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karzeem

2,406 karma · joined July 30, 2007

https://twitter.com/kareems
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karzeem··on Backscatter Machines Not Effective at Detecting Plastic Explosives
It's disconcerting that this — the most thorough public study of the machines' effectiveness — is a simulation. In a sane environment, we'd be allowed to know what happens when you actually, you know, test the machines.
karzeem··on The Truth about California: It's actually saving the rest of the USA
True, though for a lot of state policies, people seem to generally agree that they're bad, just not on whether they're bad enough to justify the pain of changing them.

The policies, good or bad, coexist with the country's strongest private sector, but that doesn't mean they caused it.

karzeem··on The Truth about California: It's actually saving the rest of the USA
Most criticisms of California target public sector backwardness, so it's not a refutation of that to point to the strength of the state's private sector. And "CA's private sector is strong, ergo it hasn't been harmed by the government" is a circular argument.

This is an argument over the precise extent to which bad policies are bad. Seems more useful to discuss what genuinely good policy looks like.

karzeem··on Comcast demands Level 3 pay fee to deliver online movies to their subscribers
If enough Netflix customers live in Comcast-only areas, Netflix would have had little choice but to lean on Level 3 to capitulate. Even if the customers are willing to switch ISPs just to get Netflix, they wouldn't have had the option. That translates to less money for Netflix, more pissed off customers for Comcast, and a true win for nobody. With Netflix and Level 3 falling on their swords, their customers at least come out ahead in the short term.

In the long term, it's obviously disastrous. At some point, companies will have to refuse en masse to pay the protection money. In the areas where it has a monopoly, Comcast could stomach losing Netflix, but not another 10 or 20 big sites on top of it. There are antitrust issues with collective refusal to pay, but there's got to be a way around that.

karzeem··on Reddit Founders' YC Application
PG, when you read this did you remember them as the guys who met you after your talk in Cambridge?
karzeem··on Re-entry to US without backscatter or pat-down
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Border_search_exception

You're required to present proof of citizenship and allow a "routine" search of your belongings for contraband. A "non-routine" search requires them to have a reasonable suspicion about you specifically. My own reading is that a backscatter scan or s search of your body would count as non-routine, but of course a court may disagree.

karzeem··on To end poverty, guarantee everyone in Canada $20,000 a year.
Milton Friedman advocated an interesting, soft version of the minimum income called the negative income tax.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_income_tax

karzeem··on Women Who Left Bad Online Reviews of Plastic Surgeon Being Sued
Doctors aren't used to being reviewed in this way, so some are only going to go into this new world kicking and screaming.

The good news is that it's very hard to win a libel judgement against somebody in the U.S. — as far as I know, you have to show that somebody said something they knew to be false and did so with the malicious intent of harming you.

karzeem··on National Opt-Out Day Called Against Invasive Body Scanners
One of the great things about this backlash is that it springs mostly from just a handful of small, mostly web-based efforts. Jonah Goldberg's post arguably kicked off this latest, biggest anti-body-scanner outcry.

Among web sites:

http://www.optoutday.com is probably the most notable.

http://wewontfly.com is another biggie.

http://www.imadethetsafeelmyresistance.com (disclosure: I made it) has gotten a bunch of traffic too.

There are lots of others. This whole thing has heated up a lot in the last week or two. And I suspect the next week or two are going to be a lot bigger.

karzeem··on Review my one-night project: I Made the TSA Feel My Resistance
Thanks. The main goal is just to keep people from feeling like they're alone when they opt out, and to encourage more opting out.

