911 karma · joined August 14, 2008
Founder of Picurio YC W09
Feel free to message me through Twitter @jonathanberger or berger.jon@gmail.com
He writes in a gripping manner and normally seems to have done pretty thorough background research, as well as personal experience.
His examples of the merge in progress are social media determining how we feel and search engines deciding what we think. The problem here is the anthropomorphizing that humans have done throughout history to understand things they can’t fully explain. Gods don’t get angry and cause rain and search engines don’t make decisions about what we think. A search engine is just a complex math formula that can’t make a decision anymore than a calculator “decides” to output 4 when someone types 2 + 2.
Bostrom and others in this camp always have a hard time describing what “superhuman” will look like or mean. But I will guess in 2075 that the goal posts will be moved and it will be said that in 2017 we hadn’t realized that there was already superhuman AI, as evidenced by calculators that could already do math faster than a human.
Only occasionally they'll need to use a friend or coworker's device or cable and then there could be confusion. Although, even then, assuming the friend also has one of the most popular computers/phones/cables, it'll probably still work.
But then we see pictures of what most would consider one meal, and since we have 2 - 3 meals a day, eating any of these actually leaves you with 4000 - 6000 calories a day.
Wouldn't it have been more instructive if this article showed pictures of meals that were 700 - 1000 calories?
One explanation might be that he's maxed out how much he can win.
Anyone know what the author was referring to here when saying "fonts"? My impression was disabling images and not clicking links made it impossible to track the opening of an email.
If you're going to change this for the worse, at least communicate to us about why the change was needed.
An open question would be how to make the site sustainable monetarily. About.com is this idea (but non-wiki editable) and they've plastered so many ads on the pages that it's become nearly unusable.
I like the idea a lot, and have started the most barebones version of this at http://aboutfact.com . If anyone else is interested in chatting more about this, let me know.
The third bullet point in the blog says "In his article, Broder claims that 'the car fell short of its projected range on the final leg.' Then he bizarrely states that the screen showed 'Est. remaining range: 32 miles' and the car traveled '51 miles,'"
When I do a Command-F on the article, I can't find "32", "51", "final leg", or "fell short". Where is Tesla getting these quotes from?
I'd recommend the book strongly.
The only thing bragging about statistics from the service does is make people trust Google less. It does not further engender confidence in Google Plus.
I agree with those that point out that Google Plus is counting "active" users in fallacious method. Common sense of millions of users has to square with the stats companies are releasing. Facebook's? They make sense. Google's? They just don't.
This part was a bit disappointing. Part of the fun of an AMA is finding out the unexpected.
His one-liners about the Bulls or "NOT BAD" were my favorite parts.
And although I tend to agree, let me play devil's advocoate for a moment. "We learned quickly that the most important predictor of success is determination."
A more important predictor of success could be, ambition. It's different from determination because with ambition you need to make it big, but with determination you just have to have it.
Determination is the wrong thing because to make a startup succeed you have to want it, but you also have to want to make it big.
In fairness, pg touches on this when he says, "I don't know if it's exactly right to say that ambition is a component of determination, but they're not entirely orthogonal. "
Now it seems that YC has learned empirically that determination is the more important predictor of success (see intro to The Anatomy of Determination).
A concern for YC might be: with this new emphasis on determination, it might become the next thing applicants try to "fake" to get accepted?
Yes, it's bad because it further delays the launch of the app but if the hardware is so fast that the short blink is a concern the slight added delay probably isn't a big deal.