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jp555

923 karma · joined December 25, 2013

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jp555··on There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
Have you noticed how your cash is buying fewer items than it did a ~year ago? My daily item costs are WAY up, which is really just saying the value of the cash is WAY down.
jp555··on There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
Zero mention of the recent unprecedented fiat currency printing we've seen, nor the fact that every time since the Tang Dynasty when we have done this, it has led to very troubling times 12-18 months later.

Everyone is gambling even if they dont know Crypto exists.

jp555··on Natto.dev – A Canvas for JavaScript
I'm a very visual thinker, and this is very cool!

Thank you very much for making it!

jp555··on Testing a few new designs that don't show the public dislike count
If there were no advertisers, they would not be able to pay the expenses required to deliver something that meets user's expectations, and they would lose interest.
jp555··on Testing a few new designs that don't show the public dislike count
As long as it's still 2006.
jp555··on Apple doesn't care about album cover art
Only if by "lots" you mean "almost no one".
jp555··on Microsoft wins $21.9B contract with U.S. Army to supply AR headsets
Training - simulations.

Eventually, a Danger Room anywhere.

jp555··on Reading Minds with Ultrasound: A Less-Invasive Technique to Decode the Brain
I like Kevin Kelly's point of view, which he talked about recently on David Perell's podcast:

"When the first humanoid picked up a rock and turned it into a hammer, either to make a shelter or to kill his brother, he suddenly had a new choice he never had before. That choice is good. You see what I’m saying? Even the choice to do evil is itself a good. Which means that if there’s a 50/50 wash between good and evil, the fact that there’s another choice gives it a 1% edge.

So there’s 51% versus 49%. So that’s why I say that given everything, even the choices to do evil are a good, that we have 51% good and 49% bad. That 1 or 2% Delta, the tiny, tiny little bit better, the incremental creep of goodness and betterment compounded yearly is civilization. All we need is to have 1% better. What we need to do is create 1% more than we destroy. Then we have civilization. And by the way, 1% it’s almost invisible. Look around the world and say, half of it’s crap. Yes, it’s true. There’s only a 1% tiny bit, but that 1% difference, that little tiny bit, is all that we need. And that little tiny bit comes from, even the evil choices are choices and those choices are good. It’s good to have a choice."

Kevin Kelly

jp555··on Ask HN: What are some “10x” software product innovations you have experienced?
This is why most of my copy-paste is actually: copy-paste_in_SublimeText-copy-paste.
jp555··on Ask HN: What are some “10x” software product innovations you have experienced?
How about a 10x reduction?

Thinking of when "Paste with style" became the default. :P

jp555··on Adobe Photoshop ships on Macs with Apple Silicon
I heard Jim Keller say on a podcast recently that many computation problems are N^2, so if unoptimized and run on silicon with 2x the transistors, it runs 4x slower.
jp555··on Don’t expect Tesla’s ‘Full Self Driving’ to come out of beta any time soon
This says more about the mindset of Sci-tech journalism than it does Tesla.

Reminded me why I really try to avoid consuming any of it anymore.

They think they know better, when it's clear to anyone with actual domain knowledge that it's much more that they don't know that they don't know.

jp555··on Trust: The Need for Public Understanding of How Science Works
Most things we think come from the scientific process in fact are the result of trial & error and tinkering, and then back-filled with the scientific process and so only appears historically as if they came from theory.

Galileo would never of survived peer review.

"Science progresses one funeral at a time" - Max Planck

jp555··on Trust: The Need for Public Understanding of How Science Works
Watching a friend go through the process of attaining tenured position in Economics recently has taught me to never listen to Economists. They are all focused on impressing each other MUCH more than progressing Economics. And that's not even considering the Ergodicity crisis there.

Once you see the sausage being made, you realize "peer review" is a way to project power in academia, it is not about science.

Eric Weinstein has been talking about this lately, something he calls DISC "The Distributed Idea Suppression Complex". Some of his first hand stories are shocking, but are exactly the kind of thing those I know in academia tell me they face every day.

jp555··on Trust: The Need for Public Understanding of How Science Works
People should be more aware... of the collapse of science

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replication_crisis

jp555··on MacBook Pro M1X benchmarks have leaked
Apple doesn't have to build it's own CPU, but often vertical integration gives one a significant advantage.

