that allows fiat currencies to be the best method for transacting for illicit purposes.

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
> In theory, you can also store USD for an infinite amount of time

This is actually not true, as 1 USD does not equal a static percentage of all USD. If you look at the stock-to-flow of storing value in USD compared to Bitcoin or even Gold, it's immediately apparent that USD or central bank backed fiat currency is an exceptionally inefficient way to store value as it's being debased at alarming rates.

This is why $1000 was worth way more in 1980 than it is today.

Edit Note: I actually just re-read your comment and realised I misread. I read store value for an infinite amount of time

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
This scenario doesn't have any particular features that make access to energy or mining bitcoin the differentiating factor. Illicit fiat and extortion can be used in order to launder illicit fiat in many ways.

The underlying problem actually lies in the fiat system, not the Bitcoin one.

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
I think that's a fair comment. Re-using the word "energy" in that sense is potentially misleading to always mean electrical energy.

As for the value of 1 BTC, it's value fluctuates if you operate on a base currency which is not BTC, but that is the same for any currency exchange.

(I am suggesting currency, though I also understand that BTC may not be unanimously agreed on as a currency— but in El Salvador's case it is)

garydevenay··on El Salvador Plans to Use Electricity Generated from Volcanoes to Mine Bitcoin
In the case of laundering Bitcoin— this seems to be a majorly misunderstood concept. Bitcoin transactions are completely transparent and observable by everyone who has an internet connection. Anyone (with an internet connection) can watch any wallet and observe any and all transactions. The notion of a country being a "good location for laundering bitcoins" doesn't really make sense, as Bitcoin are never in a location.

In terms of profiting from surplus electricity, Bitcoin (or cryptocurrency mining in general) is a great option as it's exceptionally simple to scale up and down in accordance with available cheap surplus. One major benefit that miners are taking advantage of is locating in close proximity to energy stations, reducing the inefficiency of transporting electrical energy over distance. This turns effectively "wasted" energy in to a solidly efficient energy store for infinite amount of time— for example: 1 BTC will always be equal to 1/21000000 of the total supply.

garydevenay··on SpaceX acquires former oil rigs to serve as floating Starship spaceports
Engine out redundancy is built in (as with Falcon 9)— hull redundancy typically isn't.
garydevenay··on SpaceX acquires former oil rigs to serve as floating Starship spaceports
Starship will use 304L stainless steel due to it's good performance at cryogenic temps. 304L just so happens to be the best kind of stainless steel for salt water exposure.

Not sure if any other steps will need to be taken for greater protection (for the ceramic heat shielding etc).

garydevenay··on iPhone 12 and iPhone 12 Pro
I don't and never have had my iPhone in a case (iPhone user since 3g)
garydevenay··on Show HN: Hacker News Dark Mode
I've just installed Dark Reader from this post, it is awesome.
garydevenay··on Failed SaaS post-mortem: validate your pricing model like I didn't
At least long enough to be indexed on Google.
garydevenay··on ‘Dreich’ tops poll of favourite Scots words (2013)
The Merchant Chippy in Merchant City, Glasgow. Not a finer chip has been fried.
garydevenay··on ‘Dreich’ tops poll of favourite Scots words (2013)
As a Scot living in London (I left around 5 years ago). The C-word is certainly commonly used, especially in the West Coast where I'm from.
garydevenay··on LONDON: Need a little help
That sounds awesome! Thanks for the help
garydevenay··on Ask HN: I dropped out of school at 17. Freelance is my only hope. Advice?
I dropped out of school at 16, all I knew was I was HTML and CSS (and not very well). I managed to get a job with bad pay, crap atmosphere.

I'm now 22 and working for one of the top agencies in Scotland. All my friends are still in university or dead end jobs.

As long as you have passion for what you do, and keep learning new things - you'll progress faster than you believe.

garydevenay··on Square Processing $2B In Payments Per Year
I seem to think that they are used by smaller or personal organisations (that's what I think they would be ideal for anyway). So maybe a lot of trades-people and freelances could be utilising their service.
garydevenay··on (reddit) YC applications are due, did you apply? If so, what are you building
We applied with Glecto. Glecto (glecto.com) is a social news platform. We allow users to create stories and other users to come along and add their additions (what they know) to that story, therefore building up a full structured news story.

All stories are up/down voted to ensure that the the best and most important content are shown first (and of course the worst and inappropriate content is pushed off).

Users can also add video and photo to their stories or additions.

We aim to get our app fully accessible on both Mobile and Desktop (unlike others).

garydevenay··on Y Combinator Is Now Getting Over One Application Every Minute
Good to see the interest is still growing! Hoping to see a lot of useful things coming out of this batch.
garydevenay··on YC Application Checklist (apps due in 1 week)
Excellent info, I am largely surprised that we managed to hit every point that you have mentioned. Looking forward to seeing this batch (and hoping we're involved)
garydevenay··on Git Is Simpler Than You Think
Couldn't agree more! I have lead quite a successful 'git life' without using any complex commands and therefore have never found git hard!
garydevenay··on Reddit becomes reddit Inc.
I have to say, although Reddit is a large and possibly even influential service. I can't agree that they will be able to influence the news industry greatly (I use greatly loosely as the industry is so large).

I think an online service could revolutionise the way we all read and digest news, Reddit is the first stepping stone in this revolution but I expect it to be overtaken soon by a superior service (The same way Facebook has MySpace).

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