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jkepler

482 karma · joined October 7, 2017

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/jkepler; my proof: https://keybase.io/jkepler/sigs/3uP8xARS_62qqL3JZ8OBt_EO3fVKbm-dPMGyUPniyRE ]
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jkepler··on Ask HN: Are most of us developers lying about how much work we do?
So he would retire once his kids were grown & out of the house.
jkepler··on Google Sues Glupteba botnet [pdf]
Or wait until the house of cards that is fiat money turns into real money with no counterparty risk.

Look at the risks involved in having central banks as the final counterparty for all our government's fiat monies: [0]. This is why increasingly companies, banks, pension and insurance funds, and governments are turning to it a a pristine global digital collateral with no counterparty risk.

“The key question facing Bitcoin nearing the onset of 2022 is whether it’s peaking or simply a consolidating bull market,” wrote a recent Blomberg Intelligence report[1]. “We believe it’s the latter, and see the benchmark crypto well on its way to becoming global digital collateral in a world going that way.”

[0] Consider the multiple hyperinflation disasters of the 20th century, I.e., the century of central banks. https://wtfhappenedin1971home.files.wordpress.com/2020/01/do...

[1] https://assets.bbhub.io/professional/sites/10/1489771_Crypto...

jkepler··on Google Sues Glupteba botnet [pdf]
But don't scammers already use banks under false identities, or bank accounts for which they stole the credentials?
jkepler··on How to build large-scale end-to-end encrypted group video calls
I think Jitsi group calls can be end to end encrypted, provided all participants use Chromium 83, per https://jitsi.org/security/.
jkepler··on As an investor, why is crypto so hard to value?
Would you mind documenting this claim, please?
jkepler··on As an investor, why is crypto so hard to value?
Bitcoin can even be a base layer for decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO)s. Take a look at bisq's DAO, built directly on top of bitcoin by using colored bitcoin for its BSQ governance token. Its been operating and paying for the software development (and project management and customer support) for bisq for over a year and a half. See https://bisq.network/dao/ for details.
jkepler··on As an investor, why is crypto so hard to value?
>> there's nothing inherent in money that makes it that way

> Yes there is. Typically money is legal tender ...

Parent comment was right, subjective value thesis says people will value things (including money) differently.

And legal tender laws are only "typical" of government coercion in the central bank era, basically the past century or so. Prior to that the king or the local sovereign may have required taxes paid in his coin, but multiple monies circulated and people freely chose which ones to spend, save, accept, or not.

jkepler··on Pfizer and Biontech provide update on Omicron variant
> mRNA vaccines do not use the live virus that causes COVID-19

That has caused resistance among friends I know, who say that its not a real vaccine, since vaccines give you a small dose of a live virus to trigger one's immune response. Perhaps the mRNA injections should have used a different name to clear misconceptions.

jkepler··on How to run a small social network site for your friends
Problem is, Telegram stores all conversation data in their cloud with homemade encryption, and WhatsApp is proprietary, owned by Facebook, and has been target of numerous security breaches... So, something encrypted via open standards and self-hostable (matrix anyone?) does a better job guarding data privacy and security.
jkepler··on Half a Billion in Bitcoin, Lost in the Dump
Good question. I'm not sure if the details, but you could learn more here:

https://oilmanmagazine.com/how-and-why-natural-gas-flaring-i...

https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/oil-dr...

Part of the key is that when there's an increase in power demand in a grid, they usually have to use more expensive sources of power, but if they can temporarily shut off their bitcoin mining to meet demand spikes, they can more efficiently manage their network load.

https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2021/10/11/bitcoin-mining-is...

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/04/bitcoin-miners-say-theyre-fi...

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/business/bitcoin-mining-fits-tex...

I don't know a lot about energy grids, and would love to hear from someone who does, but it sounds like bitcoin is a new technology that could provide incredible efficiencies to electricity grids' ability to balance their loads and supply consumers with greener energy overall.

jkepler··on Half a Billion in Bitcoin, Lost in the Dump
Figures someone would mention laundering money.
jkepler··on Half a Billion in Bitcoin, Lost in the Dump
Hilarious !
jkepler··on Half a Billion in Bitcoin, Lost in the Dump
Except that bitcoin fits none of the definitions of a ponzi scheme, unless you think money as a technology for storing wealth is a ponzi scheme.

For example, under the gold standard (1870s until 1913), the US saw gradual price deflation, meaning people expected their money to gradually grow in purchasing power, yet (amazingly) the economy grew! Turns out deflation isn't bad, even thought it may look like a ponzi to those who don't understand it.

https://www.lynalden.com/bitcoin-ponzi-scheme/

jkepler··on Half a Billion in Bitcoin, Lost in the Dump
No, under the iron grip of central banks.
jkepler··on Half a Billion in Bitcoin, Lost in the Dump
One could read up on how bitcoin mining is being used in the west Texas Permian Basin to help reduce flared methane gas. Or, how electric companies could mine bitcoin to provide their grids with power consumption for demand/supply load balancing, enabling them to produce more green energy that would otherwise be feasible.

One just has to be willing to look at the facts rather than repeating environmentalist characterizations of bitcoin technology as bad.

jkepler··on Half a Billion in Bitcoin, Lost in the Dump
> Still interesting and scary to think that individual can basically "destroy" irreversibly any amount of savings by forgetting the keys/ sending it to wrong address and that can be done with 1 click.

