Conferences can be depressing. The IPCC reports contain the very basic rock-solid consensus of what can be expected, but while playing around with data and models things can look much scarier.
3,656 karma · joined September 11, 2011
Conferences can be depressing. The IPCC reports contain the very basic rock-solid consensus of what can be expected, but while playing around with data and models things can look much scarier.
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/FigSPM-10.jp...
And then consider that the x-axis does not cover the full carbon available as fossil fuels. Depending on estimation, this could be 15,000 GtC, maybe more (the lower axis in that plot).
https://mahb.stanford.edu/library-item/what-if-we-burn-all-t...
It's not looking good now, but we can make this so much worse.
You're right about the mitigation, of course.
The last-ditch effort of carbon capture is still a possibility. And a lot of work in preparation remains as well. The more resilient we can become the less suffering there will be. And some of these things are not even complicated, such as large monocultures being much more susceptible to crop failures for example.
Bastin et al, Understanding climate change from a global analysis of city analogues:
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal...
"Even under an optimistic climate scenario (RCP 4.5), we found that 77% of future cities are very likely to experience a climate that is closer to that of another existing city than to its own current climate. In addition, 22% of cities will experience climate conditions that are not currently experienced by any existing major cities. "
"We notably predict that Madrid’s climate in 2050 will resemble Marrakech’s climate today, Stockholm will resemble Budapest, London to Barcelona, Moscow to Sofia, Seattle to San Francisco, Tokyo to Changsha."
The information might not be new, but the way it is presented is quite tangible, since many people have an understanding of today's conditions in different cities.
The less data is actually leaked and sold the better, of course, but societies and especially politicians don't seem to learn that easily.
In this case it would make sense to make the donations mandatory and income-dependent. Let people choose which cause to support but don't let them choose not to support anything. I happily pay income tax for the state to support those around me who need it, which ideally should cover the need for donations fully, but see your point.
Still, nobody should be dependent on only the good-will of other luckier people to this extent, when the system and people's background influence economical success this much.
This is probably climate-related - when there is a big difference between day- and nighttime temperatures it is very comfortable.
The news had actual blood on the streets, from real people who had actually died there, real violence, real panic, real bombs and real war. If you shut off the TV, it does not go away, it's taking place somewhere out there, in the real world. A game is a joke in comparison.
(Note, if you put too much dry ice the water in your drink will freeze and that can affect the taste quite negatively..)
I'm not sure whether there is any basis for this assumption in the text though..
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evergreen_Group
(Cue jokes about earth (they have trucks) and water blockages soon to be followed by air. I haven't seen a good fire theory yet.)
And then, safe just means nobody gets hurt. The volcano will eat some instrumentation anyway at some point, probably. They often do. Plus, the sulfuric acid plume emissions will damage your gear if you get caught in it.
(Especially Hawaiian and the Icelandic volcanoes are usually not that bad (unless the eruption is below a glacier, that's quite explosive).)
So, the $1k toy is actually being trialed around the world, just with more complex instrumentation. You can get closer without risking anyone, and you can make much more frequent measurements since it's so much cheaper. The biggest problem is the wind and turbulence (since volcanoes are mountains with a heat source, and almost nobody in the field is an experienced drone pilot).