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looping__luion FAA seeks public input on drone operations

I directly quoted his statement. Are you like his trolling friend? He literally wrote: “balloons are a risk, not UAVs”

looping__luion FAA seeks public input on drone operations

I 100% agree with you.

looping__luion FAA seeks public input on drone operations

No fixed wing pilot I know would ever state and claim that hot air balloons are a risk.

Claiming that “balloons are a risk, not UAVs” is almost so bizarre that I mentally flag your posts as trolling.

Giving UAVs the right of way is bogus and will cost many human lives in General Aviation. There are already countless accidents reported with UAVs nearly taking down planes. They are impossible to see.

Edit: Your comment almost sounds like out of some bad communication workbook for lobbyists from the 70s - “pedestrians are the real danger on the street, cars are safe. Jay walking needs to be punished severely” ; “Public transportation is a communist idea threatening the very ideals of our society - every person should instead buy his OWN car”. Man, Balloons are the neatest and most harmless most easy to avoid objects in the sky. Don’t try to make them look bad. Everyone loves em.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/content/dam/ise/de/documents/p...

Page 25 (page number not PDF page) They also have some comprehensive tools for simulation - but I’m a bit too lazy to dig up all the explanation.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

The Fraunhofer acknowledges in their simulations that doubling gas by 100% and having 100% covered by gas plants is necessary. That is if we double the renewables and install 500-600% of the required capacity by 2030.

You cannot run Germany solely on renewables. It has one of the highest carbon footprints per kWh in Europe and will continue to have twice the carbon footprint of France by 2030 IF all the expansion plans for renewables work out.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

Not sure I understand what you are getting at. Electricity prices in Germany are 45+ cents/kWh.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

? So, instead you propose the German strategy to restart coal and double gas capacity to achieve 140 g/kWh of carbon emissions by 2030 (e.g., twice of France)?

So restarting coal plants in Germany is wise in comparison?

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

And that happens in Germany exactly how often?

Relate that to the 400g/kWh of carbon emissions coal produces or the radioactive fallout from coal plants.

I prefer a nuclear power plant to the coal plants that smog up my air and pollute everything around the Rhine area.

In Japan majority is supporting it again and the articles don’t read like nuclear is on the decline in Japan these days: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2023/03/06/national/nuclea...

“ Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is one of several world leaders aiming to ramp up the use of nuclear power, with plans to restart more reactors that have been standing idle since the Fukushima crisis.”

So I think what you state is wrong!?

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

“Dunkelflaute” (weeks without PV or wind) in Germany are a reality: https://amp.zdf.de/nachrichten/zdfheute-live/dunkelflaute-wi...

Fraunhofer is a leading (independent) research institute: https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/daten-zu-erneuerbaren-energ...

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

https://amp.zdf.de/nachrichten/zdfheute-live/dunkelflaute-wi...

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

Inflexible like PV or wind? Or what do you mean exactly?

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

Fraunhofer provisions 100% fossil because your industry needs juice when there aint no wind or sun…

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

This hand-wavy thinking can and will cause shifts in wealth, prosperity and future of Germany and Europe. Ignoring it or feeling good about it won’t change reality very much like the central banks “laissez faire print money” led to (unavoidable yet very predictable) inflation putting individuals, families, companies and countries in a pretty delicate situation.

Ideology doesn’t replace reality.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

> I would think that the region where I live (north Germany) could be driven two-three times with renewable energy.

I suspect not a very economically strong region then?

> Given that nuclear energy will be slow and extremely expensive to build, we'll better look for alternatives sooner than later. Plus: spent fuel storage / reprocessing costs how much for what option? We have nuclear power since the 50s, but dealing with nuclear waste is still largely unsolved.

It’s pick your poison: that or global warming. Japan and Korea are ramping up their nuclear power; Korea gets em up and running in 2 years…

> That's fine. We'll see more people doing it and we'll see many GWh distributed storage capacity added over the next years

PVs are horrible for grids to handle and for every installed PV we also need to have the gas equivalent if PV doesn’t deliver. If we are really optimistic and assume we would only need to cover 3 days we probably need around 3600 GWh or storage which is equal to 12 million tons of batteries assuming 300 Wh per kg of battery (if I got the math right on my phone).

