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gustavus

1,652 karma · joined July 3, 2023

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gustavus··on Economics Nobel Laureates' Letter Supporting the California Billionaire Tax [pdf]
Is this the same California that has spent $30 billion on a high speed rail without laying a track and is expected to finish at a total of $213 billion 31 years after it was approved?

Or the one that spent $24 billion dollars fighting homelessness only to have overall homelessness numbers increase? My point being California could do a lot more to fix their financial situation but cutting their expenses than trying to claw more money from people.

There's a discussion to be had about taxation in this country but I predict no matter how much revenue they make from this "one time 5% tax", they'll blow the whole thing within 3 years for no gain and then start proposing another "1 time tax" again to try and fix their coffers.

After all it doesn't matter how much money you make if you're spending more than you earn, and nothings more permanent than a temporary fix.

gustavus··on OpenAI and Anthropic oversold AI security breaches
> OpenAI and Anthropic oversold “rogue AI” hacks to pressure the feds into regulating the industry which would effectively lock out future competition, tech insiders told The Post.

The only substantiative comment to address the claim in the title, and it is from a nebulous "Tech industry insider". The other comments are by guys that run various "AI" Startups.

I don't buy a lot of the hype either but trying to present their claim as some revelation or news should have something to add.

The entire article is "Some tech people say the agents just had a bad sandbox and proper controls would've prevented this. Politicians are introducing bills to 'ban AI research '."

There saved you a click or a commanding your AI agent summarizing it.

gustavus··on EU chief opens door for Canada to become 'associate member'
That's rich considering it was France and the UK that threw Poland under the bus despite having a signed defense pact. The US just came in to clean up the mess.
gustavus··on Why the software industry needs a lot of regulation
So it seems like this guy doesn't realize that for a lot of real world effecting systems like Health and Aviation that he calls out there is already a ton of regulation and rules around it.

In fact the biggest issue with safety he has seems to be the use of tech in military drones, which 1) wouldn't really be prevented by a "code" and 2) isn't an issue of engineering, it's a whole separate philosophical debate and question of values. I mean remember the guy who invited the process for mass producing nitrogen which led to fertilizer production vastly increasing and is largely responsible for ending world starvation, for which he won the novel prize, was only doing it because he wanted to figure out how to speed the production of TNT for wartime uses, he also later went on to become the father of chemical weapons in WW1.

So if your hope is "if we give every software engineer an ethics 101 course then everyone will hold hands and sing cumbaya" is hopelessly naive. In the meantime for a lot of the industries where your software can kill people there is already heavy rules around it.

gustavus··on LG says we're fake news [video]
Open Source never meant having to give your software away for free, it was always free as in speech. In that you could see the crap you got and change it if you wanted to.

But you're right I'm sure that if there hadn't been the GCC there wouldn've been a ton of competing compilers. I'm sure that it was the existence of Apache that ruined computing and brought about the enshittification of the web not MS trying to force everyone to cater to IE and then Google doing the same with Chrome, it's all just because of that evil Open Source.

gustavus··on LG says we're fake news [video]
I brought this up all the time I argued with co-workers I advocated for Open Source because I knew where this was headed and every time it played out the exact way this comic did. Now I just post a link to this comic in discussion about these kind of things. https://xkcd.com/743/
gustavus··on The EPA is planning to scrap public review rules for data center pollution
Like a bunch of guys with guns couldn't defeat the well drilled and maintained British regulars that are backed by massive warships. Or a bunch of dudes with guns in the jungles of Vietnam couldn't beat a modern military with fighters and bombers and tanks. Or a bunch of dudes in the mountain wilderness with guns couldn't beat a modern military with satellites, smart missiles, night vision and drones

Or a bunch of dudes in the deserts of yemen couldn't defend against a modern military with aircraft carriers, realtime control of almost all communications, autonomous drones and missiles and 5th gen fighters

History and current events seem to be disagreeing with you.

gustavus··on I'm sorry, you're not going to die from an AI-engineered supervirus
That really proves the point though worst case scenario, releasing a nerve agent into a crowded subway, multiple subways resulted in a grand total of 14 deaths and 50 serious injuries. bum bum bum It's not that that isn't tragic or sad but more people will die or be maimed in a car crash in the US in the next 2 hours than died in the worst case scenario bioterrorism attack.