TSMC is slave to Dutch ASML, whos is the only one on the planet who can make the EUV lithography technology TSMC uses to make the latest chips.

jp555··on MacBook Pro M1X benchmarks have leaked
Also Apple didn't have to do ~80% of what Intel has to do - you know, the actual building of chip fabs as well as chip design.

"merely" LOL.

jp555··on The Muppet Show: Disney+ adds content warning of negative depictions of cultures
"...Just weird little scenes!"

Does this not describe YouTube too?

jp555··on CIA Recruited 'Mind Readers' to Spy on the Soviets in the 1970s
Sometimes the rumor of a weapon is better than the actual weapon, and can in fact be the actual weapon if you can use it to control your enemy's actions.

Eg. the prospect of imminent cheap laser weapons puts a lot of doubt in expensive hypersonic missile investment.

jp555··on Fake Amazon reviews 'being sold in bulk' online
"First of all, you must realize that that 10% isn't stable: the "Market for Lemons" effect will guarantee that if nothing is done to stop it, that 10% will become 90%."

Are you sure? Is this ergodic? Does the ensemble average predict the time-series average?

jp555··on Elon Musk wants clean power. But Tesla's carrying Bitcoin's dirty baggage
So the problem is more a coal energy problem than a bitcoin problem?
jp555··on Elon Musk wants clean power. But Tesla's carrying Bitcoin's dirty baggage
Which transactions? The Bitcoin transactions running on coal, natural gas, hydro, geothermal, nuclear, solar, or wind electricity?

Figures don't lie, but liars will figure.

jp555··on Elon Musk wants clean power. But Tesla's carrying Bitcoin's dirty baggage
The coal ingredient still vents off toxic and radioactive waste in the making of the polysilicon.

And with the rapidly falling price of PV, it's unlikely we'll see expensive investments that do not reduce costs.

jp555··on Elon Musk wants clean power. But Tesla's carrying Bitcoin's dirty baggage
Many solar panels are made by putting quartz and coal into an oven, and using coal to heat it to like 1800 degrees.

This releases a bunch of C02 and other much nastier stuff like silicon tetrachloride and radioactive uranium into the environment, and out comes purified polysilicon for making "green" PV panels. :P

In contrast Bitcoin can run on green hydro or nuclear power.

jp555··on Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index
Even more directly - How much energy does all the world's "legacy" Fintech use?

Banks, exchanges, government tax agencies, accountants, money printing, retail cash machines (ATM, registers, etc) and all the way to gold mining.

jp555··on AirPods Max: An Audiophile Review
Most environmentalists are in it for the religion.

For example, wind turbine blades are composite components that are too expensive to recycle and wear our much faster than most people realize, so there are vast garbage dumps filled with buried giant wind turbine blades made of petrochemicals.

Most electric vehicles are charged with electricity made from burning carbon (coal & natural gas).

Reusable plastic bags need to be used like 28 times before they have less of an impact than disposable ones. Cotton bags need to be used over 7000 times before they are better than disposable.

jp555··on AirPods Max: An Audiophile Review
Um, how many lifetimes have audiophile headphones been available?

If there have been people passing headphones down to their kids, I bet that would be a lot smaller group than you are suggesting. A pastoral fantasy.

jp555··on Heavy social media use associated with lower mental health in adolescents
How do you know this to be true?
jp555··on Heavy social media use associated with lower mental health in adolescents
At least with us geezers there's no trace of it ... now nothing gets deleted. That's a new stress for sure.
jp555··on Heavy social media use associated with lower mental health in adolescents
doesn't that headline essentially say "teenagers damage teenagers' mental health"?

Don't most teenagers spend most of their time socializing with other teenagers?

My pre-internet teenage "social networking" was full of traumatic times. Has that not been the case of teenagers forever?

I guess this study is reporting an measurable increase above the "normal" amount? That seems like it would be very hard to measure.

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