522 karma · joined May 25, 2015
1. Plow the field and seed again (same or different variety or grain). This is a very crude measure, but it is sometimes the right thing to do, because as I said most of the expenses have not been realized yet (fertilizer, pesticide, fuel, payroll, paying rent for the land). It is also a time critical decision, because the window of opportunity for plowing and reseeding is not very wide.
2. Accept the lower yield if it is within a reasonable margin (e.g. comparable to the expenses to plow and reseed).
3. Do partial reseeding over the existing plants (without plowing). This is an emerging strategy with the proliferation of smart seeders, but it requires a precise seeding map to be created beforehand (i.e. based on the density estimate). As an advantage, you spare the expenses for seeds and plowing, however there is some disadvantage as well, due to the different rate of development of the newly seeded plants. Farmers usually need plants to be ready for harvest at the same time, otherwise the quality of the grains suffers and hence the selling price is lower.
In addition to these points, having precise density information after germination helps with the identification of problems, such as seeder malfunction (e.g. nozzles getting clogged), seed quality and meteo data (e.g. too much rain, low temperatures etc).
Indeed. Making up the difference can easily eat most of the farmer's profits. I guess it is even more pronounced for berries when compared to grains, because they cannot be stored for so long.
- there are lots of expenses still to be made (fertilizer, pesticide, salaries), which may not be worth it if germination is under certain threshold
- if detected early, there is still time to plant another grain or to fill up the missing plants (requires precision seeders and seeding maps)
- is a very good proxy for yield estimation (farmers often trade futures even before they have harvested)
For the purpose I have created a dataset (a collaboration between my employer and Sofia University) and published it in order to enable scientific collaboration with other interested parties. Still working on the dataset annotations.
https://huggingface.co/datasets/su-fmi/sunflower-density-est...
With respect to the duty cycle, obviously if you have solar power, you would prefer to use it predominantly and only add up some extra power from the grid when needed. This is the essence of the sizing problem, because that leads you to 2-3x power overprovisioning and the need for heat/cold storage. Heat storage can be two types - DHW and space heating. Space heating is the easiest to estimate. You need to know your house's heat loss (either by specification or just figure it out empirically if you have already lived in it). DHW storage is more difficult to estimate, because it depends on the usage (e.g. how many showers per day). Cold storage is the most problematic, because the fluid needs to be at least 16C or lower to do useful cooling work, however you cannot go much lower than 7C unless you are using propylene glycol (expensive) and even then your indoor units may start to freeze (I am not even mentioning indoor humidity management and dew points).
Lately, the industry has been exploring PCMs (phase change materials). The idea is to store heat/cold not as sensible heat, but as latent heat of the phase change. In practice the substances used are either salts (efficient, but corrosive to the storage tank) or paraffins (more expensive, less efficient, but still viable). These come rated at a specific temperature, but usually have some hysteresis/drift and other issues. I guess you are now feeling a bit frustrated from the engineering complexity :). If batteries were cheap, long lasting and environmentally friendly, this complexity would not be needed. However, I really doubt it that in the foreseeable future batteries will beat heat storage. Given that most of our domestic energy use is space heating/cooling and DHW, I think that PCMs may actually have some moat. There are already offerings on the market, but IMHO they are still not very compelling. What I see lacking is some integrated offering, that would take into account the PV schedule and also grid prices. One a side not, batteries still have an advantage if you can sell back to the grid at a high premium or if you need to e.g. charge your car in the night. So these technologies may be complementary, rather than competitive.
A very big factor is climate. Just to give you an example, I live in the mountain with a colder climate. Cold water from the faucet is around 10C. I rarely need cooling if at all, but I need space heating around 8-9 months during the year. Just 300 km south and by the sea (Greece), cold water from the faucet is around 20-25C, you need 4-5 months of cooling and only ~4 months of heating. Some countries, such as UK have very moderate climate without extremes and things are more predictable. Where I live, we get -15C in the winter and 38C in the summer.
1. Consider PCM heat storage (still relatively new technology, but works well with heat pumps)
2. Maybe the problem shall be solved at the building level, not individual apartments.
Yes, heating DHW with a heat pump is not that trivial. There could be problems when the tap water is hard (limescale problems in heat exchangers), you often need 2-3 times larger tank in order to cover the daily cycle, but still looks more efficient than a big battery and an electric heater.
PS: I've accumulated lots of knowledge on the topic. DM me if you are interested in exchanging on this.
One should also consider the "outside" environment. We jumped from covid right into war without a break in between and now we are being told that we will be replaced by AI, while expecting the stock market to crash and increase unemployment. Ah and also the inflation (wage reduction) that has been going on for the last five years and doesn't show a sign of stopping.
Yes, it does. We are humans too, not some upper cast of society that is permanently immune to prejudice, emotions and media influence reinforcing the former two. Unfortunately, it is not only Romania that is straying away from democracy. Bulgaria, another EU member state, and by coincidence (or not) a neighbor to Romania, has also been degrading significantly in this regard. To quote a couple of examples:
- A referendum on the topic of delaying Bulgaria's entry into the Euro zone (replacing national currency with EUR) was not allowed to take place by the parliament and subsequently the constitutional court (with really hard to understand and controversial argumentation).
- There were lots of violations during the last elections that were investigated selectively and following a questionable and non-transparent process
- Protesters being detained for a month for throwing eggs on a building - a highly disproportional measure, given the severity of the violation.