Hacker News Reader

kmonadon Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan to make shots compulsory

groups of people who know just a little about a subject tend to cease questioning their reasoning, and a dunning kruger is born. groups of people with more knowledge tend to ask more questions before accepting a new position. therefore, a dunning kruger is born more frequently among the former group. however, migrating pesky dunning krugers then tend to persist in either group.

kmonadon Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan to make shots compulsory

however, in a hospital setting they are required, by government mandate.

kmonadon Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan to make shots compulsory

sadly, this is a pretty concise "nutshell".

kmonadon Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan to make shots compulsory

Selection can drive evolution, and in a vaccinated body there exist other selection pressures than in an unvaccinated body. Variants which may by chance be suited well to strive in a new environment need to arise first. This will happen only when replication occurs. The unvaccinated population is the major breeding ground for variants, not the other way around.

kmonadon Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan to make shots compulsory

I doubt your sincere participation in the argument unless you attempt to see differences between your scenarios.

kmonadon Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan to make shots compulsory

the vast majority of viral replications take place in susceptible infected bodies, i.e. predominantly those of unvaccinated individuals. variants, therefore, mostly arise among unvaccinated. sometimes, by chance, a variant then may emerge that is able to evade some of the vaccine induced immunity. unvaccinated individuals therefore represent a source of escape variants, and therefore jeopardize the success of vaccine campaigns.

kmonadon Germany locks down unvaccinated people, as leaders plan to make shots compulsory

maybe try once more, focussing on the differences rather than the similarities between the two scenarios.

kmonadon You’ve Never Seen the Opioid Crisis Like This Before: A Review of Empire of Pain

it is the punchline at the end of the article. i found it confusing though, and to be honest, lurid---the article deals with the Sackler family, their greed, lies and ambition.

kmonadon You’ve Never Seen the Opioid Crisis Like This Before: A Review of Empire of Pain

> But more importantly, read this book if you want to understand how profit in medicine corrupts medical professionals to the point that they can become perfectly willing to kill their patients, for the right price

This last sentence seems disjoint from the bulk of the article, which singles out the family's guilt, how they dodged and lied to the FDA etc. Who are those murderous medical professionals, or does this refer to the MDs of the family?

kmonadon Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

+56% vs the S&P's +36%. This does not look "suspicious", from a purely statistical point of view.

kmonadon EE to reintroduce data roaming charges in Europe, following Brexit

Despite so much valid criticism about its inefficiencies, intransparencies, infighting, etc---in the grand scheme of things the EU really seems one of best governmental institutions for the "common people". At least relative to comparable institutions, it appears driven by an intention to do some good. Maybe I am wrong and it's not better, and maybe that's due to my media bias (though I try to read across different sources). However, the vaccine purchasing process, where despite the screw-ups, the EU showed a consideration for global affairs and global cooperation (unlike the US or the UK), or during Brexit, or indeed in the form of the many privacy protection, customer protection, xyz protection rules, the overall outcome of the EU's activities make me genuinely feel as if the people were playing an important part in their considerations.

kmonadon Exercise generates immune cells in bone

Why are immune / stem cell papers usually analyzing the %-ages of cells? To effect a physiological change, the total number of cells ought to matter more than their ratios. Are the totals constant (I do not believe so)?

kmonadon Facebook is pushing back on Apple’s new iPhone privacy rules

"This discouragement, this is going to have a real impact on the Internet as we know it, which is increasingly going to move to a paid experience, which again, benefits Apple's bottom line," Satterfield said.

The hypocrisy and dishonesty of this statement! Nothing comes from the new consent requirements that directly stop you from keeping your app free. Can't do it because commercially not viable? Well then, how much are users paying you right now?

kmonadon Chemicals in plastics damage babies' brains and must be banned immediately

The odds ratios should be reported because they are striking. They should also be accompanied by probabilities, nevertheless. I do not think this is an issue of counterbalancing, what would that even imply?

kmonadon Chemicals in plastics damage babies' brains and must be banned immediately

In articles where such emotional topics, e.g. the health of your baby, are discussed, I think it would be especially important to improve the reporting of statistics. Here, a scary sounding odds ratio is mentioned (children of mothers with high urine values of the plastic softeners had three times the odds to develop ADHD). Because it is directed at the general public, it seems important to also report the estimated probabilities, which are likely low for both groups of mothers. I'm not saying this because I have any form of beliefs regarding the chemicals in question, which sound awful. But I do know from experience that few people are parsing odds ratios differently from probabilities, which seems important. For both of these reasons, this should be part of the job of authors/journalists.

kmonadon AstraZeneca/EU contract

> I didn't foresee a desparate EU attacking a UK just going about it's own business.

That's imo a narrative from AZ pitting EU against UK, fueled by a susceptible UK media. US articles on this appear a little more measured. Is the EU attacking the UK? I think they are attacking AZ. It is an utter shame how this is turning political, and there are no excuses for the debacle wrt N. Ireland.

