master_crab

Yes, sorry. I meant it more as a descriptor of how many tokens it consumes. You are still stuck burning money.

Tool calls (particularly fetching for context) eats the context window heavily. I explicitly send MCP calls to sub agents because they are so “wordy”.

No flag is rare because that immediately opens them to anti-piracy.

But coming back to my original point: it isn’t America’s determination that a registration is fraudulent. It is the flag state’s.

In the past it had less to do with seizing the vessels and more to do with keeping financial flows between organizations offering shipping services and oil hidden from the banking system. America could have easily seized any ship they wanted to during the sanctions over the past decade. They didnt because the sanctions are American constructs: they dont apply on the open seas where UNCLOS matters. America can still seize them, but the legality is murky and comes with a reputational cost.

Now with Hormuz closed, America needs every last oil barrel moving so the economy doesn’t grind to a halt. Remember, it’s a war of choice for the US. We don’t need Iran gone as much as we want low oil prices.

Oh this is a good article. Thanks for that.

Towards the bottom they list some satellite imagery and a statement indicating they are possibly using the taxiways as parking.

Still leaves open the question of who might have been injured and where, but at least answers how the Iranians could have possibly hit a taxiing plane — they didn’t.

I’m not an AF vet so I don’t have an idea, but what’s the over-under that the US injuries were the crew trying to get the plane ready to fly after the alert came in? I think the number of injuries lines up closely with expected crew compliment.

The Oklahoman and Jerusalem Post are also reporting it was a total write off.

Also adding: the spike in 2008 was transient and partially juiced by a weak dollar. Unfortunately, we will probably get no respite this time around.

At the current geopolitical trajectory, I also doubt $147 is anywhere near the limit of where oil is going.

I got what you were saying. I read it the same way. I’m sorry for your loss.

No one leaves this planet alive, and the best you can hope for is that the majority of your time is spent relatively healthy and independent.

I don’t disagree with any of your assessments, but I don’t know if it’s a bigger mistake than Iraq…yet. That war was a 10 year (longer if you bc point ISIS) debacle that cost trillions.

Let’s wait a few years before saying this mistake is bigger first.

However, one point that I agree with that might lead to this war being worse: the Gulf are showing some serious buyers remorse with sticking in the US orbit. Both the uselessness of America’s strategy and the almost clear prejudice Trump shows towards the Arabs vs Israel in the decision tree of this conflict is unsettling for the Gulf states.

Good write up. Not to mention the other big HR constraints on DoD engineers: they almost always have to be a “US person.”

Anyone who gets a CAC working on a personal computer deals with this all too much. The root certs DoD uses are not part of the public trusted sources that commonly come installed in browsers.

I haven’t touched a Palantir system since 2008 (and I still feel dirty) so I’m not the most read up on this: but Maven is just the harness or workflow tool. It still needs an LLM to evaluate data, and they used Anthropic for the kickoff of this war.

They made everyone more productive. But that also means everyone has to do more to keep up with said productivity.

Yes, this has been the gradual evolution of AI context and tooling. Same thing is occurring with some of the use cases of a vector DB and RAG. Once you can have the agent interact with the already existing conventional data store using existing queries, there is no point in introducing that work flow for inference.

They are referring to the current crop of brimstone evangelists that used their pulpit to push their extremism to great political effect. Jerry Falwell was one of the pioneers.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_Majority

In a similar vein if anyone thinks this is an incorrect viewpoint (it’s not):

For every combat soldier in the Pacific Theater in WWII there were roughly 4.3 support soldiers. I don’t think anyone questions the fact you needed all those people for support and not direct action.

No. I would choose a group that has been suffering from genocide in one area, and ethnic cleansing in many others. Not a hundred years ago. Not 75 years ago. Today, in the here and now.

We can go back and forth on this however many times you want. The issue I am raising is that all three religions are dangerous when used to justify murderous goals. You unfortunately are hung up on the idea that a religion is less bad or more bad than the others.

That is an irrational foundation for me to spend any more time debating against.

Correct that there was no Iraq generation because there was no draft and numbers were way smaller. Vietnam had over half a million troops at the height of that war. Iraq had under 170k.

But the war was still deeply unpopular. There is a reason America did the extraordinary - to that point - and elect its first black president.

The economic toll will be greater with these wars than Vietnam.

Staying hands on matters.

I think it also matters how you stay hands on.

Initially, I was in the weeds quite often with my engineers. Over the years I’ve learned to maintain side projects that directionally follow what my teams are doing. It gives me some dispassionate separation and a unique look at things that my engineers appreciate.

Pretty sure Palestinians would take issue with your opinion on that. And that’s not even considering historical records and precedent of any of those religions.

Bashing one monotheistic religion while trying to contort logic around supporting the others is a fruitless endeavor.

Nowhere in the passage is it saying that. Merely that A, B, and C are the same and their difference play less of role in society than we think.

Radical Christians are no different from radical Muslims who are no different than radical Jews.

Most of these arguments on the effect of different religions tend to be a bit silly. Islam is much more related to Christianity and Judaism than either of those two are to each other.

Language, cultural history, and geography tend to play a bigger role on society than the monotheistic religions do.

You’re conflating good faith and acceding to the US’s new demands based on past behavior.

That’s not how life works.

If someone takes the first underhanded step, it’s not on the victim to make amends. Iran got burned on JCPOA. Whether we like them or not, you have to address that first before moving on to meaningful talks.

No they weren’t. Trump cancelled the previous treaty and then wanted a new agreement more favorable to the US than JCPOA.

I don’t like the mullah’s in Iran anymore than the next person but no reasonable and sane person would take that to mean “negotiating in good faith.”

Share price of Netflix jumped 10% after the news broke. Pretty sure shareholders will see a lot of upside.

Well, Netflix did succeed at making the Ellisons pay a large fortune for something that costs a small fortune.

And it’s still private. So no proper price finding has occurred yet.

It’s also odd, because usually, as long as you don’t lie on your security form, you’ll get your clearance.

The coverup is always worse than the original sin.