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hermannj314

3,808 karma · joined June 25, 2009

Software developer and statistician.

Residence: Iowa. Luxembourg. Pennsylvania (currently).

The opinions I express are my own, but I accept the possibility I might be a Manchurian candidate sent by the algorithm.

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hermannj314··on Flock and Cyble Inc. weaponize “cybercrime” takedowns to silence critics
People with advanced degrees accumulate in those specific states, despite not significantly different rates of HS graduation from other states.

Smart people, as measured by educational attainment, live in the NE coastal states and exceptionally stupid people (by the same metric) live in the South and Midwest. As a guy from Iowa, I was offended, but humbled by the reality of the numbers.

hermannj314··on Flock and Cyble Inc. weaponize “cybercrime” takedowns to silence critics
I was offended and then I defined "exceptionally stupid" a few ways and all the statistics support this claim.

I'm still offended though.

Fucking a lot of smart people in Mass., Vermont, Conn., New York, Maryland, DC.

hermannj314··on Over 40% of deceased drivers in vehicle crashes test positive for THC: Study
I need to know the rates in the general driving population before I can assume driving high is dangerous.
hermannj314··on I got hacked: My Hetzner server started mining Monero
Don't do anything until you are an expert is excellent gatekeeping, fortunately this is hacker news so we can ignore the gatekeepers!

I suggest people fuck around and find out, just limit your exposure. Spin up a VPS with nothing important, have fun, and delete it.

At some point we are all unqualified to use the internet and we used it anyway.

No one is going to die because your toy project got hacked and you are out $5 in credits, you probably learned a ton in the process.

hermannj314··on Children with cancer scammed out of millions fundraised for their treatment
Whether taxes, health insurance, the Church, or gofundme, technically all life saving care is mostly crowd-funded. Maybe not in some Wild West dystopia, but generally the pooling of funds seems to work better than solo funding.

Involuntary, progressive crowdfunding through government threat of violence (taxes) seems to work better than the other methods and most consider it humane. Americans have shown little interest historically in doing the humane thing, unfortunately.

hermannj314··on Australia begins enforcing world-first teen social media ban
>>> Companies have told Canberra they will deploy a mix of age inference - estimating a user's age from their behaviour - and age estimation based on a selfie, alongside checks that could include uploaded identification documents.

An algorithmic bouncer guesses your age and if he isn't happy you have to feed him proof until he is happy.

hermannj314··on Australia begins enforcing world-first teen social media ban
My belief is that late stage capitalism pushes democracies to fascism and the overton window requires politicians to break-up unpopular changes into a smaller changes. I am prognosticating why politicians would pretend to care about the mental health of children.
hermannj314··on Australia begins enforcing world-first teen social media ban
Ban kids, implement identity verification checks, remove ban on kids, keep identity verification checks.
hermannj314··on Ask HN: Should "I asked $AI, and it said" replies be forbidden in HN guidelines?
HN does not and has not ever valued human input, it has always valued substantive, clever, or interesting thought.

I am a human and more than half of what I write here is rejected.

I say bring on the AI. We are full of gatekeeping assholes, but we definitely have never cared if you have a heart (literally and figuratively).

hermannj314··on How I block all online ads
$22 a month for YouTube Premium is what I pay. Donating 100% of my income (a number larger than $22/mo) was not the issue being discussed in this post.
hermannj314··on How I block all online ads
You cancelled YouTube Premium because YouTube was trying to keep content creator income on pace with inflation?
hermannj314··on “Captain Gains” on Capitol Hill
The one thing that stirs the hearts and minds of the American people is a 67 page deep dive statistical analysis of an issue.

If only Congress and Americans had access to more figures and math, then we would do the right thing. This paper is going to change things. We finally did it.

hermannj314··on What OpenAI did when ChatGPT users lost touch with reality
Reefer madness in the 1930s, comic books caused violence in the 1940s, Ozzy Osborne cause suicides in the 1980s, video games or social media or smart phones caused suicide in the 2010s.

Anyway, now it is AI. This is super serious this time, so pay attention and get mad. This is not just clickbait journalism, it is a real and super serious issue this time.

hermannj314··on Republican push to make U.S. census surveys voluntary alarms statisticians
The inital goal of counting every person for determining congressional appointments seems trivial in our modern surveillance state. I feel like we know this answer every minute of every day even without a census.

