24,650 karma · joined July 17, 2012
Before any wise guys come in here and claim that you could order cabs to a location by phone before uber, I would like to point out that they frequently failed to arrive and you had no way of knowing whether or not they would arrive until you gave up waiting for them, so while you could theoretically do this is was terribly unreliable and often a big mistake.
Jupyter got rid of their direct javascript interface for security reasons that I don't agree with. Does Pluto.jl have a model where trusting display code is as easy as trusting the code being run?
https://www.gilderlehrman.org/history-resources/spotlight-pr....
The choice to get rid of these policies was made by people who fully understood that doing so would pump assets and dump exports, and that the ability to benefit from the asset pump would be concentrated while the fallout from the dumping of exports would be widespread.
For more, read "Trade Wars are Class Wars" by Klein and Pettis. The thesis is in the title and the case is convincing.
This is only irrelevant if you place no value on the time of yourself and others.
I've always wondered the degree to which these buyouts are legitimate last-ditch turnaround efforts vs front-running bankruptcy proceedings.
It is also true that dispensing this particular advice is self-serving for people in power.
In a revolution, things get worse before they get better if they get better. Revolutions come at huge negative expected value. However, appeasing powerful forces can also have hugely negative expected value. Sometimes the calculus makes sense, and when it does, you should hope that people are appropriately discounting the self-serving advice from the powerful.
Plus some silent update failures meant that new-feature orders sent to out-of-date servers transformed into old-feature orders. Boom!
> Adding risk checks to the last stage of an order’s life became universal in the industry
I wonder what these "fast-twitch" sanity checks / circuit breakers look like. Whenever I try to model risk, things get complicated quickly -- but presumably simple heuristics must exist if they became universal in the industry.
I'm referring to the emergent capabilities that show up with scale, which are a gigantic leap. The usual citation suggests that this came into the public consciousness in 2020 [1]. Do you take issue with the timeline or the idea that these were a gigantic leap?
If we time-traveled back to 2019 and showed past-you a demo of GPT4's capabilities and asked you to guess the timeline, would you have gotten it correct to within a decade? I wouldn't have.
It's not crazy to prepare for another jump.
1. Removed the yellow background that easily distinguished ads.
2. Zero organic results above the fold.
Obviously #2 doesn't happen every day on every query, but I saw it during the crypto craze and I have seen it during the AI craze.
A for-profit board should not be running a critically important company like OpenAI.
> I'm sure Musk would have made equally commercial bad decisions
He divested in 2018 due to conflict-of-interest with Tesla and while I'm sure Musk would have made equally commercial bad decisions, your analysis of the name situation is as close as can be to factually correct.