So if I have to choose between the slim possibility that a crazy person might develop a bio-weapon and the possibility that Anthropic, et. Al convince the government to regulate and control open source models (because I'm sure the government will only do that for good reasons and never things like covering up scandals, squashing dissent or enhancing their own power) and any competitors. I'm probably going to put my chips on a nutcase in a trailer park developing super sars over regulator capture by the government.

gustavus··on Flock Wants a Closely Surveilled World with No Exit
That's only for bad people who don't agree with the right thoughts and the right thinking. Don't worry as long as you don't disagree with the government you'll be fine citizen, after all you wouldn't want to disagree with the government would you?
gustavus··on Flock Wants a Closely Surveilled World with No Exit
I agree this is double plus good fellow citizen. Only bad persons who want to do bad things and Eastasia supporters would not want to have their activities tracked at all times, why would anyone want to allow bad things to happen when we could all be under the watchful care of big brother at all times. After all these measures are necessary to defeat Eurasia!

Stay strong big brother is watching!

gustavus··on 1Password Replied to My Disappointment
I care far far far more about technical excellence and capability when it comes to security critical pieces of software like 1Password and as long as they demonstrate they are capable then I could care less if the founder voted Rasputin and worships Morgoth.

I don't care if the guy who made my hammer is a Pastifarian I care how well the hammer hammers, I don't care if my accountant likes to dress up as a skunk and go to conventions demanding people address him by Sir Reginald Stinkington as long as he does a good job at my taxes.

In this case it seems the concern is that the company donated to an OS project that is headed by a guy whom you don't like.... That just seems like there are plenty of other problems to address in the world.

gustavus··on Texas Data Center Map: See where data centers are operating or planned
One question I've got is why Texas? It gets very warm there and DCs need cooling. Wouldn't like Wisconsin or Minnesota or Michian be cheaper. I mean Michigan's whole schtick is land of 1000 lakes, and that's not even considering Alaska which is massive, unpeopled, and colder than a nun's ruler?

I'm not saying for or against, I'm just curious why they are choosing Texas?

gustavus··on Sony makes bold claim about game ownership
It's actually an interesting question there. Because I've been wondering if I buy something in taking ownership of it, whereas if I steal something I am still taking ownership of it without compensation. However if I'm not buying something but merely licensing it the wouldn't that mean that technically I'm not stealing it I'm only violating the terms of the license of it, which is now a civil not criminal matter.
gustavus··on Wildfire Survivors Push Back Against Newsom-Led Utility Bailout
I think in this case the OPs point is that even with the money the electric company can't do the necessary maintenance because it violates environmental laws about cutting down trees or disturbing the habitat of the Blue Titted Elbonian Mud Grouse.

Then you just can't. I'm sure the utility companies are heart broken they have to not spend on maintenance and can instead pocket the extra cash but it doesn't change the levithianian regulatory mess California has erected around doing anything in the name of protecting the environment, compromise and competing concern be darned.

gustavus··on Electric rain can eat through metal
https://what-if.xkcd.com/23/

In short it won't be. Less than $100 in a century during the highest recorded rainfall in the US.

gustavus··on Credit Card Rewards Became a $9.2B Wealth Transfer
So i may be an anomaly but I'd say 20-40% of all places I shop have a specific fee to cover CC transactions using a CC vs Cash.
gustavus··on Coding expertise is going to collapse from AI reliance
I mean you may be trying to make a point but the counterpoint is Einstein, Bohrs, Planck, Shannon, Turing, Von Nuemann, Feynman, Bohr and most of the other big names all came out during that time.

