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mdspanon More than 10% probability AI will wipe out humanity within ten years

How would you even begin to calculate a bound on something like this?

mdspanon Ask HN: Is September 8th AGI Day?

> Keep in mind that 1 (or less than 5) expert human mathematician (Grigori Perelman) out of 8 billion humans managed to solve 1 of the seven millennium prize problems which was the Poincaré conjecture.

8 billion is the wrong number to use in the denominator, since not every single person on Earth was actively trying to make progress in Navier-Stokes. Equivalently, we could say "1 out of every 5 billion AI prompts managed to solve 1 of the seven millennium prize problems".

mdspanon Stop making swap partitions—use swap files instead

Swap files are also much easier to set up than partitions if you're using full disk encryption.

mdspanon Ask HN: Where Is AGI?

The term's been diluted by marketing/hype slop to the point that it doesn't mean anything more.

mdspanon Does high chess accuracy mean someone is cheating?

Yeah, seems like there would be a lot of ways of doing it. The correlation would have to take into account how much time the player has on the clock as well.

mdspanon Does high chess accuracy mean someone is cheating?

Maybe it's implicit but I'm surprised they didn't mention move timing as one of the signals.

mdspanon Show HN: GET Together – A social network where you don't need POST to Post

Don't let OpenAI find out about this.

mdspanon Ask HN: Would you read a statistics textbook?

Having also studied statistics in university (undergrad), something I kept running into is that you can't really unlock the intuition for many concepts without taking more advanced courses. For example, degrees of freedom shows up as early as AP Statistics, but even a non-rigorous visual explanation of it leans on linear algebra, which most students don't see until much later.

I think more resources like seeing-theory would be great since stats books are almost universally dry (Blitzstein being a notable exception), but I'm not sure how easily more advanced concepts lend themselves to visual explanation in a way that's digestible for a non-stats person.

mdspanon AI, Tools and Transformation

I think "any apps" and probably "most apps" is too strong. It wouldn't be very productive to hand-roll your own filesystem, browser, cryptographic library, etc. At some point you have to delegate to another party. No person or corporation has the time and expertise to own and maintain every layer of the stack.

mdspanon My first open source project

Curious how you'd position this next to Open WebUI? First impression is that they seem to cover the same things.