That's exactly why any large values of bitcoin ought to be stored in multisignature wallets, 3-of-5 offering pretty robust resilience to loosing a key or two. In that case, you need three different signatures to move any money, so no single click accidental failures. Time locking funds can also prevent user mistakes, as no one can move the coins until the lock time is reached on-chain.

jkepler··on Lego has designed a set that can't be taken apart
When I was a kid and full of enthusiasm for Legos, I bought a very small pirate set---a rowboat, a canon, a pirate and a soldier---with money I'd earned, because my friend had a larger set with the canon, and it fired a piece via a spring mechanism. To my great disappointment, Lego had changed the design and the canon wasn't functional. I wrote them a letter (pen and paper, back before the Internet), and when they replied it was legal-speak about liability concerns if the small piece ended up in someone's eye.

On top of my disappointment, they criticized me for having written "Legos" and told me that their products should be called Lego bricks or Lego toys... great way to give an elementary-aged boy a poor impression of Lego's customer relations.

jkepler··on Lego has designed a set that can't be taken apart
I agree. My son is just getting into Lego, and I find I'm avoiding most of the newer sets in favor of decent-condition used vintage sets, simply because what he enjoys is having enough general pieces to create and imagine new things.
jkepler··on To make progress on climate change, we must move past doomsday scenarios
> Serious war is around the corner. Not hypothetical wars.

Serious war may look different from the past of nation-state wars. We're living through the emergence of network states. Given how the Internet enables non-tangible property (I.e., domain names that one can use to build businesses, associations, non-profits; bitcoin, Ethereum, and other crypto-projects) through communications protocols and cryptographic mathematics, its no longer necessary to wage physical war to gain an advantage. Thus we see a massive rise in persistent threat actors, which could be world war three already happening, but we don't recognize it yet because we're used to observing nation-state wars, not network state wars. Perhaps the modern age of nation state dominance ran from the Peace of Westphalia to 1989, the fall of the Berlin Wall and the design of the World-Wide-Web by Berners-Lee.

jkepler··on Octopuses, crabs and lobsters to be recognised as sentient beings under UK law
> The definitions although seemingly scientific are simply a re-enforcement of the biblical idea that the world was created for us, and that we can essentially do as we please . . .

That's a historic misinterpretation of biblical teaching on the place of people on the world. Genesis 1 gives humanity dominion over the creation, but given that Genesis 2 parallels that command with the twin verbs, "tend and keep" (or sometimes "guard and defend"), the idea can't permit wanton destruction[1]. Rather, humans, made in the image of God the King, have a royal calling to work for the flourishing of life in all the earth.

We're called, not to do as we please, but to do what pleases the Creator. Thus, Proverbs speaks of the tender mercy of a righteous person towards his or her animals, and contrasts it with the cruelty of the wicked. Deuteronomy's rules for warfare forbid destroying fruit trees, for they're the means of sustaining life.

Historically speaking, many of the evangelical Christians who joined Wilberforce to campaign against British slavery also started the first humaine societies, anti-child-labor groups, and the first women's rights organizations.

The Bible calls humanity to compassionate care for all life, including plants, animals and unborn humans.

[1] Lynn White's essay, The Historical Roots of Our Ecological Crisis (1967. Science 155: 1203-1207), contributed to this idea that Christianity caused our ecological crisis. However, Francis Schaeffer's 1970 book in responce to White's essay, Pollution and the Death of Man, explains the Bible's actual teaching on humanity's calling to steward creation for God's glory.

jkepler··on Octopuses, crabs and lobsters to be recognised as sentient beings under UK law
So robots programmed to learn could be considered sentient ?
jkepler··on Octopuses, crabs and lobsters to be recognised as sentient beings under UK law
Couldn't a robot be programmed to respond to stimuli, and to communicate with other robots? Would that then be a form of sentience?
jkepler··on Inflation is driving a sharp downturn in U.S. consumer views about the economy
Archive link, anyone?
jkepler··on Apple isn’t patching all the security holes in older versions of macOS
Exactly on point regarding Debian. I've been running Debian stable since 2012 or 2013, and I've only upgraded my hardwear when a motherboard died or when I wanted a new laptop for reasons other than the OS.
jkepler··on COP26 agrees new global climate deal
By Westphalion model, do you mean the sovereigty of nation states?
jkepler··on Ask HN: What‘s the best all-in-one coding/gaming/travel Notebook?
This is why I still use a i7 Thinkpad x230: ease of repairability.
jkepler··on M1 Pro 14“ MacBook Pro Running KDE Plasma 5 on Arch Linux ARM
I'm also in France, but in a larger city, but what you said still rings true. I prefer older Thinkpads, as if something breaks I can either fix it myself or take it to just about any computer repair shop on earth and they'll have the ability to repair it. Plus they tend to run Debian with ease.
jkepler··on Would You Manage 70 Children and a 15-Ton Vehicle for $18 an Hour?
Agreed. US cities generally have way less population densities than European cities. Basically, the New York City metro and perhaps Chicago (mostly within the El, but perhaps more broadly if we include the commuter rail lines) are the main cities I can think of where public transit makes good economic sense. Most other cities are heavily subsidized and still underused. Hence school buses rather thank kids taking transit to school.
jkepler··on Would You Manage 70 Children and a 15-Ton Vehicle for $18 an Hour?
Is the increase in child speech and reading problems due in part to the breakdown of family structures and the corresponding absense or regular family meals together (with conversation) and family reading aloud? Those would be significant handicaps to learning speech and reading if the child doesn't receive good role modeling at home.

Does anyone know of socioeconomic studies that look for correlations between family stability/duration and rates of speech/language pathologies?

jkepler··on Life is too short to depend on unstable software
Hmm, oddly enough, I've found Debian stable to be the most stable OS for my uses. That said, I do more writing and email than I do programming, so perhaps library dependencies aren't such a big deal for me. If I can run tex-live, emacs, pandoc, along with GNU standard utilities, email client, web, and music, I'm good.
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