You're right that it's a little information-deficient. Some of that was on purpose, but I just added an "about" blurb to help clear things up.

karzeem··on Lawsuit: Apple turned iPhone 3Gs into "iBricks" to boost iPhone 4
Apple had two choices: release iOS4 for 3G and let it run slowly, or require 3GS+ to run iOS4. They went with the first option. My bet is that if they'd gone with the second, she would have sued them for obsoleting her 3G too quickly.
karzeem··on For the First Time, the TSA Meets Resistance
I have a prosthetic leg, so I've been getting the secondary screening (i.e. pat-downs, bomb wipes, and wanding) for years. It's invasive, but the TSA agents don't grope your genitals. They don't even touch them. In fact, they're usually shy about touching "sensitive areas" (most of the inner thigh remains unexplored), and sometimes bordering on apologetic.

I get that every single time I fly, and even so, I would never opt for a backscatter machine. It's far more invasive. Having been through dozens of patdowns, I feel pretty sure that someone looking at a naked picture of me is a worse option.

karzeem··on Ray Ozzie leaving post as Microsoft's chief software architect
I know it's fashionable to beat up on Ballmer's buzzword-filled, meaning-deficient prose, but man, the guy sure doesn't make it hard for people.
karzeem··on Why Companies Keep Pay a Secret
It's a private school, so it's relatively free to set salaries as it pleases.
karzeem··on Why Companies Keep Pay a Secret
My high school, a few years before I got there, once decided to post the teachers' salaries in the lounge for all the teachers to see. The salaries had no names next to them, but since they did list the length of each person's tenure, the teachers deanonymized the list quickly.

There was a ruckus when people discovered that a lot of the worst teachers were making the most money. Your salary was basically determined by how frequently you had the nerve to ask for a raise, plus some consideration for how long you'd been at the school. Not exactly a winning compensation scheme.

If your compensation scheme is well-reasoned and defensible, it's a lot less of a problem when people figure out how much everyone else is making. If your compensation scheme sucks, expect outrage.

karzeem··on Love Makes You Increasingly Ignorant of Your Partner
It might be more appropriate to use the older couples as a baseline and say that young couples pay an abnormally high amount of attention to one another's preferences. Same findings, just a different way of putting it.

The level of attention young couples pay to one another is probably just so high that it's unsustainable and fades with time.

karzeem··on Too Dumb to Fail?
This reminds me a little of the kid who "hacked" into Sarah Palin's email by guessing her easily guessable security questions. One on hand, if someone is sufficiently careless or stupid, it's unfair to punish you for helping yourself to the fruits of their carelessness. But on the other hand, you have to respect people's desire not to be exploited. If you leave laptop in a park for 10 minutes, it's wrong for someone to hop on and use it, even if you should have known better than to leave it unattended.

I have less sympathy for this exploited bot, though, since you go in knowing the stock market can be a ruthlessly zero-sum kind of place.

karzeem··on "Physics shows that cell phones cannot cause cancer"
I've only had one cup of tea today, so maybe I wrote the opposite of what I think I wrote, but it might also be that your pseudoscientist detector is catching false positives today.

I'm not asserting that cell phones cause cancer, and I'm not asserting that the precautionary principle is wise to apply here. The author writes that the model of carcinogenesis he's selected predicts that cell phones will not cause cancer. He asserts that this is proof that cell phones cannot cause cancer. I'm taking issue with his confidence in making that assertion.

karzeem··on "Physics shows that cell phones cannot cause cancer"
Does this kind of reductionism pass for science journalism? I have no idea if cell phones cause cancer. But if I have a model of carcinogenesis and cell phones happen not to fit the model, that's nothing like proof that they cannot cause cancer.

Knives are proven to cause stab wounds. A sharpened stick is not a knife. That is not proof that sharpened sticks cannot cause stab wounds.

Edit: apparently the meaning of what I've written varies depending on what you think my motives are. That means I've been unclear. I'm not advocating the precautionary principle. Kind of the opposite, actually. You cannot prove a negative, which means that it is unscientific to use a model (especially one as poorly understood as the one for carcinogenesis) to "prove" that something cannot happen.

karzeem··on After a year in stealth, CarWoo (YC S09) launches today
I've never bought a car, but why do dealers keep inventory at all? Seems like it's the cause of all their headaches. Just have one of each model for test drives, then let people custom-order. I know people like to be able to drive off the lot with a new car, but we're talking about the biggest non-home purchase of their life. They're not willing to wait a few weeks to optimize it? Especially if the inventoryless dealer's lower costs mean they get a much better deal?
karzeem··on Trap Rooms: Deliberate errors to catch copyright infringement
That's how I meant it.
karzeem··on Trap Rooms: Deliberate errors to catch copyright infringement
Neat, this is like a reverse shibboleth.

