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mbil

1,603 karma · joined October 21, 2014

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mbil··on A bear case: My predictions regarding AI progress
I agree with you. I recently wrote up my perspective here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43308912
mbil··on Woman who had pioneering cancer treatment 18 years ago still in remission
I wonder if they could do two phases. Like first engineer T cells that mark the target cell but don’t kill it. And then, if the marked cells are sufficiently scoped to cancer cells, use the same targeting mechanism for cancer-destroying T cells.
mbil··on Will AI take web developer jobs?
IMO, if the company knows how to leverage them, yes. They’ll be the ones bringing online fleets of “junior dev” software agents, connecting them to telemetry and evaluation systems, maintaining subsystems in various states of modernity, interfacing between stakeholders and systems, and being a responsible party for the bosses. A lot of that isn’t too different from the role today, except they’ll be more impactful, produce more value, and have more time for the deep reflection that generates insight and invention.
mbil··on Daily omega-3 fatty acids may help human organs stay young
And algal oil supplements
mbil··on Framework for Artificial Intelligence Diffusion
Not to mention how much paper it would take to print 500B weights
mbil··on Veo 2: Our video generation model
You and your friends gather around the TV to watch a video about the time that you all traveled abroad and met a mysterious stranger. In the film, you witness each other take incredible risks, have intimate private conversations, and change in profound ways. Of course none of it actually happened; your voices and likenesses were fed into the movie generator. And did I mention in the film you’re driving expensive cars and wearing designer clothes?
mbil··on Bitcoin is over $100k
Agriculture and real estate would not exist in their current forms without the mammoth apparatus of the entire economy surrounding them. Maybe you mean food and shelter are the only non-bull parts of the economy. Nomadic bands might find them bullshittish. And grain stores require soldiers to guard them, soldiers require weapons, weapons require metallurgy, mining, surveying, transport, etc. Pretty soon there’s a whole lot of something but I don’t know that it’s bullshit. It feels more like layers of increasing abstraction away from the source of the value: energy.
mbil··on Undergraduates with family income below $200k will be tuition-free at MIT
Just want to point out that Philadelphia’s homicide count is down ~40% from last year. And Penn’s “haven” looks similar to the other affluent commercial corridors throughout the city.
mbil··on The Bluesky firehose viewed in the style of a Windows XP screensaver
This crashes my Safari browser on iOS.
mbil··on Show HN: Draw.Audio – A musical sketchpad using the Web Audio API
Good idea, I made some improvements like that.

https://matthewbilyeu.com/tone-of-life.html?saved=AAAAAAAACB...

mbil··on Show HN: Draw.Audio – A musical sketchpad using the Web Audio API
Nice. This made me think of Conway's Game of Life so I made a little mashup of a tone matrix with GoL. https://matthewbilyeu.com/tone-of-life.html
mbil··on 79 Percent of CEOs Say Remote Work Will Be Dead in 3 Years or Less
If a sad day comes where they put me back in an office I’ll spend a lot of time planning my escape
mbil··on Does Reasoning Emerge? Probabilities of Causation in Large Language Models
I might expect some extra-semantic cognitive faculties to emerge from LLMs, or at least be approximated by LLMs. Let me try to explain why. One example of extra-semantic ability is spatial reasoning. I can point to a spot on the ground and my dog will walk over to it — he’s probably not using semantic processing to talk through his relationship with the ground, the distance of each pace, his velocity, etc. But could a robotic dog powered by an LLM use a linguistic or symbolic representation of spacial concepts and actions to translate semantic reasoning into spacial reasoning? Imagine sensors with a measurement to language translation layer (“kitchen is five feet in front of you”), and actuators that can be triggered with language (“move forward two feet”). It seems conceivable that a detailed enough representation of the world, expressive enough controls, and a powerful enough LLM could result in something that is akin to spacial reasoning (an extra-semantic process), while under the hood it’s “just” semantic understanding.
mbil··on International Study Detects Consciousness in Unresponsive Patients
Only tangentially related, but reminded me of this anecdote…

I know someone who was a nurse for many years. She told me that once she had a patient, a young man who had been comatose for months. Her and another nurse were changing the bedsheets when they accidentally dropped him, and his head smacked into the bed frame, quite hard. He immediately woke up from the coma.

mbil··on Ask HN: What Are You Working On? (August 2024)
One of the linked data sources (for Philadelphia trees) is http://phillytreemap.org/map/, which currently points to an odd online betting website...
mbil··on Four billion years in four minutes – Simulating worlds on the GPU
Thanks! For anyone who liked that here's another [0] short story in the same vein.

