headmelted

1) You’re assuming sports betting is completely random, then assuming I’m comparing this completely random thing to your supposedly not random thing.

2) Cryptocurrency is 13 years old, give or take. The idea that there’s a predictable cycle of bull runs and bear markets based on such a short timeframe is nothing more than hype and fantasy.

3) They’re all speculative tokens, so I’m not sure which ones you think are garbage or not garbage.

PG wrote an essay quite a while back about filtering out solutions in search of problems, which would include almost all of the cryptocurrency sphere (e.g. Web3), but I’m not sure what else there is outside of money trees.

Or you could just randomly put it all on a horse or a greyhound.

No less asymmetrical, greater odds of success, and less rigged against you most likely.

I’ve absolutely worked on projects like this, but I would suggest that how clean or well designed the codebase is really isn’t put to the test until the creator leaves and others need to maintain, which is usually when the groans and eyerolls start if they are going to happen.

This I can actually get on board with - but wouldn’t you agree that this would really just fall under “good engineering?”

The use of specialist tools to increase output happens in hundreds of other careers and I’m sure it just falls under learned knowledge of the craft.

> Just to pre-empt someone telling me I must never have met a real 10x engineer

That should save us some time.

> Whatever the reason,once you meet a 10x, you will know it.

Guess not.

I'm convinced the 10x engineer doesn't exist.

It's not that the 10x engineer is a myth - it's a fallacy. You'll find that people in the same profession (any profession) will have variance in their abilities and their return to a project, but it's a big leap to assume that someone that appears to perform much better than their peers is actually doing so in any objective sense.

The 10x engineer is more likely than not the person most familiar with the project and the codebase, knows the real reason why Mark didn't just put everything on Kubernetes or why Tanya didn't want to switch from React to Vue before leaving the team.

Or.. it's an engineer that has the ear and the faith of higher-ups in the organisation to deliver results because they're good at convincingly taking credit for them.

Generally I find that 10x engineer on here means "knows more than most about [tech stack X]" and can work quickly. That's cool if all other things are equal, but I've had to clean up more than a couple of catastrophic messes left in the wake of people that worked quickly.

Just to pre-empt someone telling me I must never have met a real 10x engineer or some other such dismissive response - I'm an average fish in an average pond. I've had people tell me how good I am in the past, both reports and managers, and have in both cases corrected them politely that I've just had more time with the problem/project/codebase than others have.

Anytime I hear someone talk about 10X engineers, let alone describing themselves as that, all it makes me think is that there's a failure of humility.

None of this belittles Fabrice Bellard. Or John Carmack. Or Chris Lattner. Or [known and respected programmer]. Their achievements speak for themselves.

You could give names of people in the field all day. There's a lot of us around. How many of the self-described or colleague-described "10X engineers" floating around are Linus Torvalds?

I feel like this misses the point. And then a lot.

I’ve never noticed an aftertaste.

Anything with aspartame in it seems to make me immediately feel nauseous. Not sure if I’m an outlier here.

You say that innocently, but you may not realise - they know the necessary hashtags.

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/amber-rudd-necessary-...

I mean I sort of see why you’ve been downvoted (this is off-topic and adds nothing to the discussion), but you’re also not wrong.

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, which is a lesson that we learned a million different hard ways and which has been almost completely forgotten.

It's complicated.

There are a lot of things you'll miss coming from "real" Visual Studio.

VS Code is really a very good lightweight editor, but it's not trying to be an IDE.

Visual Studio 2022 for Mac is.. fine. It's a poor choice of name given that it sounds like a Mac port of Visual Studio, which it's not (it's MonoDevelop rebranded and updated with other features, but is still really far from VS on Windows).

I use JetBrains Rider quite a bit and I really quite like it, but even then, it's not close to matching Visual Studio + Resharper.

The features that you only really get to know on large projects or specific use cases are the ones that you'll miss the most in my experience, as it tends to be the blind spot for lighter environments.