This sort of stuff has been around for a while. One of the big Supreme Court rulings on the copyrightability of datasets (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feist_v._Rural) concerned a company that got sued for copying 4000 entries from a competitor's phone book. They got busted because they'd unknowingly copied fake entries.

karzeem··on The FBI is tracking whom?
You're correct, but that says more about the definition of "person of interest" than it does about the kid's dangerousness. For example, my parents came to the US from Lebanon. Aside from the fact that my family isn't Muslim, the profile fits me perfectly. I'd bet good money that it fits the vast majority of immigrants who still have family in the old country.

The other thing worth remembering is how the person of interest to whom the kid is linked became a person of interest. He posted a comment on reddit speculating about how easy it would be for terrorists to wreak havoc by hitting arbitrary soft targets throughout the country.

Like hiring, catching terrorists is a game where you should be willing to take a lot of false positives to avoid one false negative. But it can go too far, and people's worry is that it has done here.

karzeem··on Only 21% of companies care that you’re working too hard
There's a weird dichotomy here between startups and established companies. The hivemind says that the more hours you spend on your startup, the better. If you have 16 waking hours a day, nobody would tell you to spend just 8 of them on your startup. Yet if you work at an established company and your day is longer than, say, 10 hours, you're doing it wrong.

Brutal hours produce burnout, and I suppose the idea when doing a startup is to work hours that you know will eventually burn you out badly, but just hope that your company makes the big time before then. But in a bunch of ways, especially if you're going for a lifestyle business, that doesn't seem advisable.

karzeem··on A Visa for Job Creators
"Mr. Anderson, a former Immigration and Naturalization Service official, says the U.S. would do better to discard capital requirements and welcome any foreign national who can present a business plan that passes muster with the Small Business Administration."

The part about discarding capital requirements is a clear win, but why not go further and scrap the idea of having the SBA screen the business plans? It's an obvious place for the process to go Kafkaesque, and as step to keep people from gaming the system, it's easy to defeat. How about a visa for anybody who wants to come start a business here, period. (Maybe with the proviso that they're not allowed to draw welfare while on the visa.)

karzeem··on A Visa for Job Creators
Full article at the first result:

http://www.google.com/search?q=a+visa+for+job+creators

karzeem··on My son is mistaking a smartphone for his mother
Not that this is what's going on in this case, but the story reminds me of how ducklings can be made to follow anything, presumably thinking that it's their mother.

Dustin Curtis wrote a fascinating piece a while ago about similar behavior in newborn seagulls: http://dustincurtis.com/how_niko_tinbergen_reverse_engineere...

karzeem··on Where My Money Goes: A visual receipt for your taxes.
Ha, these calculators have had a great past 24 hours. I made one today too: http://taxes.kareemshaya.com

You did a very nice job with the receipt vibe.

karzeem··on Thanks For Paying Taxes. Here's A Receipt.
Just finished putting this one together: http://taxes.kareemshaya.com
karzeem··on The disgrace of the legal services market
Government licensing is a surprisingly pervasive way of driving up wages in a profession. In my home state of Maryland, you need a license from the state in order to be a barber.

Lawyers have it especially good for a couple reasons. First, they (and thus their interests) are well-represented in the ranks of people who make laws, so the laws on who gets to practice law are very restrictive. Second, legal services are one of a small handful of things that you can be forced to spend money on. Nobody forces you to buy an iPhone. But getting sued is something that happens against your will, and when it happens you have little choice but to spend money on a lawyer.

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