[0]: https://pastebin.com/raw/gA4aRc0T

mbil··on Vaping: A harm reduction tool or a public health concern? Experts weigh in
> Is that so hard to buy one and refill it?

There are a lot of decisions to make when buying a refillable vape. There are various models, they have compatible, disposable pods (the vape juice receptacle) with coils of various ohms resistance, and then juices which are either salt nic or free base with a range of nicotine concentrations.

One could go to a vape shop and have the clerk explain all of this, or spend a bit of time researching online. It's not especially hard, but it _is_ harder than just strolling to any corner store or gas station and asking for a disposable vape.

The e-waste of disposables is hard to stomach, especially some of the newer disposables that even have LCDs and buttons for playing little games on the vape.

mbil··on An abundance of Katherines: The game theory of baby naming
Had a number of sensible chuckles...

> Because this paper was written in 2024, we include an obligatory section involving generative AI and LLMs.

> Another ERA is the Mayfly Parenthood Assumption, in which all parents perish immediately upon naming their child, which makes the math substantially easier.

> It is well-known that parents are always in complete agreement over the name they would prefer to pick for their newborn child.

mbil··on Building a Pause Button for Biology
There’s also rip van winkle
mbil··on Claude 3.5 Sonnet
I haven’t had a great experience using GPT-4o for coding; it will sometimes make a mistake, fix the mistake introducing another mistake, then fix that second mistake repeating the first. Or other weird things like that. I love the text to speech, and image generation sometimes comes in handy, but ultimately I prefer Sonnet 3.5 for coding and have recently switched to that.

If OpenAI comes out with a stronger model I’ll prob switch back, I don’t have much brand loyalty in this regard. I could see some features making usage more sticky (memory, projects, etc).

mbil··on SoftBank's new AI makes angry customers sound calm on phone
I feel like this comment will receive some visceral reactions, but I wonder whether similar technology or even LLMs could be used in emergency dispatch in the future. There could be benefits in terms of accuracy, speed, information verification, etc. Not to mention it would spare some 911 operators of PTSD.
mbil··on σ-GPTs: A new approach to autoregressive models
And, maybe prohibitively slow, perhaps integrate some kind of linting or syntax checking as part of the rejection sampling. I.e. burst sample N potential generated snippets in parallel, reject those that are syntactically invalid.
mbil··on σ-GPTs: A new approach to autoregressive models
I wonder if this would help especially for computer code generation, where what is output at a given step may materially depend on what would be written at a later step.
mbil··on Show HN: ChatGPT UI for rabbit holes
This is great and something that I've wished existed. Thanks for making it! Right now, the tiles are linear. E.g. if tile A links to tiles B and C, clicking either B or C will open a new tile directly next to A (and only one of B or C is visible at a time). What do you think about making more of a tree layout where B and C both branch from A and can be viewed simultaneously?
mbil··on Cybercriminals pose as "helpful" Stack Overflow users to push malware
How about scrape SO to find new, popular questions; have an LLM write a convincing solution; tack on “you could also try pip install notmalware, which is much faster”; automatically post that poisoned answer.

Extra credit: have the infected user’s computer also start posting these answers to SO

mbil··on Frozen human brain tissue was successfully revived for the first time
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40214525
mbil··on Show HN: I made a Chrome extension to clean up your Gmail inbox locally
Looks useful. Just wondering, how did you make the overview video on the landing page?
mbil··on Show HN: MuscleWiki Workout Generator – Generate unique workouts
Cool app. For the dumbbell exercises could it recommend weight?
mbil··on Tell HN: Gpt2-chatbot is a mysterious and surprisngly strong LLM
dupe of https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40199715
mbil··on Neon Serverless Postgres is generally available
I'm on the free tier. In my case it looks like adding `app.config["SQLALCHEMY_ENGINE_OPTIONS"] = {"pool_pre_ping": True}` for the Flask-SQLAlchemy configuration did the trick. I hope to be a paying customer soon :)
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