gip

The fact that there is only 1 comment on that thread is more interesting that the article imo. My prediction is that zero-knowledge technologies will be absolutely key to how we build in the coming 5 to 10 years, especially in a world where AI is everywhere.

Yet, middle of 2025, nobody seems to care. We shall see!

The status of Iran’s nuclear sites (and more importantly, its stockpile of enriched uranium) is anyone’s guess at this point. It’s likely that no one truly knows, not even the Iranians. It will take significantly more time to get a clear answer.

That said, it may not matter much. Restarting their nuclear program in secret would likely be far more difficult now and would almost certainly be detected. Ideally, a political agreement will soon render the issue moot.

For some designs, sure — AI will likely generate most of the UX for, say, SaaS products. But when it comes to high-quality, innovative designs, humans will lead.

It is fascinating how design has become the new gold standard in the AI era. It really looks the strongest signals come from taste and design quality and AI is killing other signals.

Stellar and the United Nation joining forces to advance financial inclusion as a quick example. People can downvote me all they want due to biases, these projects do exist.

We need to stop telling people they will make money with crypto. It is akin telling people they will make money with PostgreSQL. In both cases, if they build a great business, they may become successful and make some money. But looking at crypto through the lens of becoming rich quick is flowed.

I believe in crypto, I think it will even protect people online when done right.

And not everything is scam, there are good projects. That being said the behavior of people and organizations in crypto is poor and will slow adoption. I still regularly see major crypto ecosystems rug pull their own developers. They simply can’t help themselves.

And very soon that will apply to packages with values below $800 as the de minimis exemption is being phased out I reckon. Not exactly business-friendly, the government should be able to handle the load before enacting these rules at least.

If they invest elsewhere, they will have limited access to the U.S. market—that is Trump’s policy it seems.

If the U.S. has one thing going for it, it’s the strength of its market, characterized by high consumer spending and strong potential for growth. Contrast this with the Japanese consumer market, for instance: in real terms, salaries have not increased over the past 10 years, and consumer spending is below what it was a decade ago. (Note: I love Japan, but this is the reality.) European market is between these extremes I believe. The U.S. market may be significantly more attractive to most companies.

This reminds me of Galileo - the U.S. tried everything they could to kill this "European GPS". It is pretty clear today that giving up on it would have been a catastrophic mistake. Europe should not risk make the same mistake with critical infrastructures ever again. It is time for Europe to build.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galileo_(satellite_navigation)

I think companies who want to access the large U.S. internal market will have an incentive to have factories in the U.S. That will likely fuel growth. The growth will be coupled with less imports and exports given nationalism and tariffs.

And if it is what the Americans want why not. But as the U.S. take this new direction, let's make sure former allies are treated with respect and given proper notice of the changes so that they can adapt their economies and defense postures.

Probably accurate for the coming 4 years.

In the middle to long term though, Europe should and will decouple from the US in defense and tech. US influence will be reduced. European almost made a fatal mistake with Galileo that the US wanted to kill [0] and I don't think they will make that mistake again. F-35, Starlink, air defense will be built by European companies.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galileo_(satellite_navigation)

I do think there will be a recession yes. But within 6 to 18 months, the recession could be over with and growth will come back as the US rebuilds some of its industrial base. US imports and exports will decrease over time.

Note: it is my prediction at 70% (e.g. I think there is 70% that it will happen).

That’s fine if Trump wants to spend less or even withdraw from NATO.

Doing it like it just did with basically no notice is a stabbing in the back to former allies of the US. And Republicans are also not saying much.

That behavior should and very likely will not be forgotten by Europe.

The next phase that makes sense is an iron curtain between 4 blocks (US, Europe, Russia, China). Like during the Cold War, it is the approach that will minimize the risk of war.

Totally agree that Trump is trading long-term dominance for short-term gains.

I think that in a few months, we will see the U.S. economy doing very well and somehow rebuilding its industrial base. In the long term, U.S. influence and wealth will make up a much smaller share of the world’s wealth than it does today.

Good question and I have no strong answer today. But I think we'll find a way to tune models to achieve this very soon.

I see such a difference between what is built today and codebases from 10 years ago with indirections everywhere, unnecessary complexity,.. I interviewed for a company with a 13yo RoR codebase recently after a few mins looking at the code decided I didn't want to work there.

I think that some engineers will still be needed to maintain old codebases for a while yes.

But it's pretty clear that the codebases of tomorrow will be leaner and mostly implemented by AI, starting with apps (web, mobile,...). It will take more time for scaling backends.