In contrast since then we've had almost not noteable physicists or Computer Scientists that I'm aware, we've got a couple, Hawking and Knuth. But apart from that I don't know if there is a single scientist I could point out today that has revolutionized our understanding or even done any real breakthrough work in the field of Physics since Einsteins era.

gustavus··on Agent Is Not the Model
Well first off if you ask Microsoft everything is Copilot.

Secondly the confusion is designed to benefit the bull** by using ambiguous language they can do as humpty dumpty did in Alice in Wonderland and say "When I use a word, it means just what I choose it to mean. Neither more nor less" Which benefits whatever they are pushing.

Beware those that attempt to muddle language and avoid precision in speaking.

gustavus··on The Citizen Developer
COBOL

Visual Basic

Low-Code

Power Platform

Although AI substantially changes the situation the hard part of being an engineer was never the code.

A technician is defined by the tools they work with, an engineer is defined by the problems they can solve. Taking a dozen different business processes and stakeholders and figuring out how to actually solve the problems they have is engineering.

gustavus··on Companies promote incompetent employees to management to limit damage they do
Save yourself 5 minutes and just read the Wikipedia article on "The Dilbert Principal" it's more useful, has more content and doesn't have this atrocious layout.
gustavus··on Buyer cancels showing after Deflock shows two cameras utilized by the HOA
> So where are we now? Instead of the HOA president spending their day driving past "problem" houses to look for any rules violations, are we going to have them doing that with Flock cameras instead? What a dystopian nightmare.

This actually very much understates the problems. HOAs are no longer small organizations where the local biddies gather to feel like they are back in high school because they have nothing better to do with their time. They've become defacto governments.

True story I at one point bought in a development that had an HOA the rules of the development were that for the first 5 years or until have the development was done then developer would be in charge of the HOA and then it would revert to the homeowners at 4 years 6 months the HOA board (who was the developers) voted to merge with another HOA to a that ran a dozen other developments and complexes throughout the state.

HOAs are now massive multi-million dollar corporations that controls vast swathes of land, and rule over their tenants without any of the checks or balances or recourse one has available against the government.

For those who say "just buy in a non-HOA area" the problem is that almost all new builds have HOAs built in from the start as part of the developers plan and so the options for those not wanting to deal with an HOA are increasingly limited.

In short abolish HOAs. If people want to get together to form groups of homeowners that's fine but there is no world in which someone should be able to take your house because your grass is too long.

gustavus··on What happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers
I mean asking ChatGPT got me this answer that around 49% of 30-34 year olds grew up in social housing in the UK. Sources and reasoning included in response. So I'd say that's a pretty strong signal.

https://chatgpt.com/share/6a7750bd-1538-83ea-840c-57266e366f...

If you don't think the NHS has any problems then I don't know what to tell you on that you either don't follow any information about it or don't interact with it.

gustavus··on What happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers
I mean we've got multiple generational families that have been living on council estates all their lives and raising the next generation to do the same at the same time the NHS is collapsing all around, so there's that example.
gustavus··on If AI Outputs Aren't Speech, Who Has to Prove They're Human?
Well obviously the works produced by a typewriter aren't speech because the works are produced not by a person but a mechanical contraption.

And let's not start with a blog post or website comment. Those aren't speech because they aren't even written by human hands they are instead just using a very fancy elctro-mechanical mechanism for transferring a series of electric waves from one individual to another across the palent.

gustavus··on A Surveillance Treaty in Disguise: Canada Signs UN Cybercrime Convention
Ive noticed that when people say we need more education or we need to teach critical thinking or something like that often what they really mean is "It is obvious my position is the intelligent one and those who have a different position are ignorant and foolish and if they just knew more, or were smarter they'd obviously really then superiority of what I advocate for over whatever they believe now."

