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kaesar14

1,474 karma · joined May 14, 2019

NYC.
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kaesar14··on California population size projected to stagnate
Spend some time in New York and San Francisco and say with a straight face the problems are correspondingly that much worse in New York (which has a population of 10x vs SF) per capita. There's probably LESS homelessness, visible drug use, and crime in New York on an absolute basis than SF.
kaesar14··on Ask HN: What one skill are you proud of developing on your own?
Yeah, definitely.

I started with what I call “bootstrapping” the language, which is learning enough to understand at least a few sentences of unbroken spoken French - this I accomplished with listening to the first 2 seasons of Coffee Break French, as well as grades readers. This I’d say took around 6 months.

The next phase after that was expanding vocabulary and ease of expression. This is when I started listening to the Innerfrench podcast which is a fantastic resource - the first few episodes are much slower than recent material, but even that took time. This was the same time I started consistent Italki lessons. I find trying to start lessons before this point is difficult as you can’t really hold a decent conversation yet. You really need a base.

I’d say that phase lasted… another 6 months? It was around that time I switched jobs and in between spent 6 weeks by myself in France, which as you can imagine was a supercharger of learning. I slept like a baby every night after the mental exhaustion of trying to keep up.

After this point the key has really been lessons, lessons, lessons, and more lessons, at least as far as mastering output goes. You need as many opportunities to practice as possible, and one thing I found that was key was finding tutors who have different favorite subjects. I have one with whom I speak about my daily life, another with whom I discuss the news and society, and another where we watch a movie or read a book and discuss it each time we meet. This is also the point I moved up to real French literature, beginning with Camus but branching out to many other authors I now like quite a bit. Reading is quite challenging since the breadth of vocabulary can be astounding, but the key is to look up whatever you really can’t infer.

At some point in the last year I’d say all this got me from B1 to B2 in the CEFR framework, at least in all skills but writing.

Happy to expand on anything if you find it interesting! I think 2.5 years was probably the fastest I could do this all without a gigantic time investment or moving to a Francophone country.

Edit: Are you learning French or another language?

kaesar14··on Ask HN: What one skill are you proud of developing on your own?
Learning French despite not living in a Francophone country.

During the pandemic I wanted to see what the process is really like for a language that I had no prior experience in. Turns out the entire popular consumer facing industry for this sort’ve thing doesn’t help for anything but tourist phrases (i.e Duolingo).

It took a lot of time and determination to put in the regular exposure every single day to train my ear, as well as 2-3 lessons on the internet every week for the last 2.5 years, but at this point I feel comfortable en disant que je parle français couramment.

Not ultimately that useful in the grand scheme of things being American, but it sure does feel nice to accomplish a goal!

kaesar14··on North Korean market prices suggest serious food shortages
Losing millions of your own population isn’t something that can be brushed off.
kaesar14··on North Korean market prices suggest serious food shortages
Sure but parent comment is blowing off a lot of factors working against Germany’s spectacular recovery lol. “Several million young dead men” is a bit of an understatement too
kaesar14··on North Korean market prices suggest serious food shortages
And World War 2 saw a complete leveling of most of the country…
kaesar14··on Wildfire Smoke in Northeastern US Visible on GOES East Images
To my research, SF AQI has never topped 249. New York just topped out at 342 today with no sign of letting up. I won't dispute that SF wildfire season being so frequent and long lasting, there's been nasty periods, but no it's factually incorrect that SF has ever been at one time worse than what's happening in NYC right now.
kaesar14··on Scientists Use GPT AI to Passively Read People's Thoughts in Breakthrough
The upside to this technology is allowing a few people to communicate who have neurological damage. The downside is every government on earth being able to read your mind. Sounds like a good trade!
kaesar14··on Scientists Use GPT AI to Passively Read People's Thoughts in Breakthrough
Stunning how scientists who work on this stuff delude themselves into thinking it'll do more good than harm.
kaesar14··on State of Private Markets: Q1 2023
If you're in a market with 100k high quality devs and 80k choose to work at FAANG vs a market with 20k high quality devs where 10k choose to work at high paying regional companies, you're still winning on the talent pool. And I'm guessing the numbers are even more skewed than that.

Additionally, the talent pool skews much younger in hot markets who are on average much more likely to be willing to take a risk and work really hard to make a startup take off.

