1,389 karma · joined July 26, 2011
At some level you might reasonably expect what you described to be tautological: the person holding the mainstream view knows more about they things surrounding that view. But do they know the alternatives?
It’d be interest to compare the knowledge level the person holding the consensus view has about the non-consensus view to vice versa.
So that one panel gets you 6-7 miles of EV range a day.
A typical house needs probably 15-20 panels to produces it’s needs (assuming you have storage) before EVs are even in the picture.
Per-dose cost is meaningless. Now do “multi billion dollar government paid for contracts”.
Inexpensive knives can be sharp. America’s Test Kitchen recommends a $35 knife as their best chef’s knife.
Anyone claiming to disprove the lab leak hypothesis by making a claim against solely molecular engineering is either hilariously uninformed or intentionally misleading you.
There’s a psychological reason too (already commented on by others here), but there is a math reason too (cash flow).
Please show other similarly complex systems with fewer bugs: basically doesn't happen.
If the title communicates incorrect information it isn’t merely a different convention; it actively causes confusion.
A well designed RCT isn’t much more certain than this?
Observational studies are hardly the peak for scientific knowledge.
It's a big assumption that it's an old draft. It could also be the last draft circulated, and that everything since has been on concurrences or minority opinions.
No, people concluded that because there were so many holes in the Bloomberg reporting that didn't make any sense conceptually.
I think you're misreading the point of my comment.
> this level of spread would be trivial to infer from antibody tests of people traveling to China.
Who is doing that testing?
The way I've done this involves logical replication also: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31087197
I’d we take your claim seriously then we have to disallow all critiques of the replicatability crisis in the social sciences that don’t come from social scientists, but that would present an obvious new problem: conflict of interest. It’s also just an absurd requirement.
1. Route all traffic through pgbouncer in transaction pooling mode.
2. Logically replicate from old to new.
For failover:
1. Ensure replication is not far behind.
2. Issue a PAUSE on pgbouncer.
3. Wait for replication to be fully caught up.
4. Update pgbouncer config to point to the new database.
5. Issue a RELOAD on pgbouncer.
6. Issue a RESUME on pgbouncer.
Zero downtime; < 2s additional latency for in-flight queries at time of op is possible (and I've done it at scale).