htss2013

Ok but did they ever say every American's records were leaked? Or are you assuming that given multiple people's records leaked?

The financial system is seemingly totally disconnected from reality but I wonder if that's really true. "Reality" is an unfathomably complex global economy. There is a difference between nonsensical vs too complex to reliably predict.

Centamillionaire today is what millionaire used to mean. Ie, can live opulently without ever having to work, along with their children and grandchildren, too.

Inflation compounds and you are living through the hockey stick part of that exponential chart now.

Is there confirmation it's data on all Americans? I read it as Buffet's records were leaked.

>Republicans are unelectable without scaring people about LGBT people and immigrants, while Democrats are unelectable without scaring people about Republicans. That seems to be the dynamic right now.

That was the dynamic. Now with NYC, Chicago, etc. being overwhelmed with migrant inflows, and Dem mayors like in NYC and Chicago declaring emergencies, do we really need Republican fear mongering to scare people about unregulated migration?

If politicians try to gaslight people that obvious problems aren't real, that can make the opposition electable all on its own.

I think I see detailed renderings, eg, of a person's face. But if I try to focus on the face and really examine its details I can't. It's like that experience of trying to read a book in a dream but when you go to read the lines, they're blurry.

I suspect when we see what appear to be detailed renderings in our imagination, we are really seeing a compressed "essence" of the thing and our brains trick us into thinking we could focus on the details if we wanted to, when we really can't. It's basically a conservation of energy thing.

Humans seem optimized for detailed recognition of visuals, not reproduction of them. Makes evolutionary sense because you can easily see the utility of detailed recognition, but what justifies the additional burden of detailed reproduction?

People who can draw detailed reproductions are either oddballs with photographic memory, or they've perfected the skill of adjusting their drawings as they develop gradient descent style using detailed recognition as the judge of where to stop.

COL is itself a function of the prevalence of useless jobs. They increase the cost of everything, they increase the need for infrastructure, they create friction for real work, etc.

Put another way, if society allocates more resources to people who work outside the home doing useless things, then fewer resources are available to people staying in the home doing useful things. One way this manifests is inflation, ie, higher COL.

What do you do if you don't like your doctor? Or your doctor just gets it wrong? Are you just screwed?

For example, a therapist is a very personal thing and I'd imagine you might have to try many to get it right. Psychiatry is as much an art as a science, so it's not like they're fungible.

Or what if, say, your internist dismisses your heart problems as anxiety, but you'd like to see a specialist because you know the difference and it's not just anxiety. That's it? Not allowed?

>It is a good thing that we have an economy where there are jobs for people to do things that 'don't need to be done'. This is the only way that a highly specialized capitalist society can provide income and purpose for everyone, and drive further innovation. People need income and jobs, even as we add more automation.

For most families with two parents who work, it would be better for one to stay home and tend to life and children. It's inefficient, alienating and demoralizing to have both parents forced into specialized wage labor that amounts to a useless make work.

The chickens won't come home to roost in anything like a dramatic moment of reconing. The USA will just slowly become more and more like many Latin American countries that should be prosperous in theory, and for some of their people there is incredible prosperity, but for most people it just appears like the only way to get ahead is to join some kind of thinly veiled racket masquerading as "business" or whatever.

Fossil fuels are priced on a global futures markets. Did you think Canadian oil producers exist in a vacuum where Qatari production, or Indian demand, has no effect on them? Whether Canadian oil actually makes it to India doesn't matter.

>Your argument basically seems to boil down to "the most polluting country can't reduce use of its most polluting energy source because other countries exist and emit anything at all".

It's more like your argument forgot to account for fossil fuel demand elasticity and the reason why the developing world emits less CO2 per capita. It's not because they are enlightened minimalists who care more. It's because they are being outbid by the developed world.

For every amount the developed world cuts fossil fuel usage, it makes it cheaper for everyone else to buy. Price goes down, demand goes up. Usage doesn't go down, it shifts. This is a self defeating strategy. Your theory of global emissions reduction only works if no one changes their behavior in response to supply/demand changes.

I used to think it was as simple as calories in/out, until I learned that certain fibers (and their calories) and totally non absorbable by the body, so their calorie content doesn't matter...among other things that don't follow the in/out rule.