So my bet is that the need for software engineering will follow what happened for stock brokers. The ones with basic to average skills will disappear, automated away (it has already happened in some teams at my last job). Above average engineers will still be employed my comp will eventually go down. And there will be a small class of expert / smartest / most connected engineers will see their comp go up and up.

It is not the future we want but I think it what is most likely to happen.

I thought competition was exactly what business was about and how the capitalist system was functioning and financing itself? I don't condone Musk's actions but I'm not sure how he ends up as a terrorist. That looks like aggressive competition in a line of business. It's not clear how critical infrastructure or public safety would be negatively affected by his actions, therefore not sure what to think of it.

PS: I do believe Musk should be subject to the federal criminal conflict of interest statute given his position in gov.

The point that this article makes is that founding engineers shouldn't accept 1% equity. I think it's more nuanced. I've worked in startups for a long time and my experience is that early engineers are more motivated by the 0 to 1 aspect that by equity. Most of them leave within a few years and do not buy vested equity anyway.

I think the experience and exposure to new tech, new people and the professional growth is what makes it worthwhile for more junior folks.

I agree that for the top engineers that doesn't make any sense.

This has been my experience as well as a director of engineering. I also think more diverse candidates is a good thing.

The thing that was harder for me was working with the people hired to run the DEI recruiting programs. I never was able to establish a great working relationship with them even though I was able to do so with a good cross-section of the rest of the organization. Not really sure why tbh.

This story also shows another facet of inflation: the amount currently paid is €13.61 a year. Effectively, that debt was killed by inflation over the years.

Inflation makes it harder for the current generation but also free future generations from your debts.

As a teenager I went to a science fair organized by the Communist party (true story and obviously it wasn't in the US). A guy there was explaining how computers works and he took the time to show me BASIC. I wrote my first program that day and found it fascinating. I was enthusiastic about learning more so I asked my Dad for a computer. Said he "Study Math, it's exactly the same".

My next real contact with computers was 15 years later.

Great! Did something similar some time ago [0] but the performance was underwhelming compared to C/C++ code running on CPU (which points to my lack of understanding of how to make Rust fast). Would be nice to have some benchmarks of the different Rust implementations.

Implementing LLM inference should/could really become the new "hello world!" for serious programmers out there :)

[0] https://github.com/gip/yllama.rs

It is anecdotical, but I'm consulting with a startup in the Bay Area. We have 9 job openings listed on the website (and for some reason only 4 on LinkedIn). But in reality one position (senior dev) is really open, and the bar is sky high. By that I mean that the founders would hire the right person. But the other 8 positions are just there for signaling and nobody looks at the applications we get (and for one of these positions we got 1k+ applications last time I checked). For when I'm asked, the CEO told me to say that we are prioritizing finding the senior dev first (and the position has been open for 6 months).

I think the founders feel that it is the right posture to signal that the company is growing (external messaging) and that we are doing well (internal messaging).

I think it's nuanced. I'm currently managing an engineering team on an interim basis. During standup I noticed that most engineers were talking about 'elastic' or 'elasticsearch' but one was talking about opensearch. I asked them to clarify that for me and they told me that they transitioned to AWS opensearch but still use the old name for the product often - that might point to the strength of the Elastic brand.

> With that being said, people using Metriport can store the FHIR data and raw docs coming from our API in whatever solution they wish - including the Google FHIR storage! Everything is standardized to FHIR R4, so syncing to another backend is straightforward.

Great. What I was trying to say is that there may be some value for larger customers if your company were building and managing something like it (basically a Fivetran for FHIR).

Congrats on the launch. I work in healthtech and I'm always shocked by how fragmented and siloed the technology is in my industry. Both at the application level (EHR) and data level, leading to general inefficiency, high costs and innovation that do not always benefit the patients.

Glad Metriport is addressing this! I hope you will drive a new level of standardization on an open and modern data exchange protocol.

One question: at the product level, would it make sense to go one step further and bet on the future being the cloud - and start supporting existing cloud solution like Google Healthcare (FHIR) API (and others) as storage layers?

This is totally off. Only the addict will be charged of assault.

I can confirm that at least 2 of the offending reviews simply disappeared after my VP talked to them.

As a senior manager I worked closely with a VP of engineering on the engineering culture - one of the expected outcome was the improvement of our Glassdoor company rating. But my VP (and probably the leadership) wanted to go fast. So my VP was in touch with someone at Glassdoor and had a way to 'tweak' or remove unpleasant reviews. I don't know the details but if there is definitely a way for companies to do that despite Glassdoor claiming that reviews can't be removed.