Which is just the saying as "I'm right you're wrong" without adding any value. Most politically contentious issues have at their root a difference of value or tradeoffs, and it is only by understanding that we can really have civil discourse and reduce the polarization. And to be clear if you believe that the difference in value is simply between evil and good, e.g. everyone who belongs to Party A loves puppies and wants to bring happiness and love where anyone who votes for candidate B wants to revive Rasputin and unleash the legions of hell. You are part of the problem. (And if you're immediate response to this is to point out how Bernie/Trunp/Tredau/Harambee actually does want to feed puppies to Morgoth you're part of the problem)

gustavus··on Arch Linux disables AUR package adoption
I love how people blame anonymity for the current internet problems. Whereas when anonymith was the default we had almost none of the problems. Most of the problems seemed to have started once anonymity stopped being the order of the data, and things like Facebook and Twitter became big where everyone's real identities became tied to their online behavior.
gustavus··on Critical Minerals: Reducing U.S. import reliance with substitution and recycling
A lot of the answe are reddit-esque throwaway answers and political shill bots, but for a more nuanced answer. For a long timeant people were brought up on the "End of History" idea. That after the Cold war mankind would all get together and sign kimbaya, that war as we knew it was over, sure there would be atrocities and "policing actions" that would be needed to stop some bad guys but everything was good wars of the past were over and it was all good.

This started to unravel as things got more tense with the increasing militarization of China and centealzatuon of power in Xi as well as well as Putins more aggressive moves.

The Ukraine war kicked the whole structure over and dillusioned a lot of people. The problem is that if suddenly history isn't over and war is a possibility again you need to start preparing for it. If you choose not to play the great game you don't avoid it, you just get crushed, and so as a matter of national survival and security you need to start preparing to meet near peer adversaries, but they see you preparing and they up their defensive preperations and military spending because you did and if they don't they might be crushed, and you see this and have to up your spending, and suddenly a massive amount of wealth is going to preparing for conflict.

The whole situation is almost identical to how things were on the eve of the 20th century, with radical advances in technology overturning decades of military theory and strategy, everyone is tense with alliances constantly shifting and real politick dominating everything because the alternative is the fate of the Belgians who had their country shorn from them and their people massacred by Imperial German forces. At the same time we see growing social unrest within nations (stoked by foreign actors trying to disrupt social cohesion of their potential enemies) and everyone posturing with more and more bluster because to be precieved as weak is to invite death as no one wants to make friends with a weak link.

The one important lesson to be taken however is that WW1 didn't have to happen the Great War could've been prevented, a major part of the conflict was the certainty that there was going to be a war. If we can choose to instead try and be peacemakers and bring the overall temprature of discourse down we can avoid another human catastrophe.

gustavus··on Americans are angry about data centers. Politicians are feeling the pressure
They don't need strong arguments they need emotionally resonent ones, "AI is using all your water" is a more primal, plus doesn't matter they just flood with a thousand different arguments.

And updoots might not but plenty of people now are protesting and pushing against allowing data centers to be built near them so it is working.

gustavus··on Americans are angry about data centers. Politicians are feeling the pressure
I suspect rather foreign actors seed some of the anti data center narrative in order to try and reduce American capability to compete in the space, just like the Soviets did with nuclear in the 60-80s.
gustavus··on CO2 overload in blood suggests toxic atmosphere within 50 years
So even will all the effort we've put into solar and decreasing coal, being more economical unless there is massive widespread international cooperation to suddenly and rapidly start deindustrializatizing the air we breathe will be doing us in less than 25 years.

Sounds great, at this point doesn't really seem to be anything I can do as an individual except enjoy the ride, because it's now a race to see whether swarms of killer AI robots do us in, the global economy collapses, the ocean currents fail, and if none of those happen the air will end up killing us all anyway.

Sounds like I might as well try and enjoy it while it lasts. Cheers!

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