We've professionalized industries like engineering and medicine because incompetent practitioners are a threat to public health and safety. Software is now in everything and incompetent practitioners have been a threat to public health and safety for a long time now yet we do nothing about it.
Anecdote but recently chatgpt has been giving way too many factually incorrect answers to tech related questions and Gemini has been getting them right.
Last I checked the AI models still used the same initial conditions used in models like the GFS and ECMWF which is a combination of a previous forecast adjusted with observations.
I dont get why so many people want to drop calculus from computer science curriculum. Calculus is necessary for basic science and math literacy. People act like it's graduate level math and not something easily learned by any somewhat studious high schooler. 4 year CS programs are supposed to give you an education which is a foundation for wherever your career takes you not teach you to be a create-react-app code monkey for life. What if you come across the need or desire to do anything related to science or engineering?
Is this why all the coding AI products I've used have gotten worse as the developers fine tune them to eliminate bad output? Before there was bad output and some interesting output, now it's just bland obvious stuff.
People might think you're being hyperbolic about the alfalfa but you are not. 25% of Colorado River water is used to grow alfalfa which is crazy given the contention around Colorado River water rights.
I could have (should have) bought a house before the pandemic but I wasnt quite ready yet. Now housing affordability is so bad I have to save multiple hundreds of thousands more dollars to afford the same house in 2019. That's on top of all my other expenses like rent also skyrocketing. I make more money than ever and am probably close to my peak earnings yet I feel poorer than ever.
You're gonna be seeing articles like this more and more the closer we get to the election. The economy is the top issue this election because despite the image the current administration is trying to paint, people are hurting. I dont know how effective telling people GDP and average wealth is up is going to be when they see they have less money leftover after paying more and more for housing and groceries.
There are two economies. People who got on the housing ladder before the rate increases after the huge jump in home prices and everybody else. The first group is doing great, the other group is screwed. Once again we've pulled the ladder on young people.
TA's can say things like "I dont know, lets figure it out together". LLMs will spit out false information as easily and confidently as true information.
K shaped economy. You're talking about your stock portfolio so you're in the top part. Perhaps you should get out of your bubble some time and see how the other half live.
I've seen multiple administrations try to make the numbers seem better than they are but this administration has gone fully into gaslight mode. It's going to get a lot worse going into the election too. You're going to see articles like this daily. Whatever numbers the government is publishing do not reflect the experiences of the citizens.
Housing is more unaffordable than it has possibly ever been.
Grocery prices have skyrocketed.
Several of the big jobs reports were actually all part time or government jobs. Full time private employment was flat or down.
Yes it popped with the first big wave of post-covid layoffs but somehow word hasnt gotten out to the general public. When the most common career advice was to find a new job every 6 months and ask for 20% more money and companies were hiring anybody with a pulse a few years ago I dont know how people did not see that bubble. It was so painfully obvious.
That's what the cheaters are doing. It's a cat and mouse game and it's hard to detect cheats that are running in kernel space when your anti-cheat is running in user space.
Usually when something's value and limitations has been proven people stop referring to it as AI. AI is used as a marketing term to generate hype for new thing.
You just generalized an entire community based on one person. I can add a counter anecdote to your N=1. I'm a Clojure dev. I've used and enjoyed Datomic. Postgres is still my goto database.
You make claims of massive improvements but as an end user I have not experienced such. With the amount of fake and cherrypicked demos in the AI space I dont believe anything until I experience it myself.
>Ironically, Waymo's self-driving taxis were launched in several cities in 2023. Does this count?
No because usage is limited to a tiny fraction of drive-able space. More cherrypicking.
You are extrapolating from when we saw huge improvements 1-2 years ago. Performance improvements have flatlined. Current AI predictions reminds me of self-driving car hype from the mid 2010s
I wonder if AI tools is going to kill editor diversity. Every one of these tools VS Code is the first class citizen and other editors are an afterthought. Sure people can write their own Emacs package but that's only if the tool developers enable it and the experience is usually not as good as the official VS Code version. I can also see the future where not using VS Code is a signal you are less reliant on AI tools to code
>they've gone from barely stringing together a TODO app to structuring and executing large-scale changes in entire repositories in 3 years
First they are definitely not currently as capable as you say. Second there is a misconception that the rise of LLMs has been exponential but the curve is really logistic and we've hit the flat tail hard imo. Where is ChatGPT5? All the Coding AI tools I've tried like Copilot either havent gotten better since release or seemingly gotten worse as they try to fine tune them. Third there is ton more to being a software engineer than writing ReactTodoAppMVCDemo which many responses have been talking about.
I had the thought there are gonna be some people on these drugs who will still find a way to have bad diets that keeps them fat and unhealthy. Since they have less appetite instead of a sandwich and a milkshake they will skip to the milkshake only.
The real problem this guy is encountering is making interactive applications for a web browser is hammering a square peg through a round hole at its core. That's why performance is bad, that's why there is a new framework every other week trying to find a better workflow with better abstractions. There is so much inertia, such a huge ecosystem, many billions of dollars invested in it trying to make it less bad so it's not going away.
Because people are throwing a lot money into the rent black hole and even a little equity is an improvement over that and mortgage interest tax deduction can be huge