1,303 karma · joined February 14, 2017
Ottomans wrote the whole playbook for Middle Eastern dictators: systematically favor the ethnoreligious groups you like, ensure that any big business opportunities are channeled through them, and then for disfavored ethnoreligious groups, suppress avenues to wealth which can be used against their rulers. Then, with the massive vacuum of intelligence left behind as a result of this policy, let fundamentalists misuse religion in such a way to keep your opponents simple and stupid (whereas during the Islamic Golden Age, scientists were inspired by Islam to make groundbreaking discoveries, and they in turn helped spark the Enlightenment in Europe).
Or imagine a Costco Metaverse Verification Center. You can play in a VR metaverse with other verified humans at other Costcos around the world. AR cameras on the headset will ensure you can see your $1.50 hotdog and soda combo so you never have to leave the metaverse. Costco would also provide you a sleep pod at cost if you want to plug back into the matrix right after waking up.
The person you are responding to likely has notable epigenetic modifications that have lasted way past the initial negative environmental stimuli (in proportion to the trauma). It’s not a hopeless situation, there is literature on how to reverse and mitigate that, but it’s important to be aware of.
Telomere Effect also goes into epigenetic changes but isn’t solely focused on stress
Update:
Harvard Medical School article: Understanding the stress response https://www.health.harvard.edu/staying-healthy/understanding...
Research on effect on neural circuits: https://jneurodevdisorders.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.118...
Harvard article on impact of early childhood adversity, including on brain: https://developingchild.harvard.edu/resources/inbrief-the-im...
It’s going to be a wild ride. Also consider that LLMs don’t have the “last 5%” problem that self-driving software has, where widespread use is currently untenable because humans still need to intervene and that poses safety problems. LLMs are very complimentary to a large breadth of human work, until they stop being complimentary and instead become a substitute.
Another thing I’ll say is, the investment in the already mind-blowing LLMs like GPT-4 is relatively puny, a fraction of the cost of building 1 skyscraper. What’s happening is that the market has been validated and much larger sums of $$$ are going to flood in, including into the research pipeline which can solve problems such as data “scarcity” for future AI.
Imagine a much smarter version of GPT-4, except constantly thinking like a human does (as opposed to prompt-response-wait-prompt-response…), constantly working towards some specified goal, and…placed in a robot body like those made by Boston Dynamics. That’s not even in the far future. It’s technically possible in 6-12 months.
Finally, looping back to self-driving - I think you’ve reached your conclusion too early there. Once the last 5% problem is solved for self-driving, it will be solved for everyone and forever and getting from point A to B on the road will forever be available to you by a robot chauffeur 24/7, forever deliver things to you autonomously, and improve supply chain/logistics by a lot, with downstream reduction in the price of delivered goods.
In contrast if LOTR (the book series) was released today instead of 1954-1955, it would have a serious chance at being a mega best seller. It’s such a good read independent of its influence on subsequent fantasy novels.
I think Morrowind, Ocarina of Time, and FF7 are GOATed, but I also don’t go out of my way to play older 2D games and certainly would never call them the greatest. On top of that, I have to admit that the games I mentioned are less enjoyable today than they were back then, and are on the same level as other 10/10s that I played in more recent times.
The medium by which books are conveyed hasn’t really changed meaningfully (holding fixed what is being written about). They’re still words. That’s not true of movies and video games.
I care mostly about movies that are incredible to me now in 2023. That informs my definition of “best movies”. I am not interested in Citizen Kane’s innovative use of the deep focus technique. I can appreciate an incredible older movie, but not for obscure film buff reasons. If anyone knows of a good best movie list that is free of this sort of pretentious navel gazing, please link it below.
Also, this is a hot take, but at a certain point older movies become worse precisely because of their datedness rather than “more interesting due to what they achieved within their technological boundaries at the time”. If they’re still good, that’s because they have an absolutely stellar story.
Yep, and that is what’s going away. BMW recently decided to stop offering heated seat subscriptions.
In contrast to the Ottoman Empire, no one talks about some great Andalusian army. Al-Andalus was known for its culture, architecture, scientific innovation, multiculturalism, etc…that being said, the American school system doesn’t really cover Al-Andalus, the so-called Islamic Golden Age, and Muslim advancement of the frontier of knowledge.
The AI doesn’t need to be perfect - even if it makes an occasional error such as showing you a couch with flame retardants, you can spot that in the listing yourself. Most other qualities of a couch are very visible and you’ll be able to tell visually how good of a job the AI is doing.