Obligatory disclaimer that I'm not saying non-hot markets are not filled with great devs and that older people cannot make a startup take off, just the odds are better in one vs. the other.

kaesar14··on State of Private Markets: Q1 2023
I don't think it's such an unreasonable question when VCs are trying to maximize their investment, and being in a hot tech market has shown to be an accelerator in finding talent and growing a startup
kaesar14··on Ask HN: What Are You Working On? (May 2023)
I'd also include Nepal and perhaps even Bhutan here.
kaesar14··on Ask HN: What is the most strategic career path for SDE in response to AI?
Learn how to use the tools to stay relevant. Humans will be a part of this process for a long, long time. Maybe using AI will be fun!
kaesar14··on Ask HN: What are your optimistic takes on the SWE job market post AI?
Not appreciated, hope this is flagged.
kaesar14··on NPR quits Twitter after being labeled as 'state-affiliated media'
By this logic, Tesla is also "state-affiliated". A huge amount of companies in this country receive government subsidies, are they all "state-affiliated" media? The NPR journalists act independently from any government oversight, they are not part of the government's media apparatus
kaesar14··on Scale AI: How Alexandr Wang Turned an Army of Clickworkers into a $7.3B Unicorn
Isn't this company's business model completely shattered by ChatGPT?
kaesar14··on Ask HN: How to prepare for AI taking my programming job?
I think with things like this, it's staying ahead of the curve that's key. Remember to consider what the entirety of this industry is. There's hundreds of thousands of software developers employed doing what is the equivalent of copy pasting CRUD endpoints from Stack Overflow without any product or scaling considerations.

Keep your skills sharp, understand what users want, and look out for your own career when you can. Make hay when the sun shines.

All this isn't to say that the job is even going to be automated. Maybe AI really does just serve to make us better for now! Important to remember that the more well equipped you are cognitively, and the better emotional reasoning (EQ in general) you have, the longer you are going to survive.

We have a long way to go to this future and you're ahead of it already by thinking about it. Don't succumb to anxiety and fear. If this is really what you enjoy doing, keep doing it and keep on your shit.

kaesar14··on GPT-4 gets a B on my quantum computing final exam
Scott Aaronson is one of the best professors and researchers in this field in the world.
kaesar14··on GPT-4 gets a B on my quantum computing final exam
Fwiw Scott Aaronson is maybe the most well respected researcher in this field. I don't think this is a case of some shitty professor asking his students to regurgitate useless information
kaesar14··on Ask HN: As a software engineer, how has AI-assisted tooling helped you?
ChatGPT (GPT-4) is pretty excellent at taking react code I write and rewriting it in the format I ask to be more idiomatic or concise!
kaesar14··on GPT-4 gets a B on my quantum computing final exam
This is pretty incredible. I guess the thing that we have to keep in mind is that we really can't compete with an AI that understands natural language this well and also has the entirety of the internet as its reference materials. Maybe we need to accept that or rework our definition of what makes humans special
kaesar14··on Large Language Models Are Human-Level Prompt Engineers
Absolutely fantastic point. If AIs make all useful software, why does anyone get to benefit from that as an owner? NOBODY is doing the work.
kaesar14··on Large Language Models Are Human-Level Prompt Engineers
More or less, but I guess this was to be expected. Why would making prompts be difficult when LLMs are already capable of fairly difficult programming?
kaesar14··on Large Language Models Are Human-Level Prompt Engineers
This is pretty alarming tbh. Anyone already making a pivot out of SWE?
kaesar14··on How ChatGPT is changing the job hiring process, from the HR department to coders
The only counterpoint I have is that it seems the gpt models have trained on most available information on the Internet. So what’s the future progress there exactly.
kaesar14··on How ChatGPT is changing the job hiring process, from the HR department to coders
Another tool will just take it's place. It's too useful
kaesar14··on How ChatGPT is changing the job hiring process, from the HR department to coders
It does seem somewhat hard to imagine being employed as a SWE in 5 years without being proficient in incorporating some sort of generative AI into your work.

Edited to include “in 5 years”

kaesar14··on Ask HN: Software folks, what’s your Plan B?
FIRE is definitely attainable, easily moreso without children. Also lucky enough to have an even higher earning fiance. Hope our futures can work out before OpenAI destroys half the economy.
kaesar14··on Ask HN: Software folks, what’s your Plan B?
I’ve been thinking hard about it and my best current plan is hoping my Series B startup moons and I have enough of a nest egg to work a service job and live day to day off wages. Retraining efforts are gonna hit us all. There will be no escape.
kaesar14··on Wikimedia Foundation spent $88M for salaries in 2021-22 as a no profit
These people are managing one of the few things that's actually good on the Internet, better they get these salaries instead of some FAANG director.
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