IntelliTrace is a big one. There's nothing like it on any other .NET IDE that I can think of. Also the deep AppInsights integration has always been fairly incredible in VS and while VS Code has started to adopt some of this, it's still far from what's in VS.

The last thing I really miss is Snapshot Debugging. Having an exception being reported to you from live, being able to then click the exception on Azure and immediately pop a VS window with the debugger on the line that failed with a fully rewindable call stack as if it were running locally is magical for turning around bugs - most of the time you don't even need to try to trace the cause or recreate the circumstances at all.

You mis-spelled reddit.com. Don’t worry, plenty of upvotes for this kind of thing over there.

“I really wish people would push to decrease the production and use of plastics in the first place, seems more sustainable than trying to engineer solutions at the tail end of the issue”

Absolutely this.

Watching the video in the article above was a bit worrying when it gets to the end. It’s really not clear to me if the researchers have created a plastic removing enzyme or inadvertently created a tool to increase micro-plastic pollution a trillion fold.

Hoping someone can come along to tell me how stupid what I just said above is, because it’s really not my field and I’ve no idea.

The thing that has shocked me about all of this over the last year or so is how seemingly easy it is to just start issuing debit cards to people.

Maybe there's more regulation than I realise (and the emperor has more layers of clothes than Joey Tribbiani), but I'm not seeing it.

I assumed issuance of payment methods was much more strictly controlled than this due to the risk of contagion if the issuer can't meet it's obligations after the transaction (are card payments instant delivery between institutions these days? I always assumed there was a clearing period in the background).

The character was based on Dick Fuld, which if you look at any interviews with him from that time you can kind of see where the inspiration came from.

Big Short was a movie that other people loved but I just didn’t really like all that much. I don’t even know why. I think maybe the cameo scenes made it feel a little dumbed down?

I’d also watched Inside Job not long prior and really enjoyed it, but others found it too dry. Different strokes I guess.

This really is a fixable problem.

Heavy taxation on NPD (non-primary domicile) housing solves this by itself. It's just that convincing people this is in their best interest will take a lot of effort - not to mention that there's a fairly ubiquitous problem of local politicians being in the pockets of property developers in the areas where these problems are at their worst.

People still believe that their home is a good investment, without any thought given to who's going to buy it from them later or where that person will be getting the financing.

You’ve just described the Glass-Steagall act. It has a long and storied history.

It was created in response to the Great Depression, then repealed by the Gramm-Leach-Bliley act because money. Then the Dodd-Frank act tried to have it reinstated but failed, also because money.

You may already be familiar with all of this but mentioning in case you’re not.

(https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glass–Steagall_legislation)

There’s a quite brilliant documentary that came out in 2010, Inside Job, that covers this, but which was completely overshadowed by the much less informative The Big Short which came out 5 years later.

We probably crossed paths back then - I had made a few characters myself and collated a few packs of neo-geo characters that weren’t in KOF. Even ran a community website briefly.

It was also for me about the same time I was getting into development in a big way.

I miss those days of the web. Looking back on it now, I expect a lot of people that were around before the September that never ended were saying the same of the rest of us in 98/99, but those to me really were the glory days.

I’m relieved that Reddit still exists, as it’s about the closest thing to a collection of those early niche communities that we have left.

This is the correct answer.

Mortgages work differently in the fastest-rising areas of the US than most anywhere else, in that a borrower can have no equity or negative equity in the home… and just hand back the keys.

In the UK this involves a complex and lengthy bankruptcy proceeding. Honestly I think the US way is objectively better, but it massively changes the outcomes of how long someone will stay in a home that’s become a bad investment.

The article is also looking at the wrong numbers for rents. How much rents have risen is far less relevant than how many rent starts there are over mortgage starts. The first statistic tells you how much people are having to pay to live, the second tells you if there’s really a shortage of homes or not.

Some countries have implemented additional taxes on non-primary homes since the crash, but to my knowledge they’re not particularly punitive. I think this tax really is the solution (e.g. 5% value of the home in landlord tax per year).

That seems incredibly optimistic.