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

And yet we import nuclear electricity when the sun doesn’t shine or there is no wind in Germany…

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

If you want to achieve a meaningful coverage with renewables, you need to install excessive capacity (e.g., imagine 5-6x the required capacity) AND install 100% in coal/gas/nuclear. Thats pretty expensive and pretty wasteful in terms of resources. Even with twice the renewables (and twice the gas capacity due to phasing out of coal and nuclear), we will emit twice the carbon emissions of France (today) in 2030.

“Flexible grid and storage” are just nonsense that is thrown in to mask the ugly truth: 1) Deindustrialization, 2) Global Warming or 3) Going Nuclear.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

Wishful thinking that is not backed up by any modeling or research.

Our industry would probably disagree that “base load is a concept of the past”.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

Renewables are not an option to rely on entirely with an industrialized nation consuming a lot of electricity 24/7. They look financially attractive if storage and grid flexibility aren’t factored in.

Full disclosure: I deliver more electricity to the grid with my PV than I consume.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

Only they don’t exist and it ain’t viable… You want to run a steel mill or a chemical plant on batteries? Lol. How much battery would you need to sustain Germany 3-4 days?

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

You have three choices: 1) Deindustrialisation 2) Renewables with gas & coal and a high carbon footprint 3) Renewables and nuclear

Decentralization, flexible grid, local storage are as viable and realistic as “cold fusion” for Germany as of today. You underestimate the tremendous need for electricity the industry has.

So, realistically: either you chose global warming or nuclear power.

looping__luion Germany’s solar power generation hit record high at weekend

According to the Fraunhofer, German’s carbon footprint will be approx. 140 g CO2/kWh by 2030 (twice of France TODAY) if we manage to double renewables AND gas. The German electric grid cannot rely on renewables alone and we will have installed about 5-6x the peak capacity in renewables and the peak capacity in gas by 2030 in the best case. Germans CO2 emissions in the electricity sector are crazy.

looping__luion Germany Falls into Recession

Lol.

looping__luion The False Promise of Imitating Proprietary LLMs

Well, they probably can since you give them consent to keep your hair when you leave the shop… Disposing it would otherwise be considered theft, no?

looping__luion The False Promise of Imitating Proprietary LLMs

They are transforming physical objects very much the same way a carpenter does. The service industry is not equal to Tech / digital. A hairdresser does not create Bits or data. I would also argue in this particular case you are wrong. You hand over the hair on the ground to them which they then dispose or maybe resell (maybe without explicit consent but at least implicit). If that wasn’t the case they would commit theft when they dispose your hair…

looping__luion The False Promise of Imitating Proprietary LLMs

By that logic, you also need to accept that no one should ever need to pay you for creating artifacts that are not bound to the physical world solely. I assume you work for free for your employer or in a space that is not “dealing” with data, information, bits, whatsoever.

looping__luion Germany Falls into Recession

So you would have bet the future of an entire industry in the German governments ability to actually get the electric grid ready for everyone moving to EV?

looping__luion Germany Falls into Recession

Plus there is no infrastructure to actually charge them. Plus our electric grids do not support millions of electric vehicles. Plus, you may realize that in Germany we emit a sh*t-ton of carbon dioxide for generating electricity that ball-park wise you may only save about 25% compared to a regular car (e.g., 25% charging losses, 400 g/kWh carbon dioxide intensity in Germany,…)

looping__luion Germany Falls into Recession

All optimistic modeling (e.g., by the Fraunhofer) that will “show us the path to green electricity” assume that we will double the capacity for gas by 2030 or so in order to have a backup if solar and wind are not available to sustain the required load.

We will need to build up 5x of the required peak capacity with renewables in Germany per Fraunhofer.

After we have installed about 6x (!) of our peak capacity in renewables and gas, we will still emit about 150g/kWh on average of CO2 - which is more than twice of France.

This is so ridiculous. Electricity prices will increase insanely - e.g., installing 600% of the required capacity isn’t exactly resourceful. But that isn’t what matters here: it’s ideology we are after, right? Having the right ideology.

looping__luion Pinball is booming in America

How old are these kids today roughly? :-)

looping__luion Airbnb is making life hell for young renters in tourist hotspots

So, to your point, this law of capping rents would then incentivize landlords to keep rental units vacant? Wow, sounds like exactly the kind of effect one can expect from laws suggested by Red-Red-Green in Berlin that lack any common sense or basic understanding of markets.