I don't understand why it became a 70 question survey you are forced to answer. A core value of America is our right to obstruct any government attempt to improve our lives and I defend that stubborness.

hermannj314··on The AI water issue is fake
Data centers don't create jobs, pit municipalities against one another in a race to the bottom, and typically demand abated taxes and almost never deliver a net positive for where they operate.

But if you create a "water" monster, pivot the conversation on water being the issue, you can then show water consumption isn't a big deal. Water is the framing the data centers want because they can win the fight on that topic.

Don't let your enemy choose the terrain.

hermannj314··on Montana becomes first state to enshrine 'right to compute' into law
Can someone give an example of a law Montana passed or tried to pass that this law now prohibits a future legislature from passing?

I don't like a legislature compelling a future legislature to not have power, isn't that really a state constitutional thing?

This is going to be used to fuck over people, no way this is a good thing.

hermannj314··on How the US is preparing a Caribbean staging ground near Venezuela
In HOI4, you got to level up your troops and generals with amphibious assault experience with a minor nation to prepare for the war with the major nation down the road.

I like to think everything is about prepping for what happens when China takes its rightful place in the sun.

hermannj314··on Updated practice for review articles and position papers in ArXiv CS category
I didn't agree with this idea, but then I looked at how much HN karma you have and now I think that maybe this is a good idea.
hermannj314··on HTTPS by default
I stopped reading all print media, obeying any physical traffic signs, or having conversations on the phone etc. years ago.

I'm not going to drive 35mph without a trusted certificate authority verifying that sign wasn't tampered with by a MITM. My grandma tried to tell me she loved me over an unencrypted and insecure phone line the other day - nice try, hackers!

hermannj314··on ICE Will Use AI to Surveil Social Media
"A thing is X if you don't use the definition of X" isn't incredibly helpful information.
hermannj314··on Trump pardons convicted Binance founder
The Supreme Court will jiggle the constitution and some forgotten legal precedent from the magna carta will fall out and 5-4 this is actually not a problem at all if you think about it.
hermannj314··on White House's East Wing partially demolished as work begins on $250M ballroom
You're telling me Trump is destroying the foundation of a centuries old institution to satisfy personal ego and fleeting desire? To be fair, that is the platform he ran on.

I am starting to lose trust in the safety of my tap water, but a ballroom would be a fun thing for a few hundred people to enjoy.

hermannj314··on What Americans die from vs. what the news reports on
If you're a news agency, promise your viewers that if they just get angry enough then that free healthcare will be coming soon and then show them an ad from McDonalds and Eli Lilly.
hermannj314··on American solar farms
That human psychology eventually adapts to tolerate enshittification is probably the main reason we have enshittification.
hermannj314··on Ryanair flight landed at Manchester airport with six minutes of fuel left
I am not saying you are wrong, but both Type I and Type II errors are problematic. What if the pilot is wrong?

Korean Air Flight 801 could have used someone 2nd guessing a pilot. They didn't until they were almost dead and then it was too late. Not 2nd guessing the pilot was a really really bad idea.

hermannj314··on In-Party Love, Out-Party Hate, and Affective Polarization in Twelve Democracies
If you see yourself in the hegemon, sure. This strategy has also led to horrible brutality against marginal groups.
hermannj314··on EPA Moves to Roll Back Drinking Water Standards
Scientific concensus that this is harmful, small bickering on how to set standards, but due to a bureacratic triviality nothing will be regulated at all in any capacity for several years, which happens to align perfectly with the incentives of industry that were struggling to comply with these standards.

Awesome. I am sure the people in charge are smart and this is the best path forward for all of us. After all, that is the promise of free and fair elections.

hermannj314··on USC sold dead bodies to U.S. military to train IDF medical personnel
A foreign government is paying our Navy to keep a fresh supply of dead Americans around for them to run tests on whenever they feel like.

But it is unethical to pay people to donate blood.

I have lost all hope that I will ever understand how the world works .

hermannj314··on Two Amazon delivery drones crash into crane in commercial area of Tolleson, AZ
Household ownership of cars hit 50% by 1930 but there was no federal seatbelt mandate unitl 1968 or regulation of intoxicated driving until the 1980s.

Don't hold your breath waiting on the US government to give a shit about death and destruction of its people. Let the industry discover the tech and capitalist forces dictate safety, around 2060 we can start having serious conversations about drone safety.

To any of the aspiring Ralph Nader's of the drone industry out there, thank you for your service in advance.

hermannj314··on Understanding Cultural Differences: The Michigan Fish Test (2013)
We probably are the study..."we presented the Michigan Fish Study to online communities to see which part of the click bait they fixated on the most..."
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