Asbestos exposure often takes up to 50 years to have a detectable impact, then kills in short order.

Lead poisoning can take an incredibly long time to identify unless you find the source of exposure up front.

Plastics haven’t even existed for a century, and have been ubiquitous only in the last few decades.

I don’t know that this is a good analogy.

They’re both inherently high risk, but the value derives from different things. With small caps, it’s the idea that one or more may grow to produce outsize returns in the future, whereas the other is hoping someone will come along later with more money to take you out of your position.

(The small caps for the most part aren’t attracting money based on popularity or memes, so are closer to high-risk investing than gambling on speculative assets).

It's true that there aren't so many developer accounts, but there was a thread on here not long ago that discussed how someone's life was turned upside down by getting locked out of a cloud account without recourse. Not even the account being hacked, just being unable to access it.

I would imagine any broad-based regulation around recourse for account locks is likely to start with the individual B2C user due to how many more of them there are (essentially everyone, even if you only count Apple and Google - legislation would of course cover every provider).

The bigger issue is that I don't even know where or how you would start with this. Ironically, there's a certain amount of comfort in knowing that your data is behind an unresponsive brick wall these days as it makes it harder/impossible for someone to socially engineer their way in. The downsides to that are many and varied, and what the post references.

Your response assumes the only victims are the people holding the bags, but its key feature is that it facilitates organised crime more effectively than anything in history.

Now with that said, someone may respond to mention that it’s key feature is actually [a store of value/decentralised digital money/new gold etc] and that person will be wrong.

If you don't mind my asking, have you spent much of your time since then working from home or in an office?

I likewise very much prefer working from home and find I get more done, but wanting to get an idea of what it's like from someone who's seen and done both over the long term.

Strong agree. And I love Reddit, not least for how very different it is to HN, but I come here for totally different reasons (and totally different discussions).

I don't think HN gets enough credit for this. I've never tried to moderate a public forum, but given how low the standard of discourse is on the Internet in general I've always taken it for granted that the house rules and the mods here do a fantastic job of keeping threads on point.

I'm taking OP's description of "warm" to mean "not hostile", which I think is true. I've seen people throw out baseless insults on front page threads and you can watch them be buried live in real time over the course of about 15 seconds.

It's one thing to have a set of civil house rules for a forum, but the community here is much better at enforcing them than any other I've seen in this space.

Not really.

Starlink is their main competition, not SpaceX.

This just seems practical and in everyone’s best interest. SpaceX get another recurring paying customer, OneWeb get their sats up.

This is more common than you’d think when companies are large enough to have products in so many different categories.

As an example: Amazon runs Prime Video, but also hosts the infrastructure for Netflix, which to my knowledge Netflix has always been happy with despite relying on a direct competitor for their service.

There absolutely are high warranty Diesel engines. That doesn't mean they'll last that long - a lot of those warranties are subsidised by servicing.

Even with that said (and as detailed above) there are so many other parts to a modern Diesel-powered vehicle that can and regularly do go wrong that they get a pass for because it's not in the engine block. I do wonder if this is because people just assume the vehicles are otherwise identical beyond the engine.

Diesels, in general, are notoriously unreliable.

The only very selective myth I still hear repeated is that diesel engines are more durable now than they were, which isn’t saying much, and skirts around just how much else can and regularly does go wrong with a diesel-powered vehicle.

Flywheel clutches are an expensive nightmare, and the vibration destroys manifolds, cams and exhausts in short order.

That’s only for the dirtiest diesels that aren’t properly using DPFs or AdBlue (which if you’re seriously considering running school buses in 2022 and not using these, you’re a disgrace). Both of these fail regularly and cost a small fortune to replace.

There’s an entire underground industry dedicated to removing the particulate filters from Diesels to improve fuel economy and reliability (because I guess some people just hate kids, who knows?).

Electric vehicles have been around for well over a decade now, the data is back on them, and on the whole they are astonishingly reliable compared to the ICE vehicles they are replacing. There’s a lot of cables, sure, but they’re flexible and aren’t inherently moving parts.