634 karma · joined February 16, 2010
You are absolutely right that there were about 1.5M bankruptcy filings last year [this number is growing (1)]. Note that we haven't made any claims about the ordering on the graphic, but bankruptcy is an option which is often under-considered, because people are scared of it, and driven by FUD to pursue other options which often have lower success rates.
Rod and I have learned a tremendous amount about debt since founding this company. We have heard every possible misconception from people who are not in debt, such as
- "people don't care about paying debt off as much as weight loss because it's not visible" - "only dumb people get in debt" - "people should just stop shopping and pay off their cards"
The list goes on. What we have learned from speaking with dozens (now probably hundreds) is that there is no "typical" debtor. People that have reached out to us vary in age, sex, location, education level, stress level, income, employment, height, weight, hacker cred, skin color, and so on. The number of people in this situation in the US number in the millions. The statement "Don't most of them just pay it off" trivializes situational problems which are extremely diverse and complex. And "take a long time" it does - people that are either not financially educated or unable to pay off their debt can live in a steady state of repayment, paying a perpetual existence tax to banks. This should not be the state of the world!
(1) http://www.uscourts.gov/News/NewsView/10-11-08/Bankruptcy_Fi...
E[Return] ~= E[Company] X %Owned
And
E[Company] = P(Company=NextGoogle) X Value(NextGoogle)
If you invest in a portfolio of companies, then you'd try to control the things you can:
1) P(NextGoogle): Impossible to estimate, look for good founders
2) Value(NextGoogle): maximize this (look for big markets)
3) %Owned: maximize this
Note that YC does (1) and (3). I would argue they don't do (2) at all. Noone thought AirBnb would be as big as it is, but they're crushing it.
Great pickup on the stamps. We've paid for and been approved by the services. For A/B testing the signup page, some users are directed to a service where we cannot link them. Our site hosts them properly.
Does it work? I do feel like both the app and the watch nudge me awake at the right time, but you need to be disciplined enough to actually get up and make use of an unexpected 15-30 minutes in the morning.
Some advice:
- live as close as possible to the highway or caltrain. this means soma, potrero, the mission, or noe valley.
- negotiate at least 1 work from home day. friday is the best. (although wednesdays are usually easiest to ask for first)
- work off peak.
It's possible to get your average commute to about 45 minutes, which isn't so bad (still gets old though).
I can recommend "The Feeling Good Handbook" by David Burns (Stanford), which is about cognitive therapy [also described in other places]. It may not be exactly accurate for your situation, and those types of books may sound silly (I thought so before reading it), but I've found some of the techniques useful.