98 karma · joined July 20, 2023
"Every few decades an unknown author brings out a book of such depth, clarity, range, wit, beauty and originality that it is recognised at once as a major literary event. This is such a work."
Nevertheless, Infinity and the Mind: The Science and Philosophy of the Infinite by Rudy Rucker is, in my opinion, a better choice for the mathematically inclined layman interested in Goedel's discoveries and plenty of related mathematics. Rucker's book even includes an account of his (somewhat over-enfusive) meeting with the great man.
Case 2: Suppose there are n doors and Monty knows what is behind every one of the doors. You choose one door at random. Monty deliberately opens (n-2) of the remaining doors from the left to right, skipping the door with the car. Then he asks you if you want to switch. Should you switch or not?
Whether n=3 or n=100, it seems to me that it does not matter whether Monty Hall has complete knowledge or zero knowledge of the location of the car. You are required to make a choice under the condition where there is only one other unopened door and all the other doors did not reveal a car. The player's original choice was correct with probability 1/n and the probability of the complementary event must be (n-1)/n. The player's strategy of switching will result in a win with probability of (n-1)/n.
Skepticism and consensus are conflicting concepts. Consensus has no place in science as method of determining truth. You cannot form a scientific conclusion based on socially or politically manufactured consent.
Never has this been more clearly demonstrated than during and after the recent Coronavirus panic. Facts were ignored, or even suppressed, "settled science" and "scientific consensus" were used as weapons to silence dissenters, by trashing their reputations, or threatening their jobs.
We are living in an age of Cargo Cult Science. Richard Feynman must be rolling in his grave.
The ability to give credit is something of which Steven Wolfram is in very short supply!
Never mind Wolfram's obvious debt to John Conway, John von Neumann and Alan Turing, among many.
From an interview with Steven Wolfram (FT.com, 11 April 2003. "Lunch with the FT: Stephen Wolfram" by Simon London):
Does he have any heroes, I ask, anyone in science whose work he really
admires?
The question is met with a long pause.
"I think Alan Turing would have discovered a lot of the things I have
discovered if he had lived another 20 years. He was pointed very much in
the same direction."
A hero?
"The more you learn about these people the more difficult it is to idolise
them. Turing was much more of a hacker than I am. He liked putzing around
with things in a way that is somewhat different from my interests."
How about (John) von Neumann, then?
"I'm sure I would have greatly enjoyed meeting him. He was a smart man. But
I would say he fundamentally missed deeper points in a whole series of areas
in his haste to figure things out faster than other people. It was almost
like science as a competitive sport. He skated too quickly over many areas."
Isaac Newton is summarised as "an able man who did interesting work", while
Charles Darwin "had the good feature of living basically a happy, quiet
life" although "the core of what he did is better than some of the
bandwagons he let himself climb on to".
Any living scientist he especially admires? I suggest Stephen Hawking, the
Cambridge astrophysicist, or Benoit Mandelbrot, whose work on fractals seems
adjacent to Wolfram's own interests in complexity.
Again, the reply is careful and considered.
"Hawking I view as a fascinating personal study but as a scientist...well,
I suppose he has done some decent-quality stuff. Benoit Mandelbrot I know
quite well and some of his work is quite important. In fact, I am one of
his bigger promoters. I'm just not sure he has completely internalised
quite how important it is."I admit I did get a little caught up in Musk's web of hype in the early days but fortunately my natural scepticism was strong enough to resist him. Eventually, I found a few detailed analyses of some of his technological fantasies which convinced me that some of what he proposes will not be happening any time soon, if ever.
I am by no means an Elon Musk hater but he does speak a lot of nonsense, from time to time, and he seems to be able to persuade many to abandon their scientific scepticism.
I was persuaded by what Common Sense Sceptic says about some of Elon Musk's plans: <https://www.youtube.com/@commonsenseskeptic>, even though he is clearly biased against Elon Musk.
I am convinced that
1. A city-to-city Starship shuttle passenger service will never happen.
2. A self-sustaining colony on Mars will not happen in the foreseeable future.
I have strong doubts about other SpaceX and Tesla claims by Elon Musk, but these two events I would actually bet on.
Someone here mentioned the TV series "Billions" which is my guilty pleasure. The stories are so absurd but the great cast manages to carry it off successfully. The only criticism I would make is that, although the show is ostensibly about a hedge fund manager, it seems to contain almost zero actual finance or game theory stuff. The only occasion, that I can recall, when finance enters the plot in a semi-serious way is the episode "Short Squeeze", which was one of my favourite episodes.
From the Guardian 30 July 2023: <https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jul/30/uk-banks-cl...>:
"Farage used a subject access request to discover that, despite initial denials by NatWest subsidiary Coutts, his political views had played a part in the closure of his account."
FYI I bought Axler's book (3rd edition).
That would probably be Gilbert Strang.
While, as a maths person I would prefer a bit more rigour, his choice of topics and his teaching skill make his the most outstanding introductory course I have seen.
I would run a mile from any course that disrespects determinants. And that includes Axler's!
Also I wish more Linear Algebra courses would cover Generalized Inverses.
Alchemy was not stupid in the 17th century. You have the benefit of three centuries of subsequent scientific advances, to which geniuses like Isaac Newton, and those other smart people, contributed significantly.
Besides alchemy, Newton was deeply immersed in various occult studies. He was also a heretic, being a Unitarian, keeping his religious beliefs secret. Scientific research occupied only a part of his time. The seventeenth century was a time of religious and political turmoil, millenarianism and apocalyptic prophecy abounded. Newton was a man of his time.
So relieved to learn that I am not the only one!
"vos Savant herself was flooded by a surge of disbelief. She received more than 10,000 letters from readers of her column, the vast majority of whom were absolutely convinced that she was wrong. Among them were many PhDs and a strikingly large number of mathematicians. One understanding mathematician kindly offered vos Savant some comforting words: “You made a mistake, but look at the positive side. If all those PhDs were wrong, the country would be in some very serious trouble.”"
Another good book at a more advanced level is this one: "Regression and Other Stories" by Andrew Gelman and Jennifer Hill <http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/arm/>.
Another good book at an even more advanced level is this one: "Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models" by Andrew Gelman and Jennifer Hill <http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/arm/>.
These books are all very polished productions. What make makes them special is that they emphasis teaching the statistical way of thinking.