9,030 karma · joined January 12, 2012
As long as there other companies scooping up the juniors (which we cannot assume will happen), this could be sustainable.
Most likely, the bulk of the solution will come through debasement and stealth default. Real inflation plus manipulating the official inflation numbers to default on a part of inflation adjusted obligations like TIPS and social security.
Food for thought: if OpenAI hadn't done that proof dump, it would be a matter of a few months until someone had. Maybe an independent researcher, possibly way fewer proofs, but would still have taken the Math world by storm.
The key problem is that the technology and not the company disempowered Mathematicians in a way that we had never seen before.
There's nothing special about the GPU besides doing certain kind of operations that are very useful for graphics (and AI, among other things) really efficiently. The distinction should never have been "software rendering" vs "hardware rendering", but "what CPU rendering could achieve when GPUs weren't widespread" versus "what GPU rendering has been able to achieve since they became available".
If you know what it is, you know what it is.
The rise of AI coincides with the destruction of the old Internet.
At the same time, there's a type of person who loves to explain things. They give presentations and are extra helpful when engaged. I'm pretty sure you can still ask them questions.
Then I went to random.org and generated 100 integers. I went through the list one by one and pressed "D" for even and "F" for odd. I got only a 48% correct guess rate!
Go do that to your free users, not the ones paying your salary.
To be clear, I empathize with your sentiment and revolt, despite being more of a "builder" myself in the software world. I just can't see how the explorer mindset can survive the onslaught of AI-augmented output.
At one point, the metrics were fairly aligned with the things mathematicians love, but nobody was ever judged by how much they like their work, right? The theory is that the more you like your work, the better your output will be. But motivations are multifaceted and I could see people who value careers over satisfaction winning if AI helps them.
I'm not saying I like this, just that it seems to be the most likely outcome.
For instance, imagine a mathematical institute that hires reasonably competent mathematicians who are amazing AI prompters but lack mathematical creativity or "genius". All they produce are mathematical papers with clear proofs and explanations. Very human readable stuff. But the catch is that they are not discovering any of it. All they are doing is "translating" full AI discoveries into a format others can understand.
Is that acceptable?
In a cold autumn in 1967, a barely awake scientist in the now defunct Institute of XYZ thought he'd go through his lab notes as he has done for the past 3 years since leaving the serene setting of the University of...
I immediately close it.
I know it's not the same thing because you lose comments, unused prototypes etc, but I still find it a fascinating use of the technology.
Is there an equivalent to that today? As soon as a cool technology appears, there are startups selling something within a few weeks. What is the "weird" kid doing today?
Here's what I am saying: most top companies require degrees but will only take a degree from a select list of colleges, while government jobs that require degrees will accept a degree from any college.