Does Bloomberg also have a plan to replace them with something else that will serve as reliable base load? Otherwise this is just a plan to turn the US into South Africa with perpetual brown outs.

IANAL, but probably comes down to whether you had access to material non public information. Ie, what gave you a hunch? If it's anything non public that could have also given others a hunch, had they known like you did, it's probably material non public information. There's no safe harbor for probabilistic insider trading.

>it's overt and largely accepted as the way it is in our industry. A brave new world.

What alternative is there? The only protection there ever was for taking business secrets was patent enforcement, civil lawsuits or prison. If a foreign government won't cooperate on any of those things, what can you do?

The only answer humanity has ever come up with is something like a government intelligence agency, where everything is obfuscated by clearance levels and need to know compartmentalization, and any violations are handled criminally, with armies of full time counter espionage people. That just wouldn't work in the corporate world.

Yes this is the most disorienting thing about using a non native language. You're aware that you aren't able to convey intended connotation or comprehend it. So even if you are perfectly capable of all the right denotation, you're still missing an entire layer of communication.

It's even more difficult when a language is spoken in different cultures. Eg, British, American and Australians probably have different connotations associated with the same words. Distinguishing between using a synonym out of custom vs intentionally for a different connotation is very difficult. It's not like there's a connotation dictionary you can refer to.

I wish people who write and study this would differentiate between close languages (eg Italian and Spanish) vs totally different ones (Spanish vs Russian). I am guessing these are cognitively two very different undertakings, in kind, not just difficulty.

I suspect this is happening a lot more than people realize. Even before the pandemic, in office, there was a layer of HR tracking and activity that was deliberately opaque to the people being tracked.

Now throw in a "need" to be aggressively tracking this stuff with WFH, the existing opaque structures, and now it all exists already when people RTO.

Companies not doing more invasive tracking are probably the exception or too small to pull it off.

Note: Pretty much no large companies have provided data points on why it's better to RTO, even if they're very data driven.

People assume this means they have no data and just want it. Really? Wouldnt that be a bit irresponsible to shareholders? A more likely scenario is they have data that they don't want to discuss publicly.

Commercial leases are for like 5-10 years. Why do you think they all simultaneously renegotiated higher rent in 2022?

Adding "I'm not fan of Musk" is odd here. Is this some kind of tribal signal? It's like writing about the market for new AWS services, preceded by "I'm no fan of Bezos but..."

No mask wearing isnt really a thing in the US anymore. Last year was different. In big cities today, you mostly only see masks on elderly, people who are sick, or other special situations. There is a tiny percentage of healthy, low risk neurotic people who wear them all the time, but they're rare.

If catching covid multiple times breaks the human immune system, then humanity is screwed. Anyone who lives a non hermitic existence is inevitably getting it multiple times.

I know you think masks are no big deal, and they're not if used temporarily, but long term they're a huge deal for huge swaths of people. I'm an introvert and I'd be delighted to never socialize in person ever again, but I understand most aren't built that way.

They've been targeting other things with mrna vaccines since way before the pandemic. For example:

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31079849/ (2019)

https://jitc.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s40425-015-0... (2015)

How does that work in the winter in England? You'd think such a climate wouldn't work well with solar except in the summer, and not summer is most of the year. I assume you're using gas or other sources for heating?

Why would oil refineries do that? Unless they are all acting as a cartel to fix prices, it would be obvious that some are more expensive than others for no reason. Price fixing doesn't work with price competition.

If they are acting as a cartel and coordinating among every refinery, how do you keep that hidden? You can't and the reward isn't worth being screwed by antitrust and all other backlash when you get caught.

If there is no other difference besides they use less energy to produce the same amount of heating, then you have extra money, and extra money can buy lots of comforts. Why does the comfort have do come directly from the pump?

Does Apple include Foxconn and all its other vendors in its calculation, including materials producers? Or does if not counf if you outsource?

>It's even amazing that mRNA vaccines actually made it to the market, and if it hadn't been for the pandemic, there's a good chance that it would be another 15 years before they do, and this mRNA vaccination tech has been brewing since the 90s, I think?

Have they made it to market? It's been like 4 years and there are no other ones to be found outside of trials. This is kind of strange because we were told this is so much easier, safer and faster than other technologies. If the US wasn't accepting for whatever weird reason, then you'd think they'd pop up in lots of other countries. But doesn't seem like that is happening.