Having said this, as I wrote in a different comment, the way I currently understand the situation is that EU demands AZ proportionally reduce fulfillment of orders given their production problems. AZ would thus have to also breach their contract with UK on top of the breach of contract with the EU. AZ pushes the "first come first serve" logic of UK having ordered 3 months sooner, and the UK media, also the left leaning outlets, know that their readers are starved for some news that at least SOMETHING worked in the UK after the recent mess and gobble this narrative up. I don't know if the logic of who orders first gets deliveries first applies in these kind of contracts (IANAL), but I suspect it does not. If it does not, the EU seems to demand something from AZ that they want to avoid, but not attack the UK.

I find it extremely hard to navigate the media on this as it is a disgraceful, loaded, dishonest, political shouting match. Instead it should all be about how to best combat the pandemic of course.

kmonadon AstraZeneca/EU contract

Not sure I understand your second sentence, it might be saying what I am about to write. From reading several articles on the issue, the EU seems to demand that the slow-down in production be shared equally across orders. This puts AZ in a pickle: it would then mean they are not only breach of contract with the EU but also UK. Hence, they publicly reiterate the "first come first serve" argument which resonates well in the UK media and rallies support (I think AZ is pitting EU against UK in all of this). I do not believe the "first come first serve" principle is how supply chains like this usually work though. Totally not my field of expertise, but hearsay from some friends working in supply chain management.

kmonadon u/DeepFuckingValue and the GameStop Reddit mania

I feel that I learnt something from this twitter thread.

https://twitter.com/KralcTrebor/status/1354952686165225478

kmonadon Amazon, Apple and Google Cut Off Parler

The internet from the 2000s is not what the internet is now, and I cannot see any "fearmongering" (a loaded word these days) in the previous comment.

Your reply is not addressing the main point: that P believes there ought to be limits to free speech (imo also a completely obvious conclusion). P provides simple "Ad absurdum" examples for why that is. In you stating that kids are "brainwashed" elsewhere too is just engaging in whataboutism.

Can you explain why you think there is sufficient additional value in completely---absurdly so---free speech (as per P's scenarios, for example) over limiting obviously dangerous and detrimental speech? Obviously the crux lies in drawing the required boundary, which is the job of an educated society as a whole and might be in flux with the times.

kmonadon Blockchain takes us back to medieval times

Can you be more specific? What's your worry. I have never seen outline before and am fairly happy with what it appears to be doing (strip articles off of rubbish autoplay videos/unrelated images/links to other articles I am not interested in). Did you analyze what they are collecting/have evidence they alter the cleaned text?

kmonadon Blockchain takes us back to medieval times

This seems fantastic! I feel old and grumpy when I get angry at all the rubbish news website intersperse articles with. This seems a great solution.

kmonadon Penn Jillette fasts 23 hours a day to maintain his 100lb weight loss

I actually provided the context. It's just a silly thing to say, what ever the context.

kmonadon Penn Jillette fasts 23 hours a day to maintain his 100lb weight loss

> All diet is habit. We have the disadvantage of being born in a very rich country with food everywhere. And changing your eating desires takes years.

Yeah, very tough. I mean intermittent fasting is probably a great choice to improve health (even for people with normal weight). Calling being born in the US a "disadvantage" because there's too much food and wealth reads shrill.

kmonadon Show HN: Uranus – Memo and Task App

this looks a bit like an overweight but under-featured orgmode. but i might be missing something?

kmonadon Estimating Value of Facebook by Paying Users to Stop Using It

At 100$ median valuation, wouldn't that mean that facebook's value is inflated (the article states ~250$ per user)?

kmonadon UCLA asked faculty to consider declining to review for Elsevier journals

There are now also more and more established PIs who do not publish in the "usual suspects" journals any longer. That's all well and good for them. However, it does not work out for the grad students and postdocs.

The way to remove the advantage high impact journals still leverage could instead indeed be achieved by not reviewing for them if you are an eminent figure in your field. If these journals cannot claim to publish "the best science" and highest quality any longer, then what's left? This seems the right, and maybe the only real way that single established researchers can directly work towards a (r)evolution of the publishing system. What that would become remains to be seen, of course.

kmonadon Amazon Selects New York City and Northern Virginia for New Headquarters

I might be wrong, but are you suggesting getting to LGA from LIC is ...inconvenient? I think in all of NY there is no relationship between neighborhood and airport that would be better? Not sure about public transport since I would think everybody would take a lyft/uber/taxi from LIC to LGA. It's 10min and cheap.

kmonadon LEGO built a life-size, drivable Bugatti from over a million Technic pieces

a much fairer and better response than the snarky current top comment. who'd deny this is amazing?

kmonadon Introducing plotly.py 3.0.0

Thanks - that solved it! Works great now.

kmonadon Introducing plotly.py 3.0.0

3.0.0 introduces a new Jupyter widget class: plotly.graph_objs.FigureWidget

For me, it doesn't. Every time I am tempted to use plotly I find it is either not working well with jupyter offline environments (a must for the data I am working with) or random bits an pieces from some official tutorial don't work.

Right now I have tried to follow the simple example that claims Jupyter. plotly.offline.init_notebook_mode and plotly.offline.iplot are no longer necessary -- which would be amazing. But when I try this, confirming I am indeed using plotly 3.0,

  plotly.graph_objs

has no

  FigureWidget

Maybe I am missing something obvious here. And I really would like to like this, but to me it's been a time sink more than a useful module